Minx
- 02 Feb 2005 16:13
Is it time for the shareholders of CWD to finally realise the state of the uK housing market/ As a potenmtial (house) buyer I have seen massive discounts, particularly further down south, and the northern areas that may still be keeing the prices up will eventually follow. Property is slow to move and this is not getting any better so can only have a detrimental effect on the the profits of estate agents, who are on a small profit margin as it is. Not to say the financial gearing after all the boom time buys.
Only one way and that is IMHO downwards
compoundup
- 09 Feb 2005 15:12
- 14 of 28
The higher this goes the better. I covered at 337 on Tuesday morning. I only wish now I had reversed. Seeing some strength at that time I had no idea this upward run would have such legs.
IMHO and with hindsight, the Barclays investment must have spooked some of the bears. What you have been watching was short-covering not buying.
We may have seen the high already today. Barclays can make poor investment decisions like anyone else. I am waiting for the next signal to sell.
Is it better to wait for the prelims on 3 March? What about the break down through the 200 e.m.a.? or just pre-empt the results and likely p/w and get on with it on the first red candle? hmmmmmmm.
Minx
- 10 Feb 2005 12:10
- 15 of 28
I used to have a BArclays fund that dropped in value, this buy was also on the 4th (or before) and was previously placed on this thread. They could just as easily have sold by now but won't tell anyone for a bit. Interesting that GS have dropped out of the share. Will Barclays follow suit? the sp loves to hang around the 360
Minx
- 03 Mar 2005 09:00
- 16 of 28
hmmm a painful one this, maybe I am just thick - who knows. Does anyone know why Deutschebank and Barclays are propping up the share with increased holdings. Is the US housing market the supprot for this ?
Prelims today, and see the stock has dropped a touch, but is that just after the sudden rise. The level 2 order books is to the buys ?
Can someone tell me what date are the full results published.
Minx
Minx
- 08 Mar 2005 21:14
- 17 of 28
See that Deutsche Bank have reduced their stake now. No sign of any results yet but loads of bad news for the housing market - that is if you look at the national statistics / land registry who state a 25% seasonal drop in completions and a 5000 average drop in price as compared to the same period last year, and do not take too much notice of the so called increase in asking prices stated by the estate agents. Also the fear from the interested parties of a 0.25% rise in interest rates only shows how vunerable the whole lot is.
Minx
- 08 Mar 2005 21:14
- 18 of 28
brianboru
- 09 Mar 2005 08:42
- 19 of 28
Chestertons went 'tits up' yesterday and closed 35 London offices - losses mainly in commercial property but I would have expected sentiment to push this down.
Minx
- 10 Mar 2005 15:25
- 20 of 28
News today is only what was expected, more bad news to come I am sure. EK rates the share as only worth 1, the rise in activity is propbably due to inexperienced estate agents pushing up asking prices to get anyone they can on their books,- doesn't meant hey can sell the properties, it also doesn't account for the ones that have dropped out the market as the prices are unachievable. I do not understand why so many buys at this price, especially after todays results and future outlook - maybe the British love of property ??
Minx
- 17 Mar 2005 20:05
- 21 of 28
Hovering around the 330 support line, with a view of the business outlook and the fact they had to raise money via a placing suggests they are in trouble and it may fall lower. Next support is 273 (which looking at the near term outlook for the housing market where they still cannot close deals seems too high - no good asking for loads of lolly if no-one will pay it) There has been a long drop now and a reaction at 330 could be possible but in the long term still further to fall, imho. If there are any holders wishing for a silver lined cloud I would sell out. I have been through 2 property booms in 20 years and would opt to sell up and wait for an improvement in the house sale / property market.
compoundup
- 12 Apr 2005 08:10
- 22 of 28
Short 335. Target 320. Stop 340. R/R 3:1 Looks like its rolling over. DYOR
Minx
- 16 Apr 2005 12:54
- 23 of 28
shorted at just over 370, closed around the 329. Managed to get losses back and well in profit. Short again looking for a further drop, aim at 270 ish medium term but with all these supports around I am keeping a close watch on Stops
Minx
- 18 Apr 2005 16:25
- 24 of 28
Closed the short this morning after the drop, couldn't resist taking the money. Look for a short term rise but still believe a long term fall as house values plummet and transactions will be minimal. I have a relation who has just been given a mortgage at 5.5 times income - can only spell disaster. Negative equity here we come.
compoundup
- 21 Apr 2005 11:37
- 25 of 28
Stop tested but still short. If the rolling over helps make a completed h&s pattern since Dec 04 then I see the downside target nearer 240p
compoundup
- 26 Apr 2005 14:24
- 26 of 28
Woof woof :-)
Minx
- 09 May 2005 08:00
- 27 of 28
Still in here, waiting for another plummet in the sp. IC posted a lovely article to sell, the stock has already dropped about 1 but a lot further to go. Now the Blair entourage are still in we will not have long to wait for interest rate rises and / or tax rises. Despite Halifax putting out a statement saying how positive the housing market is and that prices have steadied out ??? well they would say that wouldn't they, repeating the same drivvle since last summer.
compoundup
- 10 May 2005 14:42
- 28 of 28
They're due a short term bounce if I read the chart correctly. Then again all support has been broken and with the price trickling down the support line of the trend channel it could even break down sharper.
On the other hand I don't trust the Yanks to know what they are getting into, (Southeastern Asset Management). There's always some daft fund manager investing at the wrong time and sending ridiculous signals into the market. I don't doubt that under the circumstances they have been able to pick up substantial blocks of shares at a discount.
I am neither increasing or decreasing position until the next move becomes clear. Moved stop down to 280