Juzzle
- 07 Nov 2014 10:37
Juzzle
- 05 Mar 2015 08:45
- 16 of 25
Share price has doubled in 14 weeks since bouncing of its alltime low in November.
Seems people are at last convinced that serious progress is happening on site. (ticker SPL)
EDIT: And then it threw away its gains! Local villager protests apparently slowing progress.
Juzzle
- 29 Apr 2015 06:56
- 17 of 25
Grant Thornton have issued this
quarterly appraisal of India stocks.
cynic
- 29 Apr 2015 08:23
- 18 of 25
the last para of same .....
Country outlook
The Indian government announced the Budget for the 2015/2016 financial year on 28 February. Although it contains a number of potentially beneficial policies, including increased spending on infrastructure and significant tax reforms, it fell short of introducing any groundbreaking changes. GDP is forecast to increase by 8% in 2015/16 and by 8.3% in 2016/17, and the fall in oil prices is expected to assist the country's fiscal deficit and balance of payments.
We continue to remain cautiously optimistic about India as we expect the government to provide the political stability and implement the much-needed economic reforms. In time, this should lead to renewed investor confidence in the London markets.
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for myself, i hold JII.L in my sipp as for the longer term
Juzzle
- 20 Nov 2015 11:03
- 20 of 25
IC today looking at two UK-listed energy companies in India, OPG and MYT:
Shares in Indian energy generators OPG Power Ventures (OPG) and Mytrah Energy (MYT) have fallen significantly in the past six months, despite the country's persistent chasm between supply and demand. Wind power generator Mytrah recently said it had suffered this year as a result of a less windy start to the monsoon season, leading to analysts downgrading full-year expectations.
Shares in Mytrah have fallen by a quarter in the past 12 months, while returns on an absolute-return basis are down 82 per cent in the past three years. This is despite poor energy infrastructure resulting in a chronic shortage of power in India. The International Energy Agency has estimated that Indian primary energy demand would more than double between 2013 and 2030 to more than 1,426m tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe).
Mytrah has built nine turbines so far this year, adding 50.2 gigawatts (GW) of power. This brings overall capacity to 578 megawatts (MW). Management expects to enter the 2016 windy season with 743MW of capacity. However, it has come up against one of the main risks of renewable energy this year - the unpredictability of the weather. Analysts at Investec Securities downgraded their forecasts for this year's cash profits by more than a quarter to €67m (£47m).
While shares in OPG Power Ventures have fallen back over the past year, the electricity provider has generated an 82 per cent increase in returns on a total return basis. In October, its Chennai plant entered into three-year, agreed volume contracts directly with industrial customers for 257MW of capacity. Industrial contracts - which are longer than the nationwide average - now represent 62 per cent of sales for this plant.
While the Indian government has submitted proposals to tackle climate change rather than cut emissions in absolute terms, it has opted to cut emissions intensity - the amount of carbon pollution per unit of gross domestic product - by around a third by 2030 from 2005 levels. This means coal will continue to play an important part in India's energy mix and so be beneficial for OPG.
IC VIEW:
Mytrah's heavy debt - $519m (£341m) compared with a market cap of £125 at the end of June - is a concern and the shares are on 45 times Bloomberg consensus earnings. This makes us more bullish on OPG, whose 750MW target capacity is expected to be profitable by January next year, albeit four months later than chief financial officer V Narayan Swami told us in June. Its 11 times Bloomberg consensus earnings price tag makes it a buy.
cynic
- 20 Nov 2015 11:14
- 21 of 25
india really ought to be the place in which to invest, even in preference to china
i'm afraid the latter all too often shows a face of corruption and double-dealing that has been raised almost to an art form
however, despite the good intents of the current gov't in india, the civil service and similar remains swamped with bureaucracy and bureaucrats who often have no idea what they're talking about ....... rather than admit to their ignorance and ask for better explanation, they'll just block, which is frustrating in the exteme
personally, i wouldn't dare invest in individual companies here, but have plumped for JII.L (jp morgan indian)
cynic
- 20 Nov 2015 16:16
- 23 of 25
certainly the indian market hasn't performed at all well in recent months, but i'm in JII for long term; it's in my sipp