cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 07 Dec 2014 13:47
- 16842 of 21973
yet another caveat for the markets
Bank for International Settlements sounds alarm over dollar
Global financial policy makers have sounded the alarm about the impact of a resurgent US dollar on emerging markets, where companies have racked up large debts denominated in the American currency.
Shortie
- 08 Dec 2014 15:49
- 16843 of 21973
10033 short on the DAX
skinny
- 08 Dec 2014 16:19
- 16844 of 21973
18,000 today?
cynic
- 08 Dec 2014 16:37
- 16845 of 21973
not tonight josephine, i think ..... indeed, and as shortie commented the other day, dow really is looking horribly o'bought even if it chooses to ignore it for now
Shortie
- 08 Dec 2014 17:10
- 16846 of 21973
I wouldn't listen me though, I trade most days on the fabric of my underwear!!
cynic
- 08 Dec 2014 17:15
- 16847 of 21973
so long as it's been worn for less than 5 days!
cynic
- 08 Dec 2014 17:17
- 16848 of 21973
and while we were gibbering, dow has suddenly spiked down 60 points
any reason known?
Shortie
- 08 Dec 2014 17:56
- 16849 of 21973
Its just more of the same old to be honest, the DOW's overbought and data is soft so there will be slips until someone commits to stimulus... Eyes are on the ECB but China and Japan could do more to stoke growth... Lets face it though, politicians are so hell bent on growth they don't understand that following growth an economy will naturally take some time to consolidate and settle... The same as a company, that hits market saturation and those super earnings level off... Nothing to worry about but ultimately if earnings slow down as a course of saturation then it'll drive both prices and inflation down just as we're seeing... simples to anyone not fixated on growth!!
NEW YORK, Dec 8 (Reuters) - U.S. and European stocks fell on
Monday after weak Chinese and Japanese data stoked worries about
slowing global economic growth, while oil prices sank to
five-year lows on expectations of oversupply into 2015.
The euro sagged to 2-1/2-year lows against the dollar after
European Central Bank policymaker Ewald Nowotny's warned of a
"massive weakening" of the euro zone economy and said the
purchase of state bonds could provide a boost. His comments came
just days after Standard and Poor's downgraded its credit rating
on Italy, the bloc's third largest economy, to a level just
above junk status.
Nowotny's remarks raised bets in the bond market for a fresh
round of ECB stimulus in the first quarter of 2015.
ID:nR1N0RP01W
Data out of Asia also took a toll on sentiment. Japan
reported its third-quarter economic contraction was deeper than
previously thought, while China's unexpectedly weak import data
signaled slowing demand in the world's second biggest economy.
ID:nL3N0TM2GJ ID:nL3N0TS2FK
The disappointing economic developments abroad overshadowed
Friday's robust U.S. jobs report, which revived bets the Federal
Reserve might consider ending its near-zero interest rate policy
in mid-2015. ID:nL2N0TO1V4
Even so, Wall Street stocks proved to be fairly resilient.
"The other side of it, too, is many of these other countries
are taking some efforts to stimulate as well. People are looking
at is as temporary, and somewhere down the line as those
economies get stronger, everybody will be in pretty good shape,"
said Peter Jankovskis, co-chief investment officer at OakBrook
Investments LLC in Lisle, Illinois
In early U.S. trading, the Dow Jones industrial average
.DJI fell 5.52 points, or 0.03 percent, to 17,953.27, the S&P
500 .SPX slipped 0.88 point, or 0.04 percent, to 2,074.49, and
the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC shed 9.00 points, or 0.19 percent,
to 4,789.75. .N \
The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 fell 0.6 percent to 1,396.79,
while Toyko's Nikkei .N225 eked out a 0.08 percent gain. .EU
.T
The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks
shares in 45 nations, fell 1.21 points, or 0.28 percent, to
423.54.
In the currency market, the euro fell to a more than
2-1/2-year low against the greenback at $1.2247 before
rebounding to $1.2292 in U.S. trading EUR= .
The dollar also retreated against the yen and other major
currencies as traders booked some profits on the greenback's
recent gains linked to expectations the Federal Reserve might
raise interest rates sooner in 2015 than had been expected.
The dollar was down 0.5 percent at 120.80 yen JPY= .
Bets on a fresh round of ECB stimulus in the first quarter
of 2015 helped boost the prices of U.S. and German government
bonds. Benchmark 10-year U.S. yields fell 2.29 percent
US10YT=RR and 10-year Bund yields declined to 0.72 percent
DE10YT=RR . US/ GVD/EUR
In the energy market, Brent crude LCOc1 fell more than $2
a barrel to a five-year low of $66.35 on predictions that
oversupply would keep building until next year after OPEC
decided not to cut output. O/R
Spot gold prices XAU= edged up 0.07 percent at $1,192.44
an ounce on some safe-haven demand on the modest losses in U.S.
and European equity prices.
cynic
- 08 Dec 2014 18:45
- 16850 of 21973
had a little short dabble on dow (16898) and put limit on as well as stop, and limit hit for 50 points while i was cooking .... nice start to the evening :-)
============
i see the support at 17815 kicked in though i missed it
now what?
skinny
- 08 Dec 2014 19:36
- 16851 of 21973
I hope you meant 17898!
cynic
- 08 Dec 2014 20:09
- 16852 of 21973
wouldn't have minded had i hit the limit at 50 below :-)
cynic
- 09 Dec 2014 09:12
- 16853 of 21973
still holding old dow shorts that are still comfortably horrid(!) but much less so than they were :-)
Shortie
- 09 Dec 2014 09:20
- 16854 of 21973
Well my DAX short at 10033 is nicely in the money, no need to take any action I feel as if momentum builds I'll be onto an even bigger winner.
Shortie
- 09 Dec 2014 10:26
- 16855 of 21973
Dax closed 9945 as back within support tolerance... +88
cynic
- 09 Dec 2014 12:52
- 16856 of 21973
what news that caused cash dow to spike down heavily once more?
i think there's a support at this new level (17730), but can't recollect where the next target below lies
Shortie
- 09 Dec 2014 13:08
- 16857 of 21973
No doubt the slump in crude and energy stocks have caused the fall. Sold too early on the DAX but a nice hefty profit all the same. Note today's Aluminium and Zinc prices on the London Metals exchange,
united-co-rusal-results
cynic
- 09 Dec 2014 13:31
- 16858 of 21973
and suddenly dumped another 40 points to +/-17700
Claret Dragon
- 09 Dec 2014 14:24
- 16859 of 21973
Just setting up for the Santa rally late next week?
Shortie
- 09 Dec 2014 14:26
- 16860 of 21973
I do hope so, give me volatile any day of the week..!
cynic
- 09 Dec 2014 14:26
- 16861 of 21973
i know GF is a believer in that, but i am not convinced
==========
i can see many reasons NOT to be bullish but things rarely go as expected ...... for sure the world economies have been very badly hit for the last several months as is indicated by storage depots across the world being crammed to bursting with idle kit
the collapse in crude prices is also something of a double-edged sword and of course the price for basic hard commodities has been beaten to a pulp
in the uk itself, the looming general election is unsettling enough and with the strong likelihood of another weak gov't in prospect, and certainly one without an overall majority (its hue matters not), why should ftse have any reason to be perky?