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ASOS: BUY AT LOW PRICE!!!! (ASC)     

wilco99 - 12 Sep 2003 15:52

ASOS have dropped quite significantly in the past week for no particular reason and I view this as the perfect opportunity to invest as I can see them bouncing right back up to the 5.50p mark in the next 2-3 weeks. STRONG BUY!!


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ASC&Si

marketmaker - 31 May 2005 15:07 - 1460 of 5941

Fidelity topping up AGAIN!!!


RNS Number:9352M
ASOS PLC
31 May 2005


ASOS plc

("ASOS" or "the Company")

Holding in Company

ASOS was advised on 27 May 2005 that Fidelity International Limited has acquired
553,700 ordinary shares in the Company and now holds a total of 5,156,500
ordinary shares, which represent 7.19 per cent. of the entire issued share
capital of the Company.

Of the total shareholding notified, 4,930,600 ordinary shares are held in the
name of JP Morgan, Bournemouth and 225,900 ordinary shares are held in the name
of Clydesdale Bank plc.

deancroft - 31 May 2005 15:18 - 1461 of 5941

Just to compound marketmaker's note, Fidelity have now topped up 5 times since early March moving from 3.05% holding to the current 7.19%, more than doubled. They bought as the price fell from March to early May but have continued to buy during the SP rise of most of May.

marketmaker - 01 Jun 2005 14:01 - 1462 of 5941

Looks like Henderson Global Investors have also been picking up ASOS shares (Dated 31 March 2005 - this was AFTER the trading statement)

http://www.henderson.com/global_includes/pdf/funds/uk_equity_income_fund.pdf

At the same time, we introduced internet based fashion retailer Asos to the Fund. The company specialises in producing discount versions of clothes and accessories sported by celebrities and recent sales growth has been impressive.

ptholden - 09 Jun 2005 07:25 - 1463 of 5941

ASOS PLC
09 June 2005


FOR RELEASE
7.00 am
Thursday 09 June 2005


ASOS plc

' ASOS' or 'Group'

('A leading Internet based fashion retailer')


PRE-CLOSE STATEMENT


* Profits for the year to 31 March 2005 in-line with market expectations

* Move to new 70,000 sq.ft warehouse scheduled for August 2005

* One million unique customers in March 2005

* Over 580,000 registered customers

* Confident of another strong year


Nick Robertson, the Chief Executive, commenting on the results, said:


I can confirm that the profit before tax and goodwill amortisation for the year
ended 31 March 2005 will be in line with market expectations and will be not
less than 1.05 million. We estimate that group sales for the period increased
by 79% to 13.4 million.


The move to the new 70,000 sq. ft. warehouse has been scheduled for the first
week in August. This has not, and will not effect current trading, as stock in
the business is currently 30-40% lower than pre-Christmas levels.


I remain optimistic about the prospects for the year ending March 2006. Young
fashion appears to be more resilient to macro economic pressures and the Company
will benefit from a full year of sales for the additional departments added
throughout 2004.


The web site has had a make-over, and our traffic levels are the highest they
have ever been. In March 2005 we attracted over one million unique customers for
the first time, and as at 1 June 2005 we had over 580,000 registered customers.
Consequently, I am confident that we can look forward to another strong year.


It is anticipated that the preliminary results for the year ended 31 March 2005
will be issued in the second week of July.


For further information:


ASOS plc
Nick Robertson, Chief Executive Tel: 020 7240 7070
Jon Kamaluddin, Finance Director

www.asos.com


Beattie Financial
Brian Coleman-Smith / Jo Clewlow / Nia Thomas Tel: 020 7053 6400

Seymour Pierce
Mark Percy / Ewan Leggat Tel: 020 7107 8000


ASOS plc is an Internet Retail and Marketing Services Group, established in June
2000 and admitted to AIM in October 2001. Its principle business is ASOS.com, a
leading online fashion and beauty retailer. Aimed primarily at an Internet
savvy 18-34 year old, ASOS has over 580,000 registered customers, and offers
over 2000 lines across womenswear, menswear, jewellery, beauty, accessories and
footwear.






This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

tburns - 09 Jun 2005 08:37 - 1464 of 5941



The content of this RNS, is very +ve IMHO, but downplayed, which is what he probably learnt from last year. The fact that the warehouse is not going to be fully operational until August is not an issue when it comes to this years sales. They will be running 2 systems side by side to ensure that their is a smotth transition before it becomes a stand alone warehouse in August.

Interestingly is the belief that the market ASOS operate in is nott deemed to be anywhere near as effected by 'macro economic pressure' as can be seen on the high street, which is what I said 2 days ago. Again, evey increasing hits and registered users and taking the affiliate programme inhouse is 'blue sky thinking' to maximise the value of the brand.

queen1 - 09 Jun 2005 09:11 - 1465 of 5941

So why the fall in the sp? What's the matter with people???!!!

jimmy b - 09 Jun 2005 09:13 - 1466 of 5941

I was just going to post the same comment, queen1..JB..

RD - 09 Jun 2005 09:16 - 1467 of 5941

A bit of profit taking plus the mms taking their chance to squeeze a profit out of the situation. But selling volume is really not that high and I can't see the sp staying down for long, as this does seem a positive news release for the medium term particularly looking towards Xmas.

jimmy b - 09 Jun 2005 09:20 - 1468 of 5941

The other day there was a buy to sell ratio like this and the price hardly moved , so you may be right RD,, MM's , where's Eric!!

marketmaker - 09 Jun 2005 10:17 - 1469 of 5941

0718 GMT [Dow Jones] ASOS' (ASC.LN) update just ahead of Seymour Pierce's expectations, says analyst Richard Ratner. Highlights higher than expected post-Christmas markdowns due to warehousing issues, hitting profit. Notes however, announcement of new warehouse, says "should the move go extremely smoothly" there may be chance of forecast upgrades. Still sees "huge potential upside" in the company. Retains buy, shares -2.5% at 59p. (PBA)

EWRobson - 09 Jun 2005 10:34 - 1470 of 5941

Hi folk! Most positive thing about the RNS is nothing negative! Warehouse move stretching into August but stock management, which was the problem at Christmas, now no problem with lower holdings. High hits ratio confirmed. Website looks brilliant to me. The trading figures are history. The timing of the results means, clearly intended, that Q1 trading figures will be available. If these reflect the increased traffic they could be ahead of expectations and analysts should then update their annual forecasts which are not demanding. Suspect there could be a further run ahead of this announcement so that this is a good time to top up. Quite understandable that price should ease to reduce profit taking; traders not understanding the opportunity may well want to move elsewhere as the positives in the note are 'subliminal'.

Eric

stockdog - 09 Jun 2005 11:12 - 1471 of 5941

I think this is very much sell on result which was no better than expected in terms of actual and projected out turn for 2005 and 2006, but tinged with mild disappointment that the new warehouse will not be ready until August, when we all thought/hoped May/June.

Not surprised some traders have sold out in anticipation of (and thereby causing) the fall we have seen to day. Some consistent buying has already cut in, so we could be back to where we started within a day or so.

Mid to long term position unchanged and I don't plan to do anything with my holding.

sd

marketmaker - 09 Jun 2005 11:45 - 1472 of 5941

from a4ufroums.co.uk

Just received this email from Nick Robertson - which I will post verbatim and without comment

Keith, thanks for the e-mail. Couple of points; firstly Gavin has my full support and is acting under direct instructions from the board. Secondly ASOS has NEVER been more PROFITABLE.

Affiliates that follow the new guidelines have nothing to worry about, and will benefit from our SUBSTANTIAL investment in product range, branding, site performance/ presentation and marketing.

Kind regards

Nick Robertson

SEADOG - 09 Jun 2005 12:05 - 1473 of 5941

I agree with stockdog, you see it so many times its almost ritual, update comes out, sp heads south, but with marketmakers e-mail from the boss being a follow up,thesp may well languish. SD

stockdog - 09 Jun 2005 12:21 - 1474 of 5941

Dogs of a feather!?

Can't make much of Nick Robertson's email without knowing what question(s) he was replying to.

sd

marketmaker - 09 Jun 2005 13:27 - 1475 of 5941

This is a research note from ASOS broker 'Seymour Pierce', published this morning after today's RNS.

Pre-close update

The company confirms that pre-tax profits, pre-amortisation of goodwill, for the year end 31 March are unlikely to be less than 1.05m, on sales up 79% at 13.4m.

In addition, a lease has been signed on the new warehouse at Hemel Hempstead, at a rental, after taking into account the rent free period, of around 315k per annum.

The move to this warehouse is planned for the first week in August and should be achieved with minimal disruption to trading.

In addition, after the pre-Christmas and immediately post-Christmas trading problems, caused by having less than 20,000 sq ft of warehousing spread over 4 locations, stock levels are currently 30-40% below the pre-Christmas level.

The website has been enhanced and traffic levels are running at their highest ever. In March 2005, for the first time, the website attracted over 1 million unique visitors; and by 1 June there were over 580,000 registered customers.

The management remains optimistic about the prospects for the current year. It sees, as we do, a resilient young fashion market, together with the fact that it should enjoy a full year of sales from the departments added in the last financial year.

We estimate that a combination of additional warehousing costs and reduced margin has cost the company around 0.8m in the last financial year. With a larger warehouse these problems should not recur.

For the year being reported upon we leave our forecast at 1.05m. However, whilst we increase our turnover expectations for the new financial year from 18m to 20m, we leave our pre-tax forecasts unchanged at present. This is because of it being early in the new financial year, and, secondly (and probably much more importantly), the execution risk connected to the warehouse move. Should this go according to plan, then there should be considerable room for upgrades.

Given the growth potential in future years, as well as the possible upside in the new years forecast, the shares remain a BUY.

EWRobson - 09 Jun 2005 15:49 - 1476 of 5941

Lets read between the lines of the Seymour Pierce post (thanks marketmaker). Without the disruptions the results for last year would have been pbt of 1.85m on sales of 13.4m. Take the revised figure of 20m for current year, up 50%, likely to be cautious if the proportion of hits becoming sales is retained, then projected pbt should be 2.75m, not 2.2m. Understandable that SP should leave well alone at this stage, at least until the warehouse move is completed. That is a pe of around 16 which is very low for a company expanding at 50%+ p.a. An sp of 1 and a pe of 30 would be more appropriate. Won't go there yet, of course, but once we see the Q1 trading figures and have an updated forecast from SP then we should get that sort of movement, essentially a return to the trend line before the hiccough. Have topped up at 55.25p on MWMI principle!

Eric

marketmaker - 09 Jun 2005 16:05 - 1477 of 5941

From Hemscott today:

'ASOS - Thursday 9th June 2005

The online fashion retailer saw its shares slide despite a reassuring trading statement but we see no reason for the continued weakness. While there is an argument for letting the shares settle before buying, the growth potential makes them look increasingly attractive.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Asos expects pre-tax profits for the year ended 31 March 2005 to be in line with expectations. That does leave us a bit in the dark, as Asos is little covered, but house broker Seymour Pierce was looking for 1.05m before today's statement while Shore Capital hoped for 1/5m. The group also report that sales for the period were up 79% at 13.4m. All that is lacking is a dividend.

The retailer, which aims mainly at women in the 18-34 age range, is optimistic that it can resist the high street slowdown, given that its main business is trading via its website.

Chief executive Nick Robertson says: 'Young fashion appears to be more resilient to macro economic pressures.'



Following a re-jigging of the retail website, ASOS say traffic levels are running at their highest ever. In March 2005, the website attracted 1m customers for the first time, and by June there were over 580,000 registered customers.

ASOS is confident that it has overcome the bottlenecks experienced pre-Christmas 2004, when warehouse capacity fell short, costing the company around 0.8m.

The company will relocate to a new 70,000 square feet warehouse at Hemel Hempstead in August; well up on their existing 20,000 sq ft of warehouse space. Robertson says the move to the new site should be completed with minimal disruption to trading. The move will not affect trading immediately because stock levels are 30-40% lower than pre-Christmas levels.

Seymour Pierce analyst Richard Ratner recommends a buy, off the back of strong sales growth forecasts and hew will look to upgrade his profits forecasts if the warehouse relocation goes according to plan.

The shares, which almost made 80p late last year, have tailed off recently, with a dip of 5.5p to 55p today. The prospective PE is 19.5 times but forward earnings growth of 66.7% offers the chance that the shares will recover.

Full year results will be announced in the second week of July.'

EWRobson - 09 Jun 2005 18:00 - 1478 of 5941

I recall Lemminginvestor doing a post on the potential for ASOS early this year. Basically, the message was that there is no real finite limit on how long they can grow for. Tesco have managed growth for an extended period, as have HSBC, but in the end of the day they are constrained by phs=ysical expansion of their locations. ASOS are still penetrating their chosen market for fashion-conscious younger people. Not for them the constraints of the High Street retailer. They could widen their focus, increase their product range, they could migrate to the US, to other geographical markets; they could increase the portals, e.g. Amazon, which direct you to their site(s). So what is their growth potential? That of NEXT? But then they do not have the ohysical constraints. They can expand to the US just by the marketing investment and building warehouses. And what capital do they need for such steps?: relatiely little; manage it out of cashflow. What about digital TV a la Ideal Direct? Difficult for competitors to break in and, even if they do, it just helps the market.

My point is that ASOS seem comfortable in handling a 75% or so growth rate in revenue with at least equal growth in profits. There is certainly a decade of expandsion at this rate. That's a compound 75% with a starting figure, say of 2m (correcting for the Christmas blip) leading to a 2015 pbt of 600m and a cap say of 20bill or 400 per share. A tad optimistic perhaps! Best to just tuck them away for 10 years and use them for the pension scheme!

Eric

jimmy b - 09 Jun 2005 18:03 - 1479 of 5941

Very good Eric but i hav'nt got that long, im getting old, 1 will do me fine thanks.
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