Nitefly
- 15 Sep 2003 10:55
Why are we again at 10.5p bid?
It doesn't add up...
Good Results + Strong buying pre results + Christmas online buying soon = Price drop
Then again some companies that have debt for equity hanging in the balance, poor results and bankruptcy around the corner and they go up!
Why sell now at a loss?
Wont that be a kick in the teeth when we see 13.5p 14p again!
Best of luck all.
Douggie
- 28 Oct 2004 22:09
- 1627 of 2406
all sounds good and true so holding tight. another miss and amberjane will be right, I will :o[[[[ with the stress
for today :o)))))
and good fortune to all at and with RTD...........
Douggie
- 29 Oct 2004 09:19
- 1628 of 2406
Morning all ;o)
Fundamentalist
- 29 Oct 2004 09:25
- 1629 of 2406
morning douggie - keep smiling
Fundamentalist
- 29 Oct 2004 12:42
- 1632 of 2406
OG et al
In response to Biomax he is talking in terms of PBT (EPS is calculated after tax) i assume and doesnt take into account that rtd will continue to pay a high tax rate as they cannot offset previous losses against fuel card profits in australia as the losses occurred in different countries.
Fundamentalist
- 29 Oct 2004 12:55
- 1633 of 2406
As for my calculations I have 2 approaches which actually give pretty much the same answer:
Back of a fag packet
Expected PBT was 6.2m - materially in excess of this imo would be 20% which would give a PBT of 7.4m. I think the tax rate will be approx 45% which gives a PAT of 4.1m, an EPS of 1.4p and a Pe of 14.
My own calculations based on business performance/aussie petrol prices/exchange rates ussing several assumptions gives me the following:
Revenue 34.9m
Op Profit 9.7m
Ammortisation (1.5m)
Exceptionals (0.7m) including the 0.5m legal fees
Interest (0.3m)
PBT 7.2m
Tax (3.2m)
PAT 4.0m
EPS 1.38p
PER 14
PEG 0.1
This is purely imho and dyor etc etc
Fundamentalist
- 29 Oct 2004 14:06
- 1635 of 2406
Nice to see 20p being paid for these again - brings back good memories!!!
Tokyo
- 29 Oct 2004 15:52
- 1636 of 2406
come on Douggie admit it, you went on a secret holiday again didn't you? and the price went up!!!!!
Fundamentalist
- 29 Oct 2004 17:29
- 1637 of 2406
Well a good day to end a great week!!! Anyone know if fred1new is still in?
Anyone else have a view of the likely results or a different forecast?
Just trying to work out the likelihood of entry into the techmark 100.
Mkt cap of RTD is now 57.4m and if my calculations are right this would make RTD 88th in the list. For entry to be guaranteed they need to be ranked in the top 90. Alternatively, if anyone currently in the TM100 fall to a ranking of worse than 110 then they are automatically removed and replaced starting at place 91.
Based on yesterdays valuations the lowest 5 currently in the TM100 are NXT
(mkt cap 46.9m), CML microsystems (40.7m), ITouch (35.9m), biotrace (33.8m), antisoma (28.9m).
On this basis RTD are right on the cusp of entry to the TM100 and any increase in shareprice prior to the next rearrangement (end of Nov i think) then entry should be guaranteed and we should start to see some interest from the tracker funds.
Douggie
- 29 Oct 2004 19:13
- 1638 of 2406
;o\ I can't claim any merit in this share going back UP (THANK GOODNESS & whoeverelse it has ) except that I have stuck with it through the last few miserable months convincad that RTD would be back here with I tust much more to come
best wishes all holders good weekend
:o))))))))))
Fred1new
- 29 Oct 2004 23:36
- 1639 of 2406
Yep. Still in and holding. Still think this has a long way to go. 22p next stop.
What do I do then I don't know. Perhaps I will go back to Brittany for some more muscles. Perhaps this time I will by better wine.
I like BPRG and RTD they seemed to do my SIPPS and holdings a power of good!
Douggie
- 01 Nov 2004 09:00
- 1640 of 2406
mourning all....no coment all w/e had to go to page 2 to find ???????????
where we canexpect togofrom here in doubt since no postings, or just confident of more progres???????????
Fred1new
- 01 Nov 2004 10:52
- 1641 of 2406
Douggie. Which part of your body are you crossing at the moment. Which ever it is, continue to do so. Watching the movement is better than you going on holiday!! {:-)
Douggie
- 01 Nov 2004 11:12
- 1642 of 2406
Fred........everything..getting panicy....is it time to sell??????????????
Fred1new
- 01 Nov 2004 12:32
- 1643 of 2406
Douggie. Still think there is more to come. I am holding for the time being. I thought 22p before Xmas, but beginning to think 25p. It will probably wobble a bit but expecting good report shortly.
Just poured coffee over the Key Board. How many times have I told my kids not to drink coffee and use my keyboard. Actually keyboard seems quicker after it has had its coffee.
Do the have a water proof (coffee proof membrane) now for idiots like me?
Douggie
- 01 Nov 2004 15:19
- 1644 of 2406
it was time to sell......... I didn't of course too optimistic/greedy! ?
Fred1new
- 01 Nov 2004 17:16
- 1645 of 2406
Douggie. Not to worry. Buys to sells 3270745 Sells 2913042 + some Unknowns
Don'd Panic Don't Panic. And don't uncross your items.
Douggie
- 01 Nov 2004 17:26
- 1646 of 2406
I am NOT happy.........I was suposed to be a trader...now I've become a very frustrated investor....so many chances missed!!!!!!!!!! ?
:-[[[[[