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2004 Goldfinger Stock Picks Thread (GOLD)     

goldfinger - 04 Jan 2004 00:32

Closed the last thread as it was getting top heavy and cluttered. Brought out the new thread showing carry over of stocks held from year 2003 and ones I will following this year with interest.

Please remember I am by norm a long term value investor ( and invest in tranches ) but now and again may pick some trading stocks which need to be purchased on the same day I invest in them, or the opportunity to profit may be lost. Notice will be given.

Always please DYOR and remember you are always responsible for your buying and selling timing, and actions. I do own other stocks but I have not covered them on this board and therefore dont feel its right to list them here unless I do a reco on them.

Heres the list.

Telecolm Plus Results recently were excelent and the company is just growing and growing. Next target FTSE 250.

Bema Gold A little gem of a gold miner and has surged on the back of the increasing POG, should be a very long term banker.

Caldwell Investments Nothing Spectacular here but still up on buy price. If its good enough for Jim Slater and Evil Knievil, its good enough for me.

African Eagle A play on the ever increasing POG, but this time an explorer, and hopefully good news out very soon.

Just Car Clinics A long term hold that has fought back in the market just recently. Trading was a tad dissapointing late summer, but there are whispers about everything is back on track.

Bioprogress Hoping this one is going to be a long term Bio hold and has some big names like Mike Walters tipping it. A new contract win is imminent.

Zoo Digital Another long term hold which is likely to make its maiden profit in the very near future. I see this as a take out or take over candidate based on its, DVD Extra Technology.

Healthcare Enterprise Group A small company with a big future. As acquires a couple of very well know companys in the Health Care Business and has some very big backers.

Datacash One of the World Leaders in its software security field for online payment processing, also now branching out into other areas of security for credit cards and store cards.

Pipex Communications Fantastic and proven management team have acquired the bit parts to put together a Telecolms network of the highest order. Another long term hold.

I D Data A play on the new security chip credit cards and store cards. Awaiting big orders from Banks from all over the Globe.

NEW BUYS

T T Electronics A recovery play on the world car manufacturing and mobile phone industries.

Armour Group, a company that again is in the in car entertainment market and sells all the leads and plugs that are needed for the electronics to work. Also has an in house, audio electronics division.

Service Powerthe recognised market leader in artificial intelligence based field service scheduling applications.

Patient Line Market-leading pioneer of bedside communication and entertainment services within the NHS healthcare sector. Offer a comprehensive solution partnering Trusts in delivering digital TV, telephone, free 24hr radio, internet, email and information services direct to bedside.

Scott Tod Straight swap with Cardpoint, basicaly in the same business, but this has further growth, much further growth left in it.

Mediwatch Exciting little Bio/health care company ready to break into the US market.

Imagination Technologies Silicoln chip maker. Rumoured to be the "New ARM"

Sanctuary Group Music company with divisions in Concerts, artists and Media.

2 Ergo Mobile communications company with cutting edge technology across all platforms.

CMS Webview Commodity software and Exchange software developer and servicer.

Zincox A play on the growing infrastructure of the newest industrial economy in the World China.

Anglo Pacific A coal miner who again I have invested in because of rising prices and incresed demand from China for coking coal and other metals.

London @ Associates Properties A fast rising NAV well above the stock price attracted me to this one, investing in large shopping centres.



SELLS

Top sliced Cardpoint 21/1/2004
also TT electronics and Datacash.

Top sliced ZOO 19/2/2004

Top sliced Zoo and JCR 29/02/2004

Top sliced JCR and ZOO plus some of my earlier stock
in BPRG at 50p and 60p. Wc March 1st

Top sliced Bema, Caldwell, JCR Zoo and Armour week ending, 12/03/2003.

Top sliced ID DATA, Telspec, Patient line, ZOO, Bema, JCR, Caldwell, Service power, on 28th and 29th of March.

Incite Holdings, sold 09/01/2004

Cardpoint, sold 30/01/2004

Centurion Electronics sold 12/2/2004

Avocett Miningsold 2/03/2004

Telspec sold after a few days of profit taking on 31/3/2004




I will be adding new recommendations to this list throughout the year, and at the moment I feel its a stock pickers market and one where value stocks with sound balance sheets will outperform. I cant really see that we will get the momentum opportunities we got in the last year from april to August and therefore as usual PATIENCE will be required.

Please feel free to make comments on the above list adding your thoughts and I wish everyone a prosperous year on the markets.

Regards Goldfinger.




goldfinger - 11 Feb 2004 23:09 - 162 of 304

Nice to see CUC making a recovery. Think its had a rough deal.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 12 Feb 2004 11:39 - 163 of 304

Well sold what I had left of CUC, its made me a nice profit and may re- enter after the next set of results. It just doesnt seem to be able to throw off the tradgedy of losing its excelent CEO.

cheers GF.

vasey - 12 Feb 2004 14:21 - 164 of 304

GF, next set of figures from CUC should be March, so not long to wait. They confirm they are 'in line with expectations' and those expectations were huge. Indeed I would swear a smile escaped Amanda's lips when we tried to probe any details..... She said I shouldn't read anything into the fact she smiled when quizzed about the figures, but ...... she didn't look in the least bit worried to me.

goldfinger - 12 Feb 2004 23:32 - 165 of 304

Cheers Vasey, I havent written it off by any means, Im just getting fed up of these newspaper bods giving it mark downs.

No doubt I will be back in on next results as it was one of my top three for the year.

cheers GF.

aldwickk - 13 Feb 2004 13:11 - 166 of 304

bought patagonia gold at 16.50,when will there be more news,shares dont want move,seems like there is no trades going on,any views please.[pgd].

goldfinger - 14 Feb 2004 23:08 - 167 of 304

Bioprogress , investors keep asking me if this is fully valued. The answer as to be no.

The CEO as stated on a few occasions now that further deals are in the pipeline and that acquisitions are on the agenda.

Only until we see how the whole story pans out can we judge just how much this one is worth.

For certain it looks like one heck of a ride.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 16 Feb 2004 10:53 - 168 of 304

A good start to the week for some of the bread and butter stocks on my list.

Armour group seems it is on a breakout and Service Power is up again.

The star of course is BPRG, come on lads release those details of the contract.

cheers GF.

zscrooge - 16 Feb 2004 13:11 - 169 of 304

Any update on IDD?

goldfinger - 16 Feb 2004 23:35 - 170 of 304

yup and sorry zscrooge for not getting back sooneer my sincere appologies.

Word is from my contact stick in and dont sell.

Good news coming up.


ITS up to you , but this snitch of mine is good.

By the way have you had a look at BPRG, plenty to go yet, plenty.

cheers GF.

jfletendre - 16 Feb 2004 23:53 - 171 of 304

Hi GF
Thanks for the BPRG recommendation but I could scream (and did watching the screen) because wasn't in a position to buy - can tomorrow, also still holding IDD so thanks for the news on that one - do you really feel it's not too late to get into BPRG?
Cheers
Anna

goldfinger - 17 Feb 2004 01:35 - 172 of 304

Anna, blimey, i thought you were in, AHGGHHHH.

No Anna the next deal is a big one, and theres more to come thats the biggy about this one, its not a one trick pony. Im now well over, well I cant find my calculator but i think I bought at 48p, dont like looking at purchase prices can effect sentiment.

Get in there and stop messing about.

cheers GF.

ps, please put your private message function on and I will send you through naughty e- mails.

zscrooge - 17 Feb 2004 08:57 - 173 of 304

Thanks GF. Not a large holding in IDD but RTD and PXC doing nicely.

jfletendre - 17 Feb 2004 09:02 - 174 of 304

GF - Thanks, got in BUT 1.47 - sob - my msg function's now on too
Cheers
Anna

nematode - 17 Feb 2004 18:12 - 175 of 304

Nice buys today and good consolidation.what does today's RNS mean in the scheme of things...anybody any idea's??

zscrooge - 17 Feb 2004 21:05 - 176 of 304

gmx look interesting

goldfinger - 17 Feb 2004 23:47 - 177 of 304

Just hoping for that contract news from BPRG. People keep asking is it already in the price and my answer is always no.

Well away from BPRG its not been a very good day for small caps, hope we get a better on in the morning.

cheers GF.

nematode - 18 Feb 2004 00:38 - 178 of 304

From lemmins Investor

Edward Kalfayan
Elric Lloyd-Langton

February 18 2004


Most of the tabloids and broadsheets mentioned BPRG today. Dealers have been expecting the next big deal, greater than the FMC announcement. This has undoubtedly fuelled the recent heady rise what we have witness last week, which continued on Monday only to pause for breath Tuesday.

Rumours and speculation is rife that a deal with one of the large pharmaceutical for BPRG`s NRobe will be announced this week. Any rumour would not be complete without a bid for the company.
IMO there is not the slightest possibility of any hostile takeover until the technology is proven on continuous production in a few sites; and there are no persistent troubles running or sealing the film. No organisation is going to risk the 300m neccessary to make an acquisition until they have the technical confidence.

It is agreed that FMC and HH did their due diligence enough to accept long term high value commitments but it is certain that they were assisted in resolving all normal doubts by plenty of varied and thorough disclosure unavailable to unwanted predators.

That gives at least six months grace. That also gives the share price plenty of time to respond to the following short term events:

The contract cementing the letter of intent due any minute
A third contract hinted at by GH
the first year results due March 8
reaction to the first in depth analyst's report
orders/contracts emanating from FMC's clients
questioning at the AGM

By that time few who know the share well, will be surprised to see a price of 3 - particularly if the company can, at any one of these opportunities, announce satisfactory production operation on a real, substantial market product introduced by Farmasierra, or an FMC client, or at Peter Black now Perrigo.

As pointed out here yesterday the resultant of the forces of greed and fear acting on the share price seems fairly constant with the share price hugging the centre trend +/- 10p, and rising an average of 6p/day . It failed to make an advance today because IMO it outran the trend, and was overbought yesterday. If demand does not deteriorate it is not inconceivable that this trend which broke out on Feb 2 could be maintained, and the 3 level achieved during the spring. That does not mean that I am forecasting that it will - just that it is not at all inconceivable. It equates to a forecast of 10m/pa profit for 2005 - on a PE of 30. For a growth rate of the kind certain to be experienced if the technology works out, that is not too fanciful a PE, and the concomittant 10m profit is well within reach for next year.

Both authors have an interest in BPRG.

goldfinger - 18 Feb 2004 10:22 - 179 of 304

A very interesting article that. Like I said yesterday I wouldnt let the day to day price bother you if it is on the downside. I notice they opened up down 1.5pence. Well done MMS, your logic takes some understanding.

cheers GF.

gordon geko - 18 Feb 2004 11:22 - 180 of 304

GF what do you think about IEN seems to be more positive than few weeks ago as
buyers return ???

goldfinger - 18 Feb 2004 16:14 - 181 of 304

Gordon will have a look.

Just opened a new position in Imagination Technologies IMG. Killik and Co have started to follow it today on a TA breakout. They say its their choice in the chip market.

cheers GF.
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