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CFA CAPITAL - EXCITING YEAR AHEAD (DGT)     

SueHelen - 31 Mar 2004 10:42

Final Results Due In March 2005.

http://www.cityfin.co.uk
Trades over 450,000 shares are delayed in reporting by 1 Hour.

One of City Financial Associates (CFP's) main operating goals is to bring fledgling companies to the market. With the depressed stock market over the last few years many potential clients have deffered entry to the LSE. Markets have now turned and the reality of a sucession of new floatations is growing. CFP are well positioned to enjoy the rewards that will be benefited to them in this growing market place.

Why the EXCITEMENT - will here are the reasons why I think we're on a winner.

1) My motto is when it's comes to investing there are three things. Management, management and management. With any good investment - the management should be the driving force in a company. Can they cut the mustard, are they dynamic, do they have good contacts? I think so if you read the following profile.

Stephen Barclay, Executive Chairman

Stephen Barclay, aged 61, qualified as a Chartered Accountant in 1964 with Robson Rhodes before obtaining an MBA degree from Wharton Business School in 1967. In 1989, after a career during which he reorganised various companies, he established City Financial Associates Plc (formerly Clifton Financial Associates Plc) to provide corporate finance advice to small to medium sized private and public companies. In August 1998, City Financial Associates Plc was purchased by Talisman House Plc (now Seymour Pierce Group Plc) where he became group executive chairman. In December 1998, Talisman House Plc purchased an institutional stockbroker, Seymour Pierce Limited, where he became executive chairman. He resigned as a director of Seymour Pierce Group Plc and various other group companies at the end of March 2001 to found CFA Capital Group Plc. He is a director of a number of public companies including MICE Group Plc and Talisman First Venture Capital Trust Plc and is a governor of the London School of Economics and Political Science.

John Shaw, Executive Director

John Shaw, aged 54, qualified as a Chartered Accountant in 1975 with Touche Ross & Co in London. Subsequently he spent two years seconded to the Quotations Department of the London Stock Exchange returning to Touche Ross & Co to join the Corporate Finance Group until 1982. After a period as a sole practitioner, he joined Chase Investment Bank Limited in 1985, was appointed a director and founded the Equity Investment Group, formed to invest in unquoted companies. In 1990 he joined Henry Ansbacher & Co Limited as an Assistant Director of Corporate Finance. He started working with City Financial Associates Plc in early 1995 and was appointed a director in December 1996. He was appointed a director of Seymour Pierce Limited in December 1998 where he was initially Head of Corporate Finance and latterly Head of Private Equity. He resigned from Seymour Pierce Limited and various other group companies at the end of March 2001 to found CFA Capital Group Plc.

2) They have turned a 2 million loss into nearly a profit if you ignore costs for discontinuing operations - that some turn around.

3) With only small market capital of 3.83M it's feasible to suggest they could make a good profit this year as they have already got off to a good start signing more clients.

A profit of half million would give a pe ratio of 7.66

1 million a pe ratio of 3.83

1.5 million a pe ratio of 2.55

2 million a pe ratio of 1.91.

So it would only take a small profit to make this company super undervalued. Consider the possibility they could achieve a 2 million profit this year, which is the least, I expect, we could be looking at a share price of 7p. YES THAT'S 7P (An average p/e for the sector is 16.) Even with a profit of only 1 million that's still an upside of 3.5p.

3) Consider the fact that some of their clients pay their fee by way of giving large share holdings to CFP. All it would take is two or three creamy companies to give them valuable portfolio holding which they could cash in at a substantial return.

4) The IPO is sector has already increased three fold this year. More and more companies are coming into AIM and from abroad then ever before. Rules have changed where foreign companies can use a fast track scheme to get on board more quickly then ever before. I'm sure CFA Associates are well positioned to benefit with this increase in volume.

5) We could see a re-rating this year in this sector, which would be the cherry on the top.

I rest my case, to me this is a no brainer unless you want to wait for the next results for proof they have achieved profitability. If that's your cautious approach, fine but by then, you can then expect a much higher share price then now.

Major Shareholdings:
Stephen John Barclay 64,600,000 11.66%
Pershing Keen Noms Ltd 49,610,000 8.95%
John Richard Shaw 29,400,000 5.31%

RNS Number:9414C
CFA Capital Group PLC
15 September 2004

CFA Capital Group plc
Interim results for the 6 months ended 30 June 2004
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT

Highlights

* Nominated Adviser to 20 AIM companies - broker to 15 AIM companies

* Currently handling a number of AIM flotations and other major transactions

* Strong second-half order book - solid outlook for year

* Turnover for the period up 95% to #510,000 (6 months to 30 June 2003:
#262,000 from continuing operations)

* Losses before taxation of #58,000, (loss 6 months to 30 June 2003:
#208,000 from continuing operations)

* Currently recruiting to further strengthen team

Introduction
I am pleased to announce that CFA is now retained as Nominated Adviser to 20 AIM
companies and broker to 16 AIM companies. The company is currently working on a
number of AIM flotations and other major transactions, and as such has built a
strong order book for the second half of 2004. The fees generated by this
activity, taken together with our underlying retainer income and largely-fixed
overhead base, leaves us well-positioned for a satisfactory outcome to the year
as a whole.

Sharply reduced losses for the first half were achieved even though we had to
incur costs on two flotations that were not completed until July 2004 which
generated revenues of #225,000. These revenues were not recognised in the
results to 30 June 2004.

Turnover for the period nonetheless increased 95% to #510,000 (6 months to 30
June 2003: #262,000 from continuing operations), with losses before taxation of
#58,000 showing a marked improvement from #208,000 (6 months to June 2003 -
continuing operations).

Following the sale of CFA Securities Limited in 2003, CFA is now firmly focused
on servicing the needs of clients who are essentially AIM listed companies run
by entrepreneurs. We now have a team of eight, comprising executives and support
staff, providing corporate finance and broking advice. We are in the process of
recruiting further executives to join the team. This recruitment will ensure
client service levels are maintained as we meet the increasing demand for our
services.

In accordance with my statement on the results for the year to 31 December 2003,
CFA started the beginning of 2004 with a good pipeline of work and with a degree
of optimism that market conditions would enable these deals to be completed and
this was the case in the first quarter to 31 March 2004. However, in the second
quarter, in a number of cases transactions that we anticipated completing in the
first half have either been completed since the end of June or have been
deferred. This adversely affected our earlier expectations of financial
performance in the first half of the year.

Financial review
Despite these factors CFA achieved a creditable result in the first half.
Turnover was #510,000 (6 months ended 30 June 2003: #262,000 from continuing
operations), overheads (including plc running costs) were #609,000 (2003:
#458,000 on continuing operations) and the loss before taxation for the period
was #58,000 (6 months ended 2003: loss #208,000).

These results need to be seen in the context of our having completed the
flotation of Smallbone plc (admitted to AIM on 26 July) and Ragusa Capital plc
(admitted to AIM on 15 July). No income is taken into account in the period in
respect of these transactions, although a significant amount of the costs
relating to these flotations were incurred in the period.

CFA is now retained as Nominated Adviser to 20 AIM companies and retained Broker
to AIM 15 companies. Annualised recurring income currently totals over #340,000
representing approximately 30 per cent of total budgeted group costs, and we
anticipate that our level of retainers and this source of revenue will show a
significant increase by the year end. Our increasing base of retained clients
not only provides a source of recurring revenue but is also a prime source of
transactions.

On 27 May 2004 we announced a placing of 65 million new ordinary shares at a
price of 0.7p per share, to raise #441,340 net of expenses. As at 31 December
2003 the net assets of CFA Capital Group plc were #534,000. The impact of the
placing and the small loss in the period, has been to increase the Group's net
worth as at 30 June 2004 to #914,000, creating a sound financial base.

Current trading
We currently have a strong order book both in respect of a number of AIM
flotations and other transactions partially arising through our existing client
base. On the basis that we complete a good number of these transactions, we
anticipate a satisfactory outcome for the year as a whole.

Summary
On 31 July 2004, John Shaw stood down as a Director of CFA Capital Group plc and
all Group companies. John has worked with me for over 10 years and was a founder
shareholder of the Company in 2001. The Board thanks John for his significant
contribution and wishes him well for the future.

The Board also extends its thanks to the entire team for their efforts so far
this year.

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EWRobson - 09 Jan 2005 13:01 - 1604 of 1892

overgrowth

I don't know whether you have looked at cybIT (CYH)? If you have the time, I would appreciate it if you would look at my recent posts - I sense you may be a good sounding board for my current exercise to try to evaluate the impact of the recent changes in accountantcy practise, the effect of which has been to knock the share in the market, largely without justification. Many thanks.

Eric

markusantonius - 09 Jan 2005 15:37 - 1605 of 1892

Thanks, OG, Butane and Eric for interesting reads.

Will monitor the stock closely this week and, if I can get in at the right price, then I'm tempted to have a punt and let it ride for the year.

My main concern is a repeat of 2004 when a firm bought a chunk of stock and artificially pumped up the price only for it to slump in the ensuing weeks. Well, at least if this reoccurs we might all be able to benefit in the short. But, from what I've seen, panic selling & short selling does more harm than good in the end.

But whatever, definately worth a look. And will surely seek you guys' knowledge if/when I buy in again.

Kus.

markusantonius - 09 Jan 2005 15:56 - 1606 of 1892

Eric, I think CFP are basically reliant (very heavily) on these 5 top guys then? If one was to leave, how much of a set-back do you think that would be?

Not read much on the BB's till recently, I'm afraid. To save me some research time (I'm lazy!), can anyone bring me up to speed with "Griffin", please?

markusantonius - 09 Jan 2005 16:07 - 1607 of 1892

OK been energetic for a change, I now know of Griffin and its input.

The more I read, the more I like what I read.................

snakey - 09 Jan 2005 19:44 - 1608 of 1892

markus,
out of pure curiousity, what are the bits you like from what you`ve read through ???

markusantonius - 09 Jan 2005 22:38 - 1609 of 1892

Griffin's own [apparent] emerging profile itself followed by its 150k purchase of CFP. Since it now owns 10% of the company then it must be relatively confident of good times to come - a vested interest. Also synergies/contacts amongst its other companies.

Since the previous directors now hold <2(or3%?)% then any short term deals (sales) they would otherwise have been tempted to make will not now adversely affect the sp.

It might only take 1 or 2 big deals to get CFP going again.

(Sorry if this has already been repeated by other posters? But I am new to the BB's, remember!)

EWRobson - 10 Jan 2005 09:29 - 1610 of 1892

markus

Agree your response. The point about the five guys is that they are the ones quoted on the website for external work - worth having a look. Rawlinson is the key player with an excellent track record. I suspect he was carryiong Barclay and Shaw was probably too expensive. Back office probably pretty slim: some research, admin., financial control. They brought in two new people Q3 and I suspect won't have much problem building up with growing business. Has a really good feel about it now.

Eric

butane - 10 Jan 2005 10:16 - 1611 of 1892

Sent email to TR regarding director shareholdings, this is his reply......

..I hold 14.5m shares in CFA Capital Group plc which have been acquired mainly when the company was founded, but also in each of the share placings since then.
Kind regards

Tony Rawlinson

markusantonius - 10 Jan 2005 11:36 - 1612 of 1892

OK, guys. I'm looking to get "back in". Just waiting to get within the 10p. spread, that's all.

EWRobson - 10 Jan 2005 14:07 - 1613 of 1892

markus

Quote from stocktrade is 0.26p to sell, 0.32p to buy. Reckon that's a good buy price. Goodbye!

Eric

EWRobson - 10 Jan 2005 14:09 - 1614 of 1892

butane

That is hepful. Rawlinson will be very much a hands on CEO which is what CFP need at this stage. It will be worth watching how he builds up his stake although I suspect we are in a close season right now.

Eric

thesaurus - 10 Jan 2005 15:02 - 1615 of 1892

people are off loading today

butane - 10 Jan 2005 15:03 - 1616 of 1892

Probably just received their credit card statements.....

EWRobson - 10 Jan 2005 18:23 - 1617 of 1892

Good response, Butane. I wonder if anyone knows Rawlinson. Most impressed by his track record on the CFP website. Looks like a future big player in the city scene. Happy to be attached to his coat-tails!

Thesaurus: suggest, hopefully without appearing patronising, that you don't take too much notice of the day-to-day trading. OK, the share could drop an odd cent but the upside is very significant once they report one or two successes. overgrowth will vouch for that. But the right approach is probably to hibernate until March and then emerge for the statement with the results. I just have this little feeling in my guts, no not that(!), that they will trigger a nice little price rise!

Eric

markusantonius - 10 Jan 2005 19:38 - 1618 of 1892

Does anyone know the date in March of the next announcement?

EWRobson - 10 Jan 2005 20:29 - 1619 of 1892

markus

Last year was 30th march. Doubt whether this year's date has been decided yet with recent changes. Did you buy in?

Eric

overgrowth - 10 Jan 2005 23:10 - 1620 of 1892

Eric,

Time's a bit limited for me early this week, though I will check out the CYH thread soon (plenty of catching up for me to do)!

I agree with your previous comments, very little evident downside, though lots of potential upside with future deals - one placement or NOMADship per 1.5 months on average would be a reasonable target which should take the price up about 3x from where it is now.

Good to hear that Tony R has a reasonable stake in the company (cheers butane), it will be very telling if he decides to buy more as the year progresses.

Let's see if he can do the business as the main man.

OG

markusantonius - 11 Jan 2005 00:20 - 1621 of 1892

Eric,

No I did not buy-in YET because the best price I could get (enquired 4 times) was 35p., 34p., 34p. and 34p. (10p./8p. spread) with plenty of sellers yesterday. Wonder why?

I'm continuing to keep an eye on things and will see if I can get inside the spread, at 33p. or lower, this week. If the next Announcement is in March, I reckon time is on my side to buy when it suits.

When I sold (at a profit) a few months ago, the spread was only 2p.!!!!!!!

Kus.

snakey - 11 Jan 2005 00:48 - 1622 of 1892

I smell b******t on this board or am I being cynical

moneyplus - 11 Jan 2005 02:25 - 1623 of 1892

Markus-are we talking about CFP?? I don't recognise those prices at all, if we ever got to 33p I'd be over the moon!!
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