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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

rawsthornebj001 - 23 Aug 2005 12:19 - 1410 of 2787

Interesting, just tried to deal again and place 10k at limit .59 (still showing .62 to buy) bounced back with a call from broker best is now .62 Hmm? I thought there would be bucketfulls of this stock sloshing around the MM's ankles

overgrowth - 23 Aug 2005 12:34 - 1411 of 2787

rawsthornebj001 - level 2 is showing 3v1 which means 3 market makers want to buy and only 1 wants to sell - this suggests that larger buyers placed orders this morning which the MMs are trying to fill. Price is all down to supply and demand for those guys.

The other thing is that 10K's worth is going to be above NMS (normal market size) so the MMs will always be looking at a premium (or at least full offer) for larger trades.

stockdog - 23 Aug 2005 13:31 - 1412 of 2787

Looking reassuring with today's trades strongly favouring the blue flag. However, og, not as confident in the chart as you suggest. RSI only just nicked the top level of the oversold area, STOCH is still heading TOWARDS oversold territory, MACD hasn't started to cross up and On Balance Volume is looking frankly a bit sickly. Volume has been declining since results peak selling. Not saying these are negative indicators, more inconclusive. Can't tell whether the bounce will continue north to 70p or start to form a penant at current level.

Still holding but, with a more than full portfolio allocation, have not been tempted yet to go further overweight. Best of luck to rawsthornebj - if you're still looking to fill out your allocation, now is a great time to be buying.

Fingers crossed for some nice sized late-reported buys and some fresh client/transaction news, now that August is almost through.

sd

overgrowth - 23 Aug 2005 13:40 - 1413 of 2787

sd - I'm not using stochs as an oversold indicator more as a change of trend indicator.

Ok, I was jumping the gun slightly, though %K is now moving up to cross over %D which is a sign of the next upward cycle.

overgrowth - 23 Aug 2005 13:47 - 1414 of 2787

rawsthornebj001 - I can't send you a message through moneyam I think you need to edit your profile and add an e-mail address (which will be hidden to everyone else).

Regarding level 2, it's probably most handy for trading SETS (e.g. FTSE100) stocks as you can see what's built up in the order book. It can be a bit hit and miss for small caps. as the you can never be 100% sure of the motives behind the MMs actions. Though it's handy as an extra indicator for trading small caps. I wouldn't go to the expense of subscribing to level 2 just for that purpose.

overgrowth - 23 Aug 2005 14:25 - 1415 of 2787

sd - I've added OBV to the charts - just starting to turn up nicely now.

v. tight spread now 0.60-0.62p - looks like a tick up is on the cards shortly.

rawsthornebj001 - 23 Aug 2005 15:11 - 1416 of 2787

just gone to .65 so doubt my earlier order will be filled! OG. has the 3v1 L2 situation been settled? 10+% risk averse spread back in place, however noted some very recent buys at .01p below price.

ptholden - 23 Aug 2005 15:12 - 1417 of 2787

Just back from the golf and nice to see the buyers back in again. Sold some of my holding last week on the day of the Interims. Needed the cash for other activities, but still retain a substantial holding. Will keep an eye on the thread, but concentrating on other stuff at the moment. Trying to get my head around Betting Exchanges and a bit of fun with online poker.

pth

overgrowth - 23 Aug 2005 15:56 - 1418 of 2787

L2 is now 2v1, suggests that the MMs are not as desparate for shares as they were earlier - perhaps a large sell to come through at the end of the day (along with a few large buys I suspect given that the price has been nudged up).

stockdog - 23 Aug 2005 17:16 - 1419 of 2787

og - yes the chart has improved quite significantly through today and we have to take those last two T trades of 1m and 800k as buys since they were probably transacted earlier in the day when the price was sub .6p. You were probably right to look forward a little more than me. Let's hope we continue the improvement and get back to a solid mid .60's range by end of the week or even better get a good hold back on the 0.69p strong support line.

sd


bosley - 23 Aug 2005 18:55 - 1420 of 2787

pth, i have been looking at the partypoker site after watching some of the poker games on tele. looks like a bit of fun and i am toying with the idea of having a go . if you have already started, could you tell me which site you are on and whether it's any good ? cheers.
btw, sold dgt as soon as they started going down , once bitten and all that. i might buy back . bought pxs which is worth a look and doing me proud at the moment. also icu has good potential.

EWRobson - 23 Aug 2005 19:09 - 1421 of 2787

og: good thinking! By the way, what is OBV - a new one on me and looks interesting. I think your 0.7p is cautious - I'll repeat my thoughts from the weekend:

"So, do you want the bad news or the good news? The bad news is the charts: a bit difficult to see a support level above 0.4p. However, the fundamentals would appear to support an sp of around 0.9p on diluted earnings of 0.47p per share. It would be interesting to have sd's comments on whether turnover is somewhat down on expectations because of delays pending completion. I expect that more credence has been given to the projections on bb's than expected or professionals have been making their own calculations.

The good news is also in the figures. Whilst overheads are up, it is confirmed that the marginal overhead growth is relatively low against increased profits. So, at 2.5m turnover for the year, the pbt would probably be about 650K and on 3m about 1m (agree?). Given the confidence in current trading and the comment about the proportion of pre-determined revenue it seems reasonable to go for the continuation of the rising trend in revenue."

My basic point is that the best way at present to forecast the second half is to use the straight line on revenue and the lower gradient straight line on overheads.
I like the look of todays graph which is a nice staircase up; coule well continue.

Eric

stockdog - 23 Aug 2005 19:30 - 1422 of 2787

17% increase per day on good volume suits me!

OBV is calculated by adding the days volume if the price rises and subtracting the days volume if the price falls, so you get a measure of whether buys are continuing to outweigh sells or vice versa. A trend upward is good and any reversal is a bearish signal.

Comparing OBV to SP you want one to support the otehr. A rising SP with flat or falling OBV may suggest there is not enough volume to support the SP rise. Such divergence would be a negative warning. DGT's chart has good correlation over thew last year, especailly today's marked uptick in both - looking good.

What kind of chart do you get if you add only each days buys and subtract only each days sells - if you can tell the difference, not always easy? This would seem more logical to me, but perhaps you can't tell enough to do it accurately.

sd

ptholden - 23 Aug 2005 19:42 - 1423 of 2787

bos

Using Betfair Poker. Easy to register and start playing almost immediately. Software seems faultlless and a plentiful choice of tables and different types of poker. The amount of money changing hands on the high stakes tables beggars belief!! Not for me though, just messing around. Good luck if you give it a go.

pth

snakey - 23 Aug 2005 22:11 - 1424 of 2787

sd, I believe you`re correct on the trades. I also bought 3 lots of 100k for 0.57, one of which went down as a sale.

markusantonius - 23 Aug 2005 22:51 - 1425 of 2787

Back from The Netherlands earlier today and just realised that the sp must have taken a real nose-dive last/this week! What's been happening, guys? :o(

ptholden - 23 Aug 2005 23:57 - 1426 of 2787

nose dive?
its up 18% today!!

rawsthornebj001 - 24 Aug 2005 07:44 - 1427 of 2787

I find this is a usefull chart setup..
http://mwprices.ft.com/custom/ft-com/interactivecharting.asp?pageNum=&company=NEW&industry=&region=&extelID=∈=&ftep=&sedol=3054231&FTSite=FTCOM&symb=dgt&countrycode=uk&t=e&s1=&s2=uk&q=dgt&osymb=dgt&ocountrycode=uk&expanded=true&subtab=1&colMode=&time=1dy&freq=5mi&chartsize=3&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&indName=aaaaa%7E0&ma=0&maval=9&type=64&comp1=&comp2=&comp3=&uf=32&lf=8&lf2=268435456&lf3=0


Paulo2 - 24 Aug 2005 08:14 - 1428 of 2787

Nice start!

corehard - 24 Aug 2005 08:22 - 1429 of 2787

Very strong rebound..... instills confidence once more !
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