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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

hilary - 03 Jun 2004 08:49 - 1602 of 11056

As much as I enjoy your company, that's enough for me atm. I'm short with a stop at entry and I'm just going to leave it for now in the hope that it can break down throughout the course of the day. I've got some other work to do this morning and, if the weather holds, I'd like to do my white bits in the garden later. Will look in later.

Tellon - 03 Jun 2004 11:33 - 1603 of 11056

GBP has bounced off 61.8% fib retracement and also has bearish indicators on the daily.

getChart.asp?c=CHART20046362950706&i=PCP

Any comments about my prediction for further drops? based on my TA and the fundamentals of decreasing oil price and increase in US stat anouncements.

Beeblebrox - 03 Jun 2004 14:00 - 1604 of 11056

Tellon;
as i said a few days ago, it's beggining to look overbought. we've gone from
176 up to 185 in 4 weeks, with no particularly negative US news other than oil.

goldman sucks and warren buffet both think $ is going to remain weak, and on the
international scene the only currency preferred to is the swiss.
is viewed as being cheap at these levels, and the steam train will keep on rolling up over the medium term imho.

the correction from 185 down to 183 over the last day or two may be enough,
it all depends on the oil situation, which i think has a lot of mileage in it
before it's played out. interest rate thoughts are currently playing second fiddle.

my current view is we may retrace a little more - as i said 'tother day - to
181-182, but my view is it'll be up, up and away again after that. it would'nt surprise me to be testing the 191 high over the next 4-8 weeks.

but please remember - i'm no expert !!!!!



Beeblebrox - 03 Jun 2004 15:33 - 1605 of 11056

if it holds over 184 we could be turning a tad bullish,
key level now 183 92-96 at mo.

Tellon - 03 Jun 2004 15:57 - 1606 of 11056

Stoped out +40 looking to short from anywhere near 1.8500 though..

Tellon - 03 Jun 2004 15:59 - 1607 of 11056

Or maybe not.. I give up.. Im buying M&S shares..

Beeblebrox - 03 Jun 2004 16:15 - 1608 of 11056

tellon :~)

foale - 04 Jun 2004 08:19 - 1609 of 11056

Morning all

Playing the short side today
as the second attempt at the recent highs
was rejected last night
though unsure of how far it will go

or where my target should be
in an ideal world 18280-18300
Still its about where to place your stops
...and let the target take care of itself

hilary - 04 Jun 2004 08:29 - 1610 of 11056

I still happen to think that there is a fair bit of mileage on the short side but I also feel that it needs to get below the 18250/18300 levels in order to get the bulls out of the market.

Tellon - 04 Jun 2004 11:00 - 1611 of 11056

Non-Farm Payrolls day!!

Who wants to make a million!!

Tellon - 04 Jun 2004 13:57 - 1612 of 11056

Damn It.. Not me.. - 27 pips

foale - 04 Jun 2004 14:45 - 1613 of 11056

About now is where it starts getting hard
shorted it from the highs..to 8403..

and still I am inclined toshort

foale - 04 Jun 2004 15:18 - 1614 of 11056

Hilary what you making of all this

foale - 04 Jun 2004 15:48 - 1615 of 11056

Looks like I am the only one trading FX...heavily short atm
and feeling a bit more confident

Sue 42 - 04 Jun 2004 16:12 - 1616 of 11056

I am too - I am scalping short positions.

hilary - 04 Jun 2004 16:20 - 1617 of 11056

foale,

I'm just standing still with this atm. What I make one day, I give back the next. Got stopped from my short on the crazy 1:30 price action.

Tim (nice but dim) giving more enjoyment this afternoon. I'll look at it again on Monday.

prodman - 04 Jun 2004 16:29 - 1618 of 11056

hilary - if you trade every other day, think of how much you would be making, well that's if you pick the winning day first. :-))

Tellon - 06 Jun 2004 20:21 - 1619 of 11056

Any one have a economic calendar for this week?

hilary - 07 Jun 2004 07:03 - 1620 of 11056

I'll do it in a few minutes time, Tellon.

It was on the website on Friday and I nearly posted it then. For some strange reason it then reverted back to the calendar up to 4th June and it's been like that all weekend. I notice that it's now changed again.

hilary - 07 Jun 2004 07:07 - 1621 of 11056

Date

Currency

Event

GMT

CONSENSUS

PREVIOUS

7-Jun

AUD

ANZ Job Ads (May)

1:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

0.7%

Mon

NZD

Holiday (Market Closed)

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

NZD

Trade Balance (Revised) (Apr)

22:45

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

-NZD134Mn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

CAD

Building Permits (m/m)

12:30

2.0%

-4.2%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Money Supply (M2+CD)

23:30

1.9%

1.9%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Broad Liquidity (y/y)

23:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

1.70%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Bank Lending (May)

23:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

-4.0%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

USD

Consumer Credit (Apr)

19:00

USD5.9Bn

USD5.7Bn

8-Jun

AUD

NAB Business Confidence (May)

1:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

Tue

CAD

Housing Starts (May)

12:15

230K

241.6K

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

CAD

BoC Rate Decision

13:00

2.0%

2.0%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

DEM

Industrial Production (Apr)

10:00

1.0%

1.1%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

DEM

Unemployment Rate (s.a)

7:55

10.5%

10.5%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

INT

G8 Summit (Sea Island, GA)

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

GDP (q/q)

23:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

1.4%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

GDP (y/y)

23:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

GBP

EEF Quarter 2 Quarterly Trends Survey

9:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

EUR

ECB Weekly Financial Statement - Balance (Jun 4)

13:00

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

EUR867.25Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

USD

Consumer Confidence (May)

19:00

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

-18

9-Jun

AUD

Westpac Consumer Confidence (Jun)

0:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

Wed

AUD

Home Loans (Apr)

1:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

1.2%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

NZD

RBNZ Rate Decision (Jun)

21:00

5.75%

5.50%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

DEM

Current Account (Apr)

6:00

6.3Bn

11.3Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

DEM

Trade (Apr)

6:00

12.3Bn

16.5Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

GBP

Trade (Apr)

8:30

-GBP2200Mn

-GBP2016Mn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

GBP

Industrial Production (Apr)

8:30

0.4%

0.0%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

GBP

Manufacturing Production (Apr)

8:30

0.4%

-0.3%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

GBP

NIESR GDP estimate (May)

12:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

0.6%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Current Account Total

23:50

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY1828.3Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Trade Balance - BOP Basis

23:50

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY1340.6Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

International Securities Invest (Apr)

23:30

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY859.4Bn

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Export Price Index (m/m)

23:50

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

-2.0%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

JPY

Import Price Index (m/m)

23:50

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

0%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

USD

Wholesale Inventories (Apr)

14:00

0.5%

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