goldfinger
- 03 Nov 2003 01:07
Hi Guys back of Holiday but not yet really settled down. Needed the break as I havent had a holiday in 5 years. Just been resting up at home.
Back to the stocks. Well lets face it last week was a stinker, simple as that. Interest rates hike hanging over the market and the tiddlers getting hurt most as all of the extra cost will fall to the bottom line. Lets hope for a better week.
Update on stocks.
I D DATA- hoping for this one to carry on from Friday and start to rise again. About 4 weeks to results so we may get a good run plus a contract win is get to be confirmed.
INCITE HOLDINGS - strange happenings at this company last week but apparantley big orders were being filled for institutional players, in fact a pal of mine on another site who is a big holder was contacted to see if he wanted to sell any of his holding and he gave them a quick no chance answer.
BEMA GOLD - fell back by about 10 points last week on averageish results. Fact of the matter is that a Miner should be judged on NAV and not earnings, due to physical nature of the business.
JUST CAR CLINICS - TA uptrend in place and company released two very interesting pieces of news on its web site that should see further support.
CENTURION ELECTRONICS - gave back a bit of ground last week but uptrend trully in place.
HCEG - another that gave ground back last week but there was some good news later in the week refering to warrants. Seems holders on a certain date will be awarded a warrant for every XXX share held . Ask me in the morning.
PIPEX - changed name last week had an up and down week but I added yet again. Great growth potential here.
NEW RECOMMENDATION
Going to go in for SCI ENTERTAINMENT SEG in the morning. Saturday paper confirmed that trading was well in front of budget and this backed up what Evil Knievil had been saying last week. EK feels that this is one of the cheapest stocks on the Whole Market, and we should get a good run up to Xmas with the new Desert Storm offering (sorry not an expert on games).
DYOR and if you buy watch the spread in the first hour or so, the MMS read the newspapers just like us, dont get sucked in. Remember you are responsible for your own buy and sell actions, we dont want any whimps complaining if they lose money. Only use money that you camn afford to lose and remember this is investing. If you want a quick fix, I suggest you go down to your local bookies , casino or boozer and play on the one armed bandit. We are all adults.
gf.
ps, sorry forgot Service Power Tech - special update on that sometime monday.
hopping
- 24 Nov 2003 12:59
- 160 of 227
goldfinger.
Why on earth should I make an apology.
I asked where is the post advising the sale of before the drop.
Why were PRIVATE messages warning to sell and not given on the board as was the advice to buy.
Just seems strange to me.
And I am trying to give advice to others what I see.
Hopping
richstuch
- 24 Nov 2003 13:14
- 161 of 227
Personally, I don't care whether GF's tips are good or not (well, I do but read on and you'll see what I mean). The fact of the matter is that advice is given here on a 'take it or leave it' basis.
If you think people are ramping a stock - ignore them
If you think a persons tips are rubbish - ignore them
It's easy really
Hopping. You said "............ But where was your post warning to get out at this level, was it after you sold or did you give time for them to get out first".
My question is, WHY should GF be obliged to post such a warning? I'm sure that if he had the time and the relevant information to predict such a fall, he would. Do you pay him commision?? Do you have some kind of contract with him that says you MUST make money on his tips or you get compensated?? I doubt it.
Whether GF's tips are good or not, you have the oportunity to DYOR. I find that GF always backs up his tips with reports from various sources or provides links to articles to substantiate his claims (this isn't true of rampers).
This wasn't intended to be a 'pro GF' post but it appears that others are 'anti GF' for some reason that I haven't been able to grasp (and my point of view relates to all situations like these - not JUST GF's).
I'm getting really fed up of people posting here just to attack others when they are trying to lend a helping hand. If you don't want a helping hand, then fine. If you think someone is posting misleading information, don't just attack them. Post some information to indicate the other side of the arguement. If you CAN'T post the 'other side' then there is no arguement. An arguement by definition is a difference of opinion.
Let's hope we can start talking about shares again soon.
Rich
Mega Bucks
- 24 Nov 2003 13:25
- 162 of 227
Re: 160
1st class post i think you have summed it up a treat:-)
Mega...
GRAEME.ALEXANDER
- 24 Nov 2003 13:29
- 163 of 227
I am sure the MAJORITY feel the same as post 160.
I for one do and would love to get the board back to how it was.
Graeme.
zarif
- 24 Nov 2003 13:38
- 164 of 227
re:160
GF - go for it as there will always be "guys who think that the sun is shining out of their a***" and reckon they have a point to prove -whereas they should be concentrating on their own trades and if they are so good etc why dont they start their own thread and see what they can come up with. This is a traders board and should have harmony not disruption.No-one is forcing them to take any trades -if they dont like it leave it.
You are doing a fine job and carry on -dont let them deter you.Its their loss.
zarif
Soulretro
- 24 Nov 2003 14:22
- 165 of 227
RE : 160 Top quality post;
DYOR as always.
Bullshare
- 24 Nov 2003 14:30
- 166 of 227
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goldfinger
- 24 Nov 2003 15:18
- 167 of 227
Lets get back to business Guys and try and earn some money, thats why we are here.
Telecolm plus is really starting to move, up 13.5p as I speak, results out on friday.
cheers GF,
and thanks very much for the support guys, its great to see such nice people around. Many thanks.
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 15:37
- 168 of 227
Goldfinger what's your opinion on JCR mentioned in this thread?
It's now just 13p bid.....wasn't this 40p a couple of months ago?
Should investors average down.....if so why?
All reasonable questions, a chance for you to put the bull case forward.
sinutab
- 24 Nov 2003 15:53
- 169 of 227
Thirdeye put a sock in it your again trying to start trouble.
you were instigator this morning, i hope admin kick you off.
gf as already got squelch on you. stop stupidity.
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 15:58
- 170 of 227
No I want to debate JCR....Bullshare's post has been noted....Is the board allowing negative comments about shares, no use whinging because someone doesn't have a bullish view.
JCR is mentioned in this thread.
I don't think the debt hasn't been highlighted enough in the postive promotion of this stock.
How will the nice weather affect JCR's business?
What is thought of the options @ 1p, which it appears were granted when the share price was much higher?
Can they meet the debt payments?
Will interest rates affect the business?
Fundamentalist
- 24 Nov 2003 16:02
- 171 of 227
Thirdeye,
Your posts are extremely infuriating. You obviously have a strong opinion, then please state it rather than continually phrasing it as a question. If all you are going to post is open ended questions which you obviously think you know the answer to then don't bother posting at all!!!
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 16:04
- 172 of 227
I'll debate in which manner I prefer thanks. free speech? Squelch if you don't want to hear it.
Soulretro
- 24 Nov 2003 16:09
- 173 of 227
ThirdEye,
how is the interest rate going to affect JCR in the long term?
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 16:12
- 174 of 227
If it goes up payments are sheduled to 2008 I understand, so unless fixed, this means more borrowings to pay back, the gearing is already in the 100's of percent. So depends on the trend, if they go down again all well & good, but still heavy debt to repay & meet, the business has to remain strong in my view to avoid no hiccups.
goldfinger
- 24 Nov 2003 16:14
- 175 of 227
Thirdeye reported to admin once again, this is obviously a personal vendetta, and Im sure he has broken the board rules as I feel I am being attacked and the board is being disrupted.
cheers GF.
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 16:15
- 176 of 227
No board rules are broken, since Bullshare's post. You are trying to censor free speech.
It may be irritating for you to read a post with negative views about a share, but we live in a democratic society that encourages free speech.
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 16:26
- 177 of 227
A post I wrote on 2nd April when JCR was being written about in a bullish manner.
First of all if you hold JCR this is a constructive post, which I hope may give you a better understanding, after recent claims of 26p Nav or Huge discount to NAV.
I am getting a little worried some investors don't fully understand the position of this company, although I am sure many do and are happy to take a punt.
I have only looked superficially so I may be corrected, but as I see it, the NAV can be broadly calculated as follows:
c ?670,000 shareholders funds (c?700,000 cash)
?3.05m assets bought by the aquisition of JCR.
Now ?2m is going to be paid premium, and ?3.05 million cash which meets tangable NAV.
So we have:
Tangible assets of circa ?3m
But then we have borrowings of ?2.3m
(?3m for the acquisition - ?700,000 cash already in the balance sheet)
So I would say NAV is currently around ?0.7m....but wait...
Now then, JCR have been clever as they are funding the other ?2m aquisition cost out of profits (hopefully) on a scheduled basis.
For people like me who like to view a balance sheet in a conservative manner, if I add the ?2m to the cost straight away, we have negative net asset value of circa ?1.3m.
This may drive home to the few that don't fully understand (not trying to be patronising here) the real picture.
This may all work out, but I have turned round a company with very high gearing, so I do have a little knowledge about what high gearing means.
We then have borrowings I suspect a little more than mentioned above, as they may need some working capital, which will attract arrangement fees & interest charges.
Also they have acknowleged that European legislation is getting tighter for bodywork.
this is likely to cost money, if they are expanding, this will cost money too.
Now many are assuming ?1m profits,(high in my opinion) well that would put them in my mind on Negative NAV of 0.3m (see above) after the financial y/e.
Only after two years of profits will they get positive NAV in my book.
So all this p/e of 1 or 2 is nonsense to me, you must look at the whole picture....the real p/e after deducting sheduled payments & interest will be nothing like what some of you think it is.
They couldn't pay for the acquisition in one go, as that would have rendered them with Negative shareholders funds as I would have thought they wouldn't be entitled to a quote on AIM, so they have simply "moved the goalposts" to enable it all to be acceptable, to the LSE, and Banks.
This company is walking a tightrope, all companies with high gearing do so...they must meet their targets & hope interest rates stay firm or go down & not rise.
I am not suggesting they won't acheive their objectives & I'm not suggesting shareholders will not make money, just trying to get a more balanced picture accross after claims of 26p NAV.
Good luck to all holders.
(All the above my opinion & may not be 100% free of error)
Bullshare
- 24 Nov 2003 16:31
- 178 of 227
All; We like free speech on here. However we do provide a squelch facility if someone is getting on your nerves, or simply ignoring them tends to deflate an arguement.
There will always be pro's and con's for all shares and people will go long and short accordingly.
Not taking any sides but since some of this is getting personal should it not be done offline. I am happy to be a go between via email: mike@moneyam.com.
Mike
ThirdEye
- 24 Nov 2003 16:37
- 179 of 227
For some reason my pound sign is appearing as a ?, depite editing, so please substitute ? for pound sterling in the above post.