overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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Treblewide
- 26 Mar 2007 15:11
- 1464 of 1497
short again at 13.75 s/b
TedNugent
- 26 Mar 2007 15:35
- 1465 of 1497
treble this company rocks, loads of money to be made long, don`t crash and burn dude.
scotinvestor
- 26 Mar 2007 15:38
- 1466 of 1497
lol at Treble
short away
Minder
- 26 Mar 2007 15:44
- 1467 of 1497
treble,
If only you had gone long when I said, LOL! and you said boring, LOL!
Treblewide - 20 Mar 2007 09:41 - 1452 of 1466
closed out s/b short for a few points on the plus side....boring
Minder - 20 Mar 2007 10:45 - 1453 of 1466
Are you going long now treble?
scotinvestor
- 26 Mar 2007 16:14
- 1468 of 1497
who cares?
Treblewide
- 26 Mar 2007 16:18
- 1469 of 1497
calm down scotinvestor...its only a commercial
Minder
- 26 Mar 2007 16:27
- 1470 of 1497
Treble,
you shorted at 8p and closed for a small loss and then missed a rise from 7.5p -11.5p, then you shorted at about 11p made a penny or so before you closed and then missed a rise from 9.5p-14.25p.
Haven't you stopped to wonder whether you are swimming against the tide?
You have been spot on judging when to close the shorts but if you had just gone long at these points you would be far better off ;o)
Treblewide
- 26 Mar 2007 16:40
- 1471 of 1497
minder.....yes i would love to have done it perfectly every time by reversing long however i do not think that is realistic....i could say the same of you ie why not close out long and wait until it retraces until buying again?....you would also have been far better off...not sure I see your point really...are you advocating trading the share...if so fine i would welcome seeing your tardes when you make them or are you only advocating I go long....as I am not willing to go long until I see a profit recorded in their balance sheet or i see a major chart break out
Minder
- 26 Mar 2007 17:05
- 1472 of 1497
Treble, I am saying perhaps this Company isn't a good shorting target, when everything is coming to fruition and when the SP has started recently from a low base.
If you are going to trade then trading long over the last six months would have been a far better option.
As for your comment "why not close out long and wait until it retraces", the risk is that it will not retrace that much and with costs/spread is it really worth it?
I am long and very happy with that, I have been lucky to buy in lots, at what I consider very cheap prices over the last few months, I will look to add more if and when I can. Mediwatch is going places, but will probably be bought by a larger Company within the next 18 months, so I am happy to reduce my CGT by holding for 2 years, DYOR ;o)
Treblewide
- 26 Mar 2007 17:11
- 1473 of 1497
mider..ok..i am happy to take little bits of profit whenever i can...who knows what will happen in 2 years time...we could all be dead ;-)
banjomick
- 26 Mar 2007 18:17
- 1474 of 1497
Evening Treble,
Nowt like looking on the bright side :-)
You have picked an even stranger time to short MDW if I may be so bold,a time where MDW will be throwing all the punches to market their equipment in this ever growing POCT sector!
MDW offer a complete Urology system with the added bonus of PSAwatch along with the reader ie the Bioscan,which will read other types of tests in the future....
Anyway,good luck on your chosen path.
banjomick
- 26 Mar 2007 18:29
- 1475 of 1497
The main distributor for the UK is Elemental Healthcare and describes most of MDW's products in detail along with a brief explanation on the POCT sector:
http://www.elemental-healthcare.co.uk/
Treblewide
- 26 Mar 2007 22:27
- 1476 of 1497
still failing to break the 15p barrier...will be out if it goes above that and would look long be long but not until then
banjomick
- 27 Mar 2007 00:28
- 1477 of 1497
Treble,
Surely the 13/14/15p barriers that are talked about which do show up on the carts,lol,charts were there before Mediwatch completed all the deals as in taking over Medtronic's Urology section along with the T-DOC catheters?
PSAwatch now has CE approval with FDA due this summer if not before,along with all MDW's systems communicating with each other including the once MDT systems to form a 'one stop shop' for the smaller practice.The POCT sector is huge and growing,MDW have a 30% stake in the world Urology sector!
I was not expecting a rise today I have to admit after I think a 36% rise on Friday,was it 6% today?
As you know MDW have not always (lol) been the long termers friend in giving out information and PSAwatch was about two years later than envisaged by the share holders but they have got there in the end and brought a hell of a lot more ie the Medtronic deal with them!
Elemental Healthcare are a major boost for distributing MDW systems while MDW concentrate on their new USA branch-imo
To me anyway there are so many positives to negate any reason to short this company...I know it will only be a relatively small amount you are playing with but I still don't want you to lose money.There may indeed be a few dips that you can make a bit,so wish you good luck,as before.
Treblewide
- 27 Mar 2007 12:11
- 1478 of 1497
mick..yes i know all of this stuff but they still cannot get past the 15p mark so until that happens it is a sell at this level and a buy at 8p.....i might even buy if it get sback to 8p :-)
scotinvestor
- 27 Mar 2007 13:01
- 1479 of 1497
8p.......lol
more chance of the pope playing for rangers!
andysmith
- 27 Mar 2007 13:12
- 1480 of 1497
The push beyond 15p probably needs FDA approval for PSAwatch and some good interim results/sales growth and forecasts. 8p again I doubt it.
This company has a great future now and sp will be much higher but Treb (like it or not) has called a short at 13.75p correctly as a short-term trade, lets face it last weeks news we all knew about anyway, its just a wider audience is now aware following the conference and good marketing by Elemental will assist.
Fair value on next years projected sales will be around 20p so any drops are buying opportunities for those intent on investing. I will be adding on drops. What a shame our NHS isn't actually a "National" health service where innovative products that reduce costs and improve patient care cannot be implemented/forced easily on a National basis.
2517GEORGE
- 27 Mar 2007 13:34
- 1481 of 1497
andysmith-----'What a shame our NHS isn't actually a "National" health service where innovative products that reduce costs and improve patient care cannot be implemented/forced easily on a National basis'. As a shareholder in DEMG I totally agree.
scotinvestor----------I thought he did.
2517
banjomick
- 27 Mar 2007 19:57
- 1482 of 1497
Treble,
I was nearly made to eat my words there-lol
After today's fall and consequent recovery if only partly,I believe this has strengthened the SP for future growth :-)
andysmith
- 27 Mar 2007 21:13
- 1483 of 1497
2517, I have also held DEMG in the past and this is yet another company with innovative product CardioQ and SupraQ etc that has been proven would save the NHS millions of pounds and improve patient care. Both companies would flourish with a centrally run NHS and the money spent on patient care rather than regional and local Managers all trying desperately to cover their own arses, report the targets to Blair and stay within budget.