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From the Guardian ........
Housing market expected to take off thanks to the return of securitisation
Observers detects return of dice-and-slice financial practices blamed for the credit crunch
The housing market revival is expected to accelerate over the next few months as financial investors are once again using the complex funding structures that were linked to the credit crunch, a top law firm involved in the industry said.
Banks are once more buying and re-selling mortgage pools through the issuance of bonds and notes, a technique known as securitisation. However, financial institutions are requiring those deals to be simpler and more transparent as they aim to have more information on the underlying assets, say partners at Clifford Chance.
The complex structures in which mortgages were diced and sliced, sold and re-sold to the point that few investors knew what they were really holding, is seen as one of the key drivers of the credit crisis. But now, in a simpler format, the securitisation deals that once funded a third of the market are coming back to re-ignite the industry, Clifford Chance said.
"Functioning securitisation markets are needed to make credit cheaper," said Kevin Ingram, a partner.
After months of tight credit, residential mortgage deals will most likely be funded by big European banks looking for yield backed by strong collateral, Ingram said. Hedge funds, private equity firms, property companies and distressed-asset funds are also interested in high-quality mortgage pools, he said.
Investors will shy away from buy-to-let and other riskier mortgages, once financed by investment banks such as UBS, or complex and hard-to-value collateralised loan obligations (CLOs), Ingram said, adding that that part of the market was not likely to come back.
The commercial real estate market will take more time to recover because transactions are bigger and more complex, said Emma Matebalavu, another Clifford Chance partner. Many commercial real estate deals will need to be restructured as they were signed at the peak of the market between 2004 and 2007 and will hit a refinancing "wall" in two or three years' time, Matebalavu said. "There's a huge refinancing issue," she added.
Commercial real estate valuations have plunged. White Tower, the investment firm owned by property tycoon Simon Halabi, was recently valued at less than 1bn, compared with 1.9bn in 2006.
Investors are also likely to do more homework on their valuations instead of relying on credit ratings. Agencies such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's were widely criticised after they gave some deals their highest rating even though they included sub-prime mortgages. "Rating agencies are in a very difficult position people misread their role," Ingram said. "But regulators passed on the responsibility to look at risk, a role they never wanted."
In the future, "ratings will be a useful piece of information, but not a driving factor", he said.