this from A.D.V.F.N. with REF to 161
Government unveils bird flu action plan
Adrian O'Dowd
Tuesday March 1, 2005
Major public venues such as cinemas, football grounds and schools could be closed to prevent the spread of a deadly new influenza that could kill around 50,000 people a year, the government warned today.
Public spaces could be closed to help minimise the expected pandemic of avian flu expected to hit the UK that could possibly more than quadruple the average of 12,000 people a year who die from flu.
The chief medical officer, Sir Liam Donaldson, said: "We must assume we will be unable to prevent it reaching the UK. When it does, its impact will be severe in the number of illnesses and the disruption to everyday life."
The Department of Health today announced it was buying 14.6 million courses of anti-viral drug oseltamivir (Tamiflu) at a cost of 200m over the next two financial years to prepare for the pandemic, which has been predicted as a near inevitability by the World Health Organisation. The drugs will help reduce the severity of the disease and help people fight it off.
As soon as the pandemic hits, a vaccine will be made to combat it, but this cannot be done until it actually emerges, said Sir Liam, and this could take four to six months to produce.
Another method of reducing the impact of the pandemic will be to close schools and large public events like concerts and football matches, and Sir Liam said: "This is a preventative strategy to take. Social intervention is to be kept very much in reserve. We do not want to see schools closing or social events stopping unless absolutely necessary."
The DoH was also planning to advise the general public to maintain good basic hygiene for example by washing hands, covering noses and mouths when coughing or sneezing, and avoiding crowds when possible. Announcements would be made to the public via newspapers, radio and television on the best course of action to take.
The health secretary, John Reid, said: "We have been working together with other countries and WHO to ensure the international communities are as prepared as can be. Around 25% of the UK population might be affected.
"It makes sense to ensure we in the UK are as prepared as we can be and have drugs for use against an influenza pandemic here."
Sir Liam added: "Depending on the size of the pandemic and the time of the year, it will inevitably put pressure on the NHS, but the NHS has shown it is now very good at dealing with winter pressures. There is better organisation and triaging. We think we have the infrastructure in place."
Mandatory quarantine or curfews mentioned in the DoH's document Pandemic Flu - UK Influenza Pandemic Contingency Plan were not considered to be necessary and are not covered by public health legislation.
http://dailynewspaper.co.uk/