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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

BigTed - 20 Mar 2008 09:42 - 1527 of 21973

Its my belief we were heading for a mass sell off before the fed intervened and injected $200bn into financials, both Dow and Ftse were near january lows, the next event was the Bear saga, so they drop interbank rate by .25, they are doing whatever is needed to prevent the next big sell, however i think they are running out of plasters, if Citibank reveal bigger problems, are they going to effectively buy them out too...?

Strawbs - 20 Mar 2008 10:08 - 1528 of 21973

The Fed won't run out of ammunition. It might run out of bullets and end up throwing the cutlery and the kitchen sink, but either way they'll keep on going regardless. Even if they end up with 0% rates and a seriously broken economy, what choice do they have?

I suspect the interventions will have less and less effect (just like pain killers), and at some point (maybe never though) the crisis will be too big to stop. At the moment, despite the volatility, equities haven't really collapsed in the way I would've expected. I suppose a slide in the currency equates to a drop in real value anyway, even if the markets actually go nowhere. These are certainly interesting times.......

In my opinion.....

Strawbs.

bhunt1910 - 20 Mar 2008 18:58 - 1529 of 21973

Steady climb by the dow today - nothing dramatic - just steady. I managed to balance my books today - lost money early on then spent all day recovering it.

Happy Easter all

cynic - 24 Mar 2008 07:27 - 1530 of 21973

F/E was seemingly steady to better last night, and it is good to see Dow indicators showing +36 at 11364, having nudged over 11400 at some point.

with Europe shut today, trading in US should be quiet (thank goodness!) ...... however, if the positive mood is maintained, then London should open solidly better, especially bearing in mind that Dow was about 200 points lower at close of biz London on Thursday.

required field - 24 Mar 2008 11:22 - 1531 of 21973

I was pondering to myself what the effect on the markets would be of a Dollar collapse ..let's say dropping to : $2.50 to the ....not so good I would say....I'm still surprised that it still is only $2 approx. to the pound after a year of minor ups and downs !

Toya - 24 Mar 2008 14:44 - 1532 of 21973

Positive news from the US today: JP Morgan have increased their offer for Bear Stearns to $10, and US existing home sales in February were up 2.9% which is more than was expected.

All good news for the Dow, and the FTSE has also broken above 5600. Having only recently started trading the indeces, I've taken out mini contracts on both.

2517GEORGE - 24 Mar 2008 16:56 - 1533 of 21973

rf ---- I wouldn't be surprised to see the $ rebound from here in the near term especially against the Yen and Euro, and to a lesser degree against the . Not that I know much about currencies, just my view that's all.
2517

cynic - 24 Mar 2008 17:28 - 1534 of 21973

if Dow can hold above 12500 (currently 12575) at the close, then the next test is around 12800

ptholden - 24 Mar 2008 17:50 - 1535 of 21973

Evening Richard

cynic - 24 Mar 2008 18:21 - 1536 of 21973

hi peter .... "my man" in bahrain tells me your weather is distinctly wamer than ours!

ptholden - 24 Mar 2008 18:28 - 1537 of 21973

unfortunately got back this morning, back in the cold :( Was a nice 28-30 degrees in Dubai with low humidity most of the time.

Just been looking at the DOW, interested to note that the chart lines I drew seven weeks ago are still holding true. Need a better chart package thought than the one I'm using.

ptholden - 24 Mar 2008 18:29 - 1538 of 21973

my lines have res at 12860 and support at 12400 or thereabouts, they need some refining though.

BigTed - 24 Mar 2008 19:39 - 1539 of 21973

Cant see any rally having serious legs, i also believe my portfolio should be weighted towards the short side, but somehow cant bring myself to do it...

required field - 24 Mar 2008 23:17 - 1540 of 21973

There might be some blue tomorrow but like BigTed says : for how long...everybody is so negative now including myself !

Toya - 25 Mar 2008 07:03 - 1541 of 21973

rf: there should be a good opportunity to make money on the FTSE today at least - be happy!

required field - 25 Mar 2008 08:32 - 1542 of 21973

Ooohhh !, I can feel those positive vibes this morning.....luuuvvvveeelly blue !, but for how long ?

cynic - 25 Mar 2008 08:35 - 1543 of 21973

certainly BARC proved very profitable for me ..... thank you warren, though i am sure he will not be reading this .... have taken my profit

Toya - 25 Mar 2008 13:57 - 1544 of 21973

FTSE taking a dive, probably because of news just out from the US:

"A widely-watched index of U.S. home prices fell 11.4 percent in January, its steepest drop since data for the indicator was first collected in 1987." - Not very encouraging!

cynic - 25 Mar 2008 14:20 - 1545 of 21973

while Dow is def jittery, it has really not fallen far and FTSE remains quite stable .... have closed all index positions with an overall small profit and shall now watch ......

would like to see FTSE stay above 5640 or 5595 at worst, and Dow to recover above 12500/12525

cynic - 26 Mar 2008 09:57 - 1546 of 21973

i am very pleassed to see that my fear that FTSE in particular would suffer badly on the back of the XTA/Vale talks collapsing have so far proved unfounded.

i wonder if Dow will remain similarly solid, with that holding above 12400 or better still, 12450
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