cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
explosive
- 20 Nov 2007 22:30
- 152 of 21973
I'm seeing the bears right now so a short for me.
BigTed
- 21 Nov 2007 08:44
- 153 of 21973
Surprised by the market being lower this morning, for me, shows the change in mood now, to bearish, any reason at all and the market drops by 100 points, loads of bullish statements around this morning and doing nothing to help the market...
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 10:17
- 154 of 21973
this is all starting to look very very scary indeed ...... Dow indications now -110 ..... for myself, i have sold quite a lot of mis-behaving stocks this morning, albeit that it means crystalising some quite nasty losses and/or brought back into line other stocks where i was significantly o'weight
have also shorted SOLA again!
maddoctor
- 21 Nov 2007 10:22
- 155 of 21973
last nights rise looked like bear closing as dow hit the magic number of 850
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 10:24
- 156 of 21973
i very much fear that 12850 will be significantly breached this afternoon, which could be the start of whole new and very unfriendly ball game
quirkily, this could easily mean NRK surging as short positions are closed off to take profits and/or cover margins elsewhere
maddoctor
- 21 Nov 2007 10:31
- 157 of 21973
the so-called government are in such a mess i can see them taking the j.c.flowers offer to get back as much money as quickly as they can
and it sure does not look like the US are going into the holidays with the usual fuzzy feeling
HARRYCAT
- 21 Nov 2007 13:20
- 158 of 21973
Not sure it's best to cash in losses just yet. Slight losses could easily go in to profit on a bounce, which is probable after the U.S. holiday, imo.
I assume you are shorting the DOW today, cynic? But long on the FTSE while the U.S. eat their turkeys? I suppose there will even be a shortage of them this year in the U.K.
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 14:10
- 159 of 21973
no, not short Dow as indications last night were for firm F/E etc and by this morning, the rug had already been pulled ...... initial downside is (only!) to 12850, from where one could or arguably see a bounce.
am currently only short SOLA, which i openbed this morning
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 16:09
- 160 of 21973
have just 3 bright spots across my portfolio ......
SOLA .... short at 496 - now 464
PMO .... +51 whereas TLW is -20 and IEC -52
CSR ..... +23 at 571 after a high of 499 - no obvious reason
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 17:07
- 161 of 21973
Dow making some sort of attempt at recovery having hit a low of 12819 ..... currently teasing to get above 12900
spitfire43
- 21 Nov 2007 17:19
- 162 of 21973
On sidelines re FTSE trading at moment, finding it very hard to read the markets, they do seem bearish overall.
There must be alot of investers with plenty of cash, waiting for the correct time to re enter the markets. I have gone to over 60% cash now, and I know I'm certainely not alone. For what it's worth I would think this correction has still some way to fall, but there will be plenty of bargain hunters around.
Falcothou
- 21 Nov 2007 17:56
- 163 of 21973
Been doing quite a bit of hedging long positions, have to be very careful to tick force to open on IG though if there's an existing deficit!
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 17:58
- 164 of 21973
have a smallish Dow long running at the moment ...... currently in the money but not sure whether to set a limit .... have already set stop just in case disaster strikes again.
BigTed
- 21 Nov 2007 18:33
- 165 of 21973
This is getting very edgy and very difficult for me, i cant be near a computer all day, as on building projects, set buy order for TAN @130p the other day and its triggered, however i can see it continuing to fall after todays weakness, when will the bounce come...?
Just one ray of light today...CRA, of which i am very o'weight
Strawbs
- 21 Nov 2007 20:02
- 166 of 21973
A bounce for TAN or the wider market? I don't have live prices so I don't know what the DOW is currently doing at the moment. As I see it the key technical for the DOW is around 12845. A close below that level would create a "lower low" (lowest currently being Aug 16th), and would signal a trend change from up to down. Looking at other indices I would say many of them are at or near key technical levels. Not surprising really as they all tend to follow each others direction (more or less).
As for TAN, the close today was lower than the previous "lowest low" of 130 on 21/08. Having already posted a "lower higher" of 184 on 10/10 it could now be considered to be in a down trend. An up trend consists of "higher highs" and "higher lows", and a down trend consists of "lower highs" and "lower lows".
Depending on the wider market conditions I can see possible support around 124 and 115, with stronger support around 92. I suspect 100 might also provide support though. Additionally you need to consider the "walls" of the trend channel as other areas of support and resistance. This is just my personal technical analysis (I'm no expert by any means) but I hope it helps.
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
cynic
- 21 Nov 2007 21:02
- 167 of 21973
looks as though london is in for another horror tomorrow
explosive
- 21 Nov 2007 21:46
- 168 of 21973
Glad I shorted today, ker-ching!!... Mid to end of week alway brings the danger of a ralley so will count the pennys tomorrow. My equities are in blood bath at the moment, reds outnumbering the blues badly so second your horror cynic..
Falcothou
- 21 Nov 2007 21:58
- 169 of 21973
Probably worth shorting FTSE ASAP perhaps at 7am. when futures open for my spreadbetting account too much capital tied up in hedging in cfd, any comments for those still up ?
maddoctor
- 21 Nov 2007 22:03
- 170 of 21973
yes , thank the F*ck its the end of Mcclaren
Falcothou
- 21 Nov 2007 22:06
- 171 of 21973
I would have shorted FTSE this eve if hadn't been tied up watching a bunch less deserving of their millions than Merril's ex-boss