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new millennium resources (NML)     

LEEWINK - 28 Mar 2004 15:45

NML is due its interrim results now, last year it was the 28th of this month.

They are setting up a new site to explore/research/analyse and all the equipment to do this should be on site now, and drilling should start soon, all this extra news should be covered in the interims.

does anyone have any further positive views on this company ??

Andy - 09 Oct 2005 21:28 - 1432 of 1909

Anom,

Well there does appear to be an overhang, and the MM's only encourage selling every time they raise the price, so, without positive news, I can't see NML rising.

I have to say that they really do have to come up with something quickly, either a JV or fundraising must surely be imminent?

The results will be very poor, as there appears to be no revenue, unless they did sell some diamonds and not inform the market, which I doubt.

I do feel some of those that have abused us for holding a contrary viewpoint are now coming round to our way of thinking!

They should be asking NML the big questions now, after all, they are responsible for the current position, not bearish BB posters!


takahe - 09 Oct 2005 22:42 - 1433 of 1909

You two seem to have convinced yourselves that you are correct and that the company is doomed. IMO, NML are playing their own game...and it doesn't mean that it is all over yet. They are unlikely to show their hand to a competitor while they are trying to broker a deal which has not endeared them to their shareholders and has given extreme bears like yourselves plenty to say.
As far as I know, NML are listed in London..not Australia. I have also heard that Healy is over here permanently...hardly, perhaps, the action of a man who is expecting his company to collapse.

takahe - 09 Oct 2005 22:44 - 1434 of 1909

Anom..."At least the major shareholders are now questioning the management "
....a number of the shareholders often question what is happening.....just don't see the need to inform non-shareholders about it! Why should non-holders be interested?
Perhaps your obituary notice for NML is a bit premature....

takahe - 09 Oct 2005 22:55 - 1435 of 1909

"Despite the fact that C9 has very few kimberlites in comparison to some of the other licenses,".... I wonder if Alrosa would agree with you..perhaps you know more than them? The quality is important, rather than the quantity....

Anomalous1 - 09 Oct 2005 23:52 - 1436 of 1909

NML may be listed in London but they are registered in Australia. As such, they are obliged to report 4 months after financial year end. Likewise, the notifiable limit is 5% for Australian companies as opposed to 3% for UK registered ones. For this reason, it was easier for the Badenhorst brothers to hold non-notifiable interests and sell their shares without showing their hand to the shareholders in the process.

I would speculate that Healy's presence in the UK has more to do with fund raising than anything else. I doubt that he would be needed at the sharp end as a number cruncher and the company is desparate for fresh working capital.

As for the questions, it has been noted that the questions being sent to the management are the very same ones that were posed by Andy and myself earlier this year and instantly attacked by the regular shareholders. So it is quite hypocritical for the shareholders to adopt these questions without acknowledging that they were wrong to attack the questions in the first place.

You'll note that I did not say an obitiary notice was to be posted in my posts. Other people have suggested that NML is about to go under. Certainly the prospects would not look good if they were forced to obtain finance from the usual sources, banks, institutional placings or private placings. NML has a 'tame' placee in the form of Al-Wakalah. The question is, is this director willing to take on more shares and just how many and what price? As I've said before, it depends on if they've finished mining the shareholders rather than the diamonds!

NML is not bust. They could go bust if they were forced to raise funds like other minexs, but either way, they are unikely to do so. I think you are wrong to suggest that Andy and I consider that NML will fail. Someone has not finished playing their hand yet and there's a lot of money at stake here.

NML does not have many kimberlites compared to others in the nearby area. Take Xceldiam as an example. Their territory contains 8 known kimberlites in a cluster directly north of Alto Cuilo and another 90 targets. I count eight clusters in total. There's no guarantee that any of these are diamoniferous, but then they have as much claim to say that they are as NML do, because they are 40 km from Catoca, compared to C9's 25km. Most of the anomalies discovered are in the direct line of the Lucapa Corridor, which is known to be the most promising prospective region of Angola. With Alrosa to the west and Petra/BHP to the South, the prospects for Xceldiam look pretty good. Even if half of their targets turn out to kimberlites, then that's quite a few. If one tenth are diamondiferous, then they are laughing and if 3% are economic, then they are likely to be extremely wealthy.

Until NML does a similar aerial survey, they only have three kimberlites recorded. I suspect that any JV major will fork out the cash to allow a full survey to be completed. But if they are going to do that, they'd want to see some microdiamonds in the core samples first and enough drill holes to define the size of the kimberlite. Even if NML were to announce the drill had arrived and started work, you're months away from hearing any news on the drilling.

In the meanwhile, NML need money and the share price is bound to suffer. What with the Final Results as well, you ought to prepare for a very rough ride. Even Ianwc suggested he would sell out if they hadn't achieved anything by Christmas. IMO, I believe you will be losing quite a few of the other shareholders too. English Bigblls didn't have big enough balls to stay with it. I wonder how many others are going to stick with it when they could make richer pickings elsewhere?

stockdog - 10 Oct 2005 07:39 - 1437 of 1909

So we have a clear-as-mud assortment of news today:-

John Cross has gone, temporarily(?) replaced by Shane Healey as MD/CEO. What did he do wrong? I think he started kimberlite exploration without a licence, thinking he needed to get in there to ward off Alrosa - which he seems to have done, albeit illegitimately. Endiama with a 51% interest must have been able to stop Cross doing this if they'd wanted, but they didn't. Meanwhile it is Endiama who have made them back off the kimberlite exploration, it seems. Confusing!

Now NML are going back to alluvial dredging which they should have stuck to since starting at beginning of April and would have produced some positive cashflow by now, having instead geared up and frittered away the working capital on getting nowhere on the kimberlites.

There seesm to be a glimmer of hope that Endiama will grant them an exploration licence if they can get Alrose into a jv - which seems likely they would be interested, being on the adjacent large concesssion and having a good handle on the geology which seems to be positive.

Why don't Endiama just squeeze out NML and get right into bed with Alrosa on the C9 concession?

These thoughts are what my simple mind is able to piece together from the various RNS this year. However, it leaves me in no clearer state of mind as to what the prospects are for NML and its much beleaguered SP. Anyone out there able to explain what is going on, please?

Thanks

sd

TheFrenchConnection - 10 Oct 2005 07:45 - 1438 of 1909

Amities ? While there have been a glaring number of mining successes emanating from the lightly regulated AIM junior market NML always was an utter stinker . Having already on several occassions given my reasoning as to why this dog should be put down out of its mercy i think we shall see the begining of its demise this next couple of weeks { prob. in the aftermath of the 4 month interims }; and consigned to the dustbin where it belongs . This is it: The End / Fin / Kaput - Yet another victim of an ill planned, over ambitious, originally underfinanced project in which the vaccillitating , aimless board { none of whom has a soid mining background} underestimated both the "elements " and mass corruption that is Angola . Albeit the liquidators / administrators will quickly accredit its passing in the post mortem to bankruptcy as a consequence of cashburn , this verdict will hide a mutiple number of variables such as the the REAL origins of the NML demise in its utterly inadequate ORIGINAL financing from the very inception. They have simply ran out of both sources of liquid cash and fiscal instruments to exploit .. No bank would even look at them ; ad talk of placings @ 0.50 to 0.75p would suit asolutely no-one. . l have from EXCELLENT sources within the mining fraternity wich would more than suggest the B Bros did quite well out of the entire saga . " And now the fat lady has stopped singing; and the song is over Whats the bets members of the board wont be available for comment during the next few weeks ? .....@+ J

stockdog - 10 Oct 2005 07:52 - 1439 of 1909

Oh the cleverness of me, sang Peter Pan to Wendy!

takahe - 10 Oct 2005 08:53 - 1440 of 1909

from a poster on ADVFN who is a large shareholder and has spoken to Healy this morning.....

"I'm holding
A 5% or 10% 'free carry' in a C9 kimberlite licence would be very valuable. Apparently there are now thought to be more than 11 anomalies, and the pipe that Catoca were already exploring, before NML 'interfered', is thought to be of very high quality and maybe even up to the size and standard of Catoca itself.

It is highly likely that Alrosa/Catoca will be involved - they are already there, already have the infrastructure and could set up a mining operation in six to nine months as opposed to another major who would need 2 to 3 years.

Although nothing appears guaranteed, the potential prize for co-operating fully with Endiama is very large.

More waiting involved and I am prepared to wait."

takahe - 10 Oct 2005 08:55 - 1441 of 1909

Endiama hold 51% and NML have to do what they say....
Apparently one incentive to make sure that NML get a free carry % is that it would look very bad politically for Angola's diamond-producing credentials for one of its early partners to be left out completely.


ASMITH2 - 10 Oct 2005 09:06 - 1442 of 1909

LOL

Now you see why nml is the CON OF THE NEW MILLENIUM!

I cant stop laughing...ara ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ara ha ha ha ha.!

takahe - 10 Oct 2005 09:51 - 1443 of 1909

What a lovely person ASMITH is !
Just had a chat with Healy.
He is surprised that anyone sees the RNS as negative!
Endiama are annoyed at NML parking themselves on the kimberlite.
They have asked Cross and Badenhorst to go.
They have now a new relationship where they are co-operating with Endiama who are the senior partner and hold the licence.
I asked him what chance there was that Endiama would 'do' them and he said that 12 months ago, he would have said it was more likely, but that Endiama are very conscious of Capital Markets and would not want any bad publicity.
Cross and Badenhorst going reduces their costs etc, too....
He added that none of the directors are selling ...

Dynamite - 10 Oct 2005 10:03 - 1444 of 1909

Takahe are you also Mcellan then??

As I see it NML is not worth selling at this price and the only option is to sit it out and wait. IMHO most shareholders will do the same. None of this has been what we expected so the unexpected big profits could still happen. This share has always been a big risk and having waited this long we might as well sit on our hands some more.
Di

takahe - 10 Oct 2005 10:08 - 1445 of 1909

Dynamite..yes..I couldn't register as that on here(so I was told, because there already was one).
The understanding I have of it is that the C9 kimberlite is good , that more sampling has to be done and that Endiama do not want NML interfering with the process.
I said to Healy that I thought his RNS was hard to understand! He said"What...you see it as negative?" ...as if I was mad...

Dynamite - 10 Oct 2005 10:10 - 1446 of 1909

It was hard to understand you are right and thank you for clarifying.
Di

takahe - 10 Oct 2005 10:45 - 1447 of 1909

I think people should email him and say that they don't understand the RNS...
shanemhealy@yahoo.com

Dynamite - 10 Oct 2005 10:57 - 1448 of 1909

good idea takahe

stockdog - 10 Oct 2005 11:51 - 1449 of 1909

takahe (and Di) thanks for clarifying - I think it's what I'd worked out for myself, but as you say Healey's RNS was so ambivolent as to induce more suspicion rather than less.

Is the plant now back to work where it should be on the alluvials - producing diamonds, God forbid?

I think I will email him on both issues.

Whaddayareckon a 10% free-carry translate into at the SP level?

sd

Dynamite - 10 Oct 2005 12:04 - 1450 of 1909

SD..your diamond collar is looking a long way away...I am sure you will settle for a diamond leg band the way things are going. I have emailed Shane myself. I will let you know if I have any reply.
Di

ASMITH2 - 10 Oct 2005 12:13 - 1451 of 1909

Well you are all going to be stunned by this post but I think now is the time to buy.
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