goldfinger
- 01 Sep 2004 15:33
This ones a heck of a specualive investment but it seems that the institutions are willing to stomp up the cash to back it in the long term.
Heres the latest news from Killik stocbrokers on the company..........
MEDICAL MARKETING Joint Venture
We recently highlighted Medical Marketing (MMG) as worthy of attention. The company, in which I have a personal share holding, has this morning announced the formation of a joint venture, Genvax, to develop a novel DNA vaccine platform technology.
Human trials have been underway since 2001 in areas such as Lymphoma and Myeloma but the technology has broad applications in cancer, viral and bacterial infections (hence the term platform). The technology works on boosting the immune system by teaching it to identify hard to recognise cancer proteins as foreign and destroy them. Early results from the 25 patient trial in lymphoma are encouraging and evaluation of the result is expected by March 2005. Successful results should mean big pharmaceutical groups will start to take financial and commercial interests around that time.
This looks to be the first of a series of announcements due from Medical Marketing as it has a range of predominantly cancer trials moving into the clinical stage. (news flow could push the price higher)
The stock has made good progress in recent sessions up to the mid-80p level where the company is valued at just under 40 million. ENDS.
Please DYOR
cheers GF.
Barry Harris
- 29 Apr 2005 09:44
- 1513 of 2444
How do bonds work GF
mickeyskint
- 29 Apr 2005 09:48
- 1514 of 2444
I agree GF. I just don't know how the MMs are allowed to get away with it. The FSA are a load of wankers so we're on our own and at the mercy of the MMs.
GF
mitzy
- 29 Apr 2005 09:49
- 1515 of 2444
Another down day again today just hoping that when the Ru news is finally out that it reverses its position...bought yesterday and will see what happens to the Market in general before adding again..
mickeyskint
- 29 Apr 2005 09:56
- 1516 of 2444
OK lets keep positive. Read this from the other side and lets all be patient and see what the future holds.
osull - 29 Apr'05 - 09:41 - 5395 of 5395
As has been said, this current drop in sp seems to be savage punishment for lack of hard news coming out of the R&D presentation. But by any reasonable criteria the current sp must represent a fraction of MMG's true value.
For what it's worth, try doing this:
-calculate a product's royalty income over the life of its patent
-discount this income back to its present value
-multiply the PV of future income by the probability of the product successfully reaching the market
Now do this for each of MMG's products, and add the results together.
What do you get?
When calculating the probability that the portfolio of ruthenium products is a success, don't forget to factor in that Dr James Hoeschele, the inventor of Carboplatin, has been persuaded to join the MMG team. By that I mean that, presumably, he thinks that the ruthenium products stand a good enough chance of success to be worth him investing his time.
And, finally, did I read somewhere that Insinger has brought out a new note putting a value of 2.75 on MMG share price?
MS
markp
- 29 Apr 2005 10:08
- 1517 of 2444
Hi GF
I totally agree with you. We seem to see major drops every day followed by insignificant (if any) rises and major MM influence.
Personally, I know a lot of day traders who are spread betting the indices at the moment. The DOW for instance has been moving 70 points plus regularly and is very volatile during the day. There are no dealing fees and the MM's influence is watered down to some extent. You can easily short it, which is very attractive currently, and reverse your positions regularly. It's just the environment for those who want to make (and probably lose) a quick buck.
All in all, I think that those left are the longer term investors who take a genuine interest in the company they invest in and like the thrill of the chase regarding the research they do. That's not a bad thing to me, as the more knowledgeable the contributors to a thread are, the less susceptible new investor like myself are to hype, rampers, derampers, etc.
Good luck to everyone who holds (as I do at 178p). Patience is a virtue which I think will be rewarded with MMG as the company is well run and seems to have good products in development and a bright future. Doesn't seem that bad an investment to me.
Regards.
Mark.
mickeyskint
- 29 Apr 2005 10:16
- 1518 of 2444
Well said Mark.
MS
goldfinger
- 29 Apr 2005 10:36
- 1519 of 2444
Barry it depends what type of Bonds you want to invest in. If you go over to the Ample board or the Motley Fool Board there are sections there that go into great detail.
I agree with you guys on what as been said over the last few posts. Its time we got a governing body that had retail investors affairs at heart. The FSA just look after the big institutions, they are useless.
Anyway Im going back to bed. Pointless investing in this market as it stands. Every day we think we have hit the bottom only to find we drop further down the day after. Newbies to the stock market will be lost for ever, I feel sorry for them.
cheers GF.
cheers GF.
markp
- 29 Apr 2005 11:31
- 1520 of 2444
Thanks Mickey ~ please keep posting as I really enjoy what you write and find your work really informative.
GF ~ couldn't agree with you more about the FSA. I have worked in the financial services industry for 18 years and have had many meetings/compliance visits from them and their predecessors. In summary, they have not got a clue about real work regulation and simply add so much documentation to a deal, that the customers are actually less informed than they ever have been as they can't possibly take in all the detail on 50+ pages of recommendations from a broker. A real waste of time.
On a separate note, keep your chin up mate and don't get too down about the current market. It's not bad, it's just a great learning process. After all, there are only good times and times when we learn, and what do we really learn during the good times?
Good luck to all.
Mark.
mickeyskint
- 29 Apr 2005 11:55
- 1521 of 2444
Some good posts from you know where. Keep the faith and keep your shares.
osull - 29 Apr'05 - 10:54 - 5397 of 5400
Campelltown,
"whatever it CAN be worth isn't what it is worth now"
Quite right. However, investors need to have some basis for deciding whether to hold or sell or buy right now. Calculating share price based on expected values has the advantage of taking both possible outcomes, sucess and failure of a product, into account.
"at present its what you will pay for the probability of success"
Of course, there is a significant element of subjectivity in these calculations, but, it seems to me, that even the most pessimistic set of assumptions creates a market cap far above what the market currently has for MMG.
A0469514 - 29 Apr'05 - 10:59 - 5398 of 5400
Good posts osull.
And what was the problem with the presentation, apart from the sound quality, which was unfortunate, but down to Buchanan.
I learnt a lot about what is going on and felt very reasured by it.
In particular, I was pretty convinced by the presentation that ruthenium has a strong probability of being a future blockbuster. If, as seems very possible, it has potential worldwide sales of $5 billion plus a year, big pharma will be ready to do a very big deal for that when the time is right. Do not forget, this company has only 12 employees. One big deal and their fortune is made. The sceptics will say, well when they do the deal, then I will invest and sure, you may make a few quid. But the big money will be made by investors who get in early.
The other big news in the presentation was that the Genvax prostate trial has already started. If that works, and it seems the similar lymphoma trial certainly does, then they are onto another potential blockbuster. Prostate cancer, as many know on here, is a common and very nasty problem that, so far as I am aware, has no successful drug to combat it. It is already in phase IIa trials.
So it is quite possible, as I see it, that the guys at MMG could make their fortunes twice over, and not have to wait too long either. I intend to hang on to their coat-tails and bought a few more yesterday. Long term, I feel very confident despite the generally depressed mood in the markets.
Xylos.
MS
andysmith
- 29 Apr 2005 15:34
- 1522 of 2444
Banjomick,your reason for holding MMG is excellent, I continue to hold MDW for much the same reason despite the current low sp. MMG is doing fantastic research in a number of areas that should benefit us all.
Markp, great comment about learning, its true, you learn the most when it goes against you, the sp of MMG has temporarily gone against holders but another excellent comment by gf, it will fly the other way when news is announced.
What to do in the meantime? Several calls can be made but which one is best who knows, MMG definitely retained on my watchlist with a target to BUY again.
mickeyskint
- 29 Apr 2005 16:21
- 1523 of 2444
From the other place. Says it all really. Have a good one people and don't get too pissed.
A0469514 - 29 Apr'05 - 15:10 - 5405 of 5405
ecoejh, You made an enquiry this morning when people were feeling a bit depressed. What have they got on the go? Well, if you have been back, you may have picked up a few things but I think I can sumarise for you.
1. They will have 10 drugs in clinical trials next year. More than most other companies.
2. It looks possible that at least 2 of these may turn out to be huge earners for the company helping to cure different cancers.
3. They have a very promising pipeline coming through being researched by some of the top universities and teaching hospitals.
4. Their burn rate (running costs) is the lowest in the sector. They have only 12 employees.
That, if things work out right, is a pretty unbeatable package. If they score with just one of their candidates, the share price does not remotely reflect the potential earnings. That is why it is my biggest holding.
Xylos
LOL
MS
goldfinger
- 29 Apr 2005 23:29
- 1524 of 2444
Well they did stage a recovery.
cheers GF.
banjomick
- 30 Apr 2005 00:27
- 1525 of 2444
andysmith and mdw...a bit worrying at the moment but I like you are still holding waiting for that..dare i say imminent news!
I'm still very positive with mmg,more than any share i've ever held(except for corus a couple of years ago).I appreciate it is still early days but on the financial aspect with all the products that are going through the testing procedures,they must find at least one that works in what ever field!This is obviously the reason such a share can rise quickly and then be manipulated downward due to lack of actual proof and manufacture/distribution of products.
The way this companies sp has performed over the last few months due to all sorts of influences has opened my eyes up in the way the whole stock market works and the way it can be manipulated.
tau
- 30 Apr 2005 03:35
- 1526 of 2444
Dow Jones +122.1, lets hope this starts next week off on a plus after the excruciating mark-downs of the past few days. This remains very much one of my long term holdings despite arriving late @ 182p. Thanks MS & GF for info.
tau.
mitzy
- 30 Apr 2005 09:27
- 1527 of 2444
Its good news that Prostrate cancer vaccine is so advanced something that I was unaware of a month back when the Genvax presentation was made by Ms Stevenson.Price recovered well at the end of the day and volume seems to be picking up.I remain confident.Long term I feel we could be looking at a much higher price in multiples of the present sp.
goldfinger
- 03 May 2005 01:45
- 1528 of 2444
Same here Mitzy and I hope it starts moving up this week.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 03 May 2005 09:27
- 1529 of 2444
Well they are in the blue this morning.
cheers GF,
hlyeo98
- 03 May 2005 13:16
- 1530 of 2444
I have full cofidence in MMG.
mickeyskint
- 03 May 2005 13:34
- 1531 of 2444
So have I....I think!!
MS
neilmcleod
- 04 May 2005 09:06
- 1532 of 2444
More selling this morning, down 7.5p. Hopefully the good news is just around the corner. I have full confidence that this one will fly when the important announcements come.
Failed QS