irlee57
- 13 Aug 2007 09:03
any comments, thoughts, on this stock.
Stan
- 18 Sep 2007 09:26
- 146 of 1029
Yes, peoples "expectations" unrealistic in today's low wage ageist society, oh yes and a little bit of greed in there as well.
maggiebt4
- 18 Sep 2007 13:10
- 147 of 1029
Surely one must also consider the unbelievable price of houses. Here in NI house prices have doubled in the last 2 years partly to do with developers buying and holding property Young people can't afford to buy the doors and windows at 3 times their salary so what are they to do? My daughter & husband lost approx 100 000 because the vendor pulled out of the sale at the last min Scottish system would have been better in this case - they lost surveyors fees etc anyway and were homeless and by the time they found something else house prices had risen. I think most people now look on home ownership as a luxury, young people are being priced out of the market - rant over!!!!
hangon
- 18 Sep 2007 13:27
- 148 of 1029
Stan: - Great expectations are good, surely?
- - - - The alternative --- is economic reverse - - -
Aren't Mortgages are always more than you can afford? - because you want that "extra room", or maybe it's "the garage" - or any number of features that appeal to young couples.
If you work and have prospects the repayments are not a serious issue....indeed in five years' time you'll be wondering why you didn't have a double garage!
NRK is not alone in giving mortgages that are borderline - it all depends on the probability of a rate-hike and most try to ignore it.
If the rate is fixed for two years, there is a good chance you'll meet any increase with a better job, promotion, or a beneficial strike!
I think the whole NRK debacle is down to Politicians wanting to be seen as "Firm" against inflation, whilst bashing reckless investors (always a good party line, until you realise the Unions are investors too!)....and singling out NRK for a BoE loan just made everyone (with deposits) sit up and fear the worst.
The media fanned the situation by publishing photos of queues - rather than looking at the underlying finances, which appear (at this moment) to be perfectly reasonable... They lend, they borrow - provided the rates show a profit.....where is the problem?
It is entirely a manufactured problem, to fill front pages and occupy news slots.
Just a month ago NRK was 6 =trading about its NAV ( always difficult to determine, but they are "owners" of many properties, at least until the Mortgage is repaid)...so at the moment you can pick up a share at 50% discount...looks good to me and I bought some yesterday. If people look at reality I think they will see Politicians were posturing, for political gain that fell far sort of prudence.
Oh yes, I know debt is a problem and many folk are paying too much on store-cards. it's true house prices might fall - but we aren't losing jobs like we did in the Thatcher years (indeed we'd been doing it for decades after the War)....and weekly reports were of factories closing, jobs going abroad etc. THIS is NOT happening in the same way now. Many of our jobs are finance-based and many are relyant upon slightly dodgy deals....but IMHO the Public is not (yet) fearful of losing their job, or their home as a result. Provided interest rates are not increased it's possible to slow the economy down, whilst folk maintain repayments.
If they can do that, their long-term savings can collect interest and everyone sleeps well.
IMHO, It was political stupidity that rocked the boat and NRK in particular.
[[EDIT:Just caught the BBC News - there is a move in NE England to restore NRK confidence by opening an a/c with 2000 . . . to restore NRK's charitable model which has benefited the region greatly... ((Worth checking BBC website))..]]
Stan
- 18 Sep 2007 14:35
- 149 of 1029
What I was trying to say is that peoples expectations are now unrealistic given the low wage, ageist economy the majority of the population keeps on voting for since the days of Thatcher. And where did you get the word "Great' from? Blame the Media if you like but sooner or later people might start to looking nearer to home.
hangon
- 18 Sep 2007 15:39
- 150 of 1029
- DON'T DESPAIR -
If you can't find NRK in the "Winners" (today Tuesday, up 11% so far!)..
The software seems to be displaying NRK in the "Losers" listing and showing 30%-odd fall -!!!
Seems the MonayAM software can't cope with bad news and has stuck with yesterday's figures....oh dear.
I tried telephoning the Office, but it's on ans m/c......maybe others are bending their ear, too.
(ends)
Stan, =- from Dickens.
+ I agree there were things wrong during Thatcher, but before her the country was a hostage to Unions....strikes were common and wage inflation was caused by disruption... She made people realise that to get on you had to be part of the solution. Because she had North Sea Oil she could close the mines and that started to repair the economy (although not for mining communities).
The Yuppie-culture was an excess in the other direction, where earnings were linked to the size of the lie...er, IMHO.
But having expectations of a better future is surely everyone's goal; for their chuildren, even if they missed it themselves?
Can you explain the ageist economy mentioned? As an elderly white male I have grown to accept my place...bottom...all women are higher up, retire earlier live longer, enjoy children and grandchildren. Other minorities have special status to achieve employment and so on. Oh Yes, I know my place.
cynic
- 18 Sep 2007 16:02
- 151 of 1029
i have special status to achieve employment .... it's called running your own biz, but then no one else in the right mind would employ me .......as for women on top; well i have no great objection to that either!
Guscavalier
- 18 Sep 2007 16:10
- 152 of 1029
hangon- you have well thought out views. The polititions made the position worse and would have been better leaving the BOE to sort out the situation. Of course polititions have to meddle and give 100% backing, their political futures are at stake.
cynic
- 18 Sep 2007 16:17
- 153 of 1029
in this instance especially, BoE and the politicians HAD to work together ..... whether or not the correct decisions have been made and/or whether or not there should have been action sooner will only show in time, perhaps 1/2/3 years hence
Guscavalier
- 18 Sep 2007 16:42
- 154 of 1029
it will be very interesting to see whether King is reappointed as Governor after his current tenure expires next year. I dont think he would of liked to provide the 100% backing. It may give him less room for manoeuvre in future if further problems evolve. Who knows it could well result in him to walking away at some stage.
hewittalan6
- 18 Sep 2007 16:50
- 155 of 1029
Had notification this afternoon that Kensington are all but pulling out of the ub prime market. For the time being.
They are only really lending on prime terms.
The sub prime stuff is still available but at very restricted loan to value and with artificially high rates that make them about as unattractive as it is possible to be.
Closing the doors on its main market in all but name.
Not saying how long for, but I suspect it will be until the LIBOR markets normalise and the sub prime crisis blows over.
Alan
hangon
- 18 Sep 2007 17:55
- 156 of 1029
Do we (here) think NRK is a good buy at these levels? - that has to be our focus - up 8.5% today, so it's just over the 3-level, I noticed many "late-trades" after the market closed and most were Sells, but I guess that was bound to spoil an exceptionally good day.
There is no reason why other companies (such as Kensington) can't move their rules and take on the better risks, by raising their rates it will happen anyway.
I agree hewittalan6, it may take a few years for all this to blow over. The sad fact is that Northern Rock never was the guilty party and still I see the Media using figures of "Loans to deposits" - as though this meant something....if the Public is worried, perhaps they should be worrying where their deposits are bening used where the ratio is closer to 1:1 - these are the loans that may not make it back in time, IMHO.
halifax
- 18 Sep 2007 18:11
- 157 of 1029
Hangon you really dont get it. NRK is a "sick one trick pony" about to be put down.If they cant borrow in the money markets they are out of business and even if the goverment can legally guarantee their depositors then penal interest rates would mean losses on their book. Darling has not stated how long he is prepared to guarantee retail deposits. Somebody has to put them out of their misery.
maddoctor
- 18 Sep 2007 18:13
- 158 of 1029
8 out of 10 phone calls to NRK today were people trying to put their money back and reclaim lost interest - you could not make it up.
the stupidity of the Sun newspaper brigade astonishes me
Big Al
- 18 Sep 2007 18:23
- 159 of 1029
hewittalan6 - re post 140
I'm afraid you are completely wrong and talking rubbish.
I live in Scotland and have put offers in without a survey or a mortgage in place. You simply put in the proviso that the offer is "subject to survey". Surveys are however useful in order to gauge what your bid might be. ;-)))
I would far rather work under the Scottish system. If you understand the market you can position yourself perfectly to acquire the property you are shooting for and it does not magnify any price boom.
cynic
- 18 Sep 2007 18:36
- 160 of 1029
peeps will deposit with NRK because they are offering, i think, something like 6.9% and of course it is underwritten ..... they're not dumb at all
maddoctor
- 18 Sep 2007 18:43
- 161 of 1029
NEW accounts not covered and whether putting your money back is called an established account i do not know
Dil
- 18 Sep 2007 18:50
- 162 of 1029
500p here wecome
cynic
- 18 Sep 2007 18:54
- 163 of 1029
i think BoE would be hard pressed not to makew good to anyone who makes a deposit even today, should worst came to the worst - which now sounds unlikely anyway
Dil
- 18 Sep 2007 19:00
- 164 of 1029
ok 600p by xmas :-)
maddoctor
- 18 Sep 2007 19:01
- 165 of 1029
you need to join lex1000 on the pet thread :-)))