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CMS Webview What is the potential for this share ? (CWV)     

GEOFFREY.R - 01 Nov 2003 16:46

I bought shares in this company at 4.5p in September 2003. I see they are rising. Can anyone tell me please the growth potential for this company as they have just been awarded several new contracts ?

Tokyo - 16 Apr 2004 08:12 - 1401 of 1924

& the selling begins, it came no where near it's expected profit target, but the prospects for this share look good, so why sell at a aloss, I'll be tucking this one away, and coming back in a year or so, to hopefully see a huge gain

skyhigh - 16 Apr 2004 08:26 - 1402 of 1924

Same here... results didn't meet the hype but I will also hold on to my
shares and top up at these levels when I can. IMHO shares will gain when new contracts are announced through the summer. Interims should be interesting.

thestatusquo - 16 Apr 2004 08:44 - 1403 of 1924

I would be very surprised if any wholesale selling should occur, as these are a very good set of figures for this company.

Turnover increasing strongly and prospects for expansion of sales into the vast banking community. If I have a disappointment, it's in the costs column, and I will be looking at that more closely.

TDI sales will be key to driving profitability. It should also be remembered that these figures cover the period up to 31 DEC, prior to the fundraising.

The fundraising provides expansion capital for ProphetX in Europe & UK and TDI in USA and UK. Increased sales & marketing should bear fruit going forward.

A beginning and a definite hold in my view.

TSQ.

thestatusquo - 16 Apr 2004 08:49 - 1404 of 1924

Keppel Simpson, Chairman, said:

'This year promises to be exciting for the Company; our profile, prospecting and
subsequent expectation levels are significantly higher. The initiatives we have
already taken represent only the beginning of our growth plans and we will
continue to put in place further sales-led projects. While the continued trend
of increased turnover and reduced losses is encouraging, the overall objective
of achieving profits remains at the forefront of our priorities.'

littlejon - 16 Apr 2004 09:45 - 1405 of 1924

CMS WebView fell 6.5% to 10.75p despite saying today it cut full-year losses by 20% to 543,00 versus last time, on sales up 35% to 1.63m. Its net cash position trebled to 3.33m from 1.1m.

I can't understand why people would sell their holdings with new contracts Inevitable and good strong results from a company that will go places, beats me????????

bloodhound - 16 Apr 2004 09:50 - 1406 of 1924

Looks as if there has been a concerted effort to short this.

littlejon - 16 Apr 2004 10:20 - 1407 of 1924

Good point AXE79,post 12994

Most people I believe thought a TDI contract would be announced with the results and feel the need to sell because of this, don't forget that Chairman states

The CBOT and Chicago Mercantile Exchange are the largest futures and options exchanges in the USA.

AND THEY HAVE GOT THIS CONTRACT???

Not only that they are making money????????

AS a sales man when you have got a good product and the largest futures and options in the U.S.A using it + proof of it doing well ? They can only go from strength to strength in the future.

good luck holders,


beaufort1 - 16 Apr 2004 10:28 - 1408 of 1924

NB brokers' forecasts of 300,000 profit are for the current year (2004) not last year and they look to be on track for that.

littlejon - 16 Apr 2004 11:17 - 1409 of 1924

Tip Update: CMS should be a steal
Published: 10:36 Fri 16 April 2004


Citywire tip CMS WebView's 2003 results show healthy growth but this year and next should start to look a lot more interesting.

CMS (CWV) has developed software that collates data from many sources and can push that data out to many different customers as a single, consolidated feed in real time. The company also offers a data feed service to customers by using its own software, and has the exclusive European distribution rights to a data terminal called ProphetX for commodities and energy markets


The initial target customers for its TDI software are the world's commodities exchanges, and the small AIM-listed company boasts three major exchanges: the London Metals Exchange, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Chicago Board of Trade, as customers.


Turnover for the year to December grew by 35% to 1.6 million, and losses before tax fell by 20% to 543,000. Having completed a placing at 10p per share in December to raise 2.5 million, the company had cash at the year end of 3.3 million.


As we reported last month, AAA-rated Giles Hargreave picked up 1.9 million shares for his Marlborough Special Situations fund in the placing.


Chief executive Bob Antell told Citywire that for the past three years, the company has been in development mode, creating and perfecting the TDI software. The new money raised in December was to strengthen the company's sales and marketing effort, and Antell reckons that just three months after raising the money the efforts are beginning to pay off.


He says: 'We are already seeing an increase in the number of people who are aware of us. This time last year we had about six prospective customers, now we are talking to about 100 people.'


Antell stressed that these prospects are at 'wildly different' ends of the spectrum in terms of how close they are to negotiating deals, but the good news is that with the TDI product now completed and support contracts ready to pluck off the shelf, margins on any new sales should be significantly enhanced.


The company has opened a US sales and support office in Chicago, and is also looking at potential partnerships with other vendors that supply exchanges, such as PC vendors, network bandwidth providers and the like. (continued...)

In addition, the company has started marketing TDI to banks. Antell reckons banks are increasingly looking to take real time data feeds direct from the exchanges. He says that to do this, they need to be able to pull in all of these separate feeds, which are often in different formats, consolidate them into a single source and be able to push them out to their own customers. TDI can do this for them, he says.


Not that this is an easy sell. CMS is still a very small and pretty unknown entity. The exchange customers are clearly a good starting point and having them should at least open doors, but Antell does not claim it will be easy to win the first banking customer.


Nevertheless the company's broker, Corporate Synergy, has some fairly ambitious growth forecasts for this year and next. It is looking for turnover of 3.6 million, profits of 300,000 and earnings per share of 0.3p this year rising to 6.4 million of turnover, 2.4 million of profit and 3p per share next year. The broker has a target price of 18p for the shares.


This implies one sale of TDI in the first half of this year and four in the second half. The broker told Citywire this morning that it is comfortable with that.


Last year's figures include only minimal contribution from ProphetX, which was selling only in the UK until January, when CMS won the extended rights to distribute it throughout Europe. Antell was unable to comment on recent press rumours that there was a potential large deal for ProphetX in the pipeline, but it seems probable that the company has been in serious talks, possibly with an exchange.


The market would clearly have liked a little more positive news this morning and has marked the shares down 1.75p at 9.75p, valuing the business at little more than 7 million.


Citywire Verdict:


Sales of 750,000 software systems do not happen over night, particularly when the vendor is a 7 million UK company. However it has three excellent reference customers, and with money in the bank for sales and marketing CMS would be seriously slacking if it fails to capitalise on the opportunity these reference sites present. (continued...)


The biggest challenge the company faces is without doubt sales and marketing, and it may need to look at finding a bigger and more high profile partner to help open doors at a faster pace.


CMS is also one of the dozen or so small listed software companies that fund manager Sean O'Flanagan of Unicorn Asset Management referred to yesterday when he told Citywire that these companies were ripe for consolidation. Although the money raised was not specifically for acquisition, it could give CMS the opportunity to become one of the consolidators. Equally, it could become an attractive take over target itself.


Either way, at just 3.25 times next year's forecast earnings, and with 4.1p per share of cash, the risk that some of the pipeline deals do not convert as the company hopes is more than factored into the share price. The market seems to be missing a trick here. Buy.

littlejon - 16 Apr 2004 11:18 - 1410 of 1924

this share should bounce back next week

momentum - 16 Apr 2004 13:02 - 1411 of 1924

Having been a little diappointed with todays results.There is some serious upside to be made, once a few TDI contracts are announced.Have continued to top up at lower levels before the markets finally wake up.Imho looking at todays trades 10p looks to be the bottom.

momentum - 16 Apr 2004 14:11 - 1412 of 1924

Imho you are going to have to be very very patient to the point of dispair. Expect volume to drop rapidly after today. Buyers are not going to return until the dinners on the table. Have been very disappointed with Shares Mag, have in my opinion been very amatuerish. Very positive hyped up article in Nov ultra bullish for 2004 2005.Further deals done, update a few months ago price target 20p. And yesterdays rather half hearted kopout a hold at 11-12p.SM will obviously jump back on the bandwagon when deals are announced.

momentum - 16 Apr 2004 14:14 - 1413 of 1924

Have to email SM and ask why the rapid change in stance, when the future for cms looks as rosy as it did in NOV.

AndrewThomson77 - 16 Apr 2004 16:08 - 1414 of 1924

Disagree about volume dropping, Momentum.

At least in the short term we should see volumes rise. The company will get some degree of publicity with the results, which I don't think are the worst in the world, and all publicity is good publicity for small companies such as this.

thestatusquo - 16 Apr 2004 16:48 - 1415 of 1924

Momentum!

I couldn't agree more with your comments on Shares Mag appearing very amateurish. That had to be said.

CMS tipped at 4.75p was already at 6.75p on the Thursday morning of publication. Who pushed this price up 42% prior to release of the tip? The tip was massively bullish. Massively bullish, to the point that such a change in stance by the enlightened reviewers yesterday, beggars belief. A target of 20p was the only follow up for CMS since the tip. Now it is merely a hold according to them at 11p.

What has changed for this exciting growth company since the tip? Is 20p no longer a target?

Shares Mag needs to take stock of this "Grand old Duke of York" business marching us all up the hill with unrealistic expecations only to quick-march us back down with those watery comments in yesterdays Mag.

Or perhaps I need to take stock, and look at which financial mag I subscribe to.

TSQ.

thestatusquo - 16 Apr 2004 16:55 - 1416 of 1924

I am actually very pleased with the continued expansion of CMS outlined in results.

This is going to be an exciting year for the company and I cant understand why any mass sell-off should occur.

Ask yourself this, if someone had offered us private investors stock at 10pence in the recent fundraising, wouldn't we have taken their arm off!

What has changed??? Not much Director selling happening either? These guys are sitting on ten-baggers and still they hold. I wonder why?


TSQ.

momentum - 16 Apr 2004 18:04 - 1417 of 1924

When i have time ill email them. Could be interesting if one is received. Answer will more than likely contain the lines " Due to market conditions"

Enjoy topping up stephen

momentum - 16 Apr 2004 18:08 - 1418 of 1924

Have built a large holding in superscape results next week. Fingers crossed the results will be well received.

Have a good w/e

thestatusquo - 16 Apr 2004 19:16 - 1419 of 1924

Have topped up at just over 10pence.

Could easily see renewed interest in this stock next week. Shares Mag should review the results.

Will check out superscape.

Regards
TSQ.

momentum - 17 Apr 2004 09:10 - 1420 of 1924

Short/ medium term upside is looking very limited.imo 12p will become a tough resistance to crack. Downside 10p offers solid support at present. However the longer we go without any announcements on TDI, the more this resistance level will come under pressure.If within a few months no news has been forthcoming the 8p may be tested for support.The placing at 10p is history but at present is offering support.Stock will continue to be driven by retail and traders.
Looking into end 2005, 2006 we could be sitting on a 10 bagger.
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