markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
lynnzal
- 05 Sep 2005 10:45
- 1729 of 6492
Sorry for the delay in updates. I was out of the office at the back end of last week and with a lack of change in the sp, there didnt seem much point in commenting.
Traditional analysis highlights this mornings gap lower (after last Fridays bearish candle). This action breached the 20-day moving average at 42p and rising trendline support at 41.25p (off the 28.5p/33.75p lows). 41.25p now acts as resistance.
The market is currently underpinned by the 60-day moving average at 40.2p, but needs to close the 41.25p/42p window to prompt further bullish action towards a succession of lower highs (43.25p, 44.75p & 45.25p). Note the 200-day moving average has edged down to 45.76p. Loss of support at 40p would risk further slippage towards 38.25p (1 Aug higher low).
I'll update the Elliott analysis a bit later.
Regards
Lynnzal
eddieshare
- 05 Sep 2005 23:10
- 1730 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks for the update Lynnzal. Support is still at 0.4025p, This may be tested again. Hope the weather isnt to bad at home.
Good Luck All
Eddie
driftwood1
- 06 Sep 2005 18:21
- 1731 of 6492
"These indicators along with DES being above the risisng support line, suggest the market is still intending to move DES up. "
As I said, typical example of a chart used to tell a fairytale, the SP moves against the prediction but with the chart if you know how to read it.
lynnzal
- 06 Sep 2005 22:47
- 1732 of 6492
driftwood1, I know that you are not criticising something that I have written, but that person is not around to defend his comments. Perhaps you could give us some "more education here", in the form of your opinion. It would be more usefull than you other comments.
Regards
Lynnzal
luckyswimmer
- 07 Sep 2005 12:07
- 1733 of 6492
3 lots of 100k buys, that's more like it.
lynnzal
- 07 Sep 2005 15:35
- 1734 of 6492
The pullback off the 44.75p high (15 Aug) appears to have satisfied a three legged corrective target at 38.75p (my system shows todays low at 38.5p), so we could be in for a bit of a recovery towards the 44.75p/45.25p highs.
My only concern however, is over the wave structure between the 33.75p low (6 Jun) and the 44.75p high. The best fit that I can currently see is a double zig-zag (consisting of 7 waves). This implies that the entire sequence from the 45.25p high has thus far been corrective and we are still due to complete the final leg lower (which started at 44.75p). Under this scenario the risk is that the overall correction either terminates in the 37.5p area (as a contracting triangle correction) or in the 33.25p area (as a flat correction). Either way, my previous analysis regarding the impulsive structure of the move up from the 28.5p low is still valid and I will address my topside projections as the market confirms resumption of the bull move.
Regards
Lynnzal
hlyeo98
- 07 Sep 2005 15:53
- 1735 of 6492
When is Desire going to hit oil?
hlyeo98
- 07 Sep 2005 15:53
- 1736 of 6492
When is Desire going to hit oil?
lynnzal
- 07 Sep 2005 22:47
- 1738 of 6492
Bear pressure since breaching the 20-day moving average extended through the 60-day moving average to test support at 38.25p (1 Aug higher low). This has held and prompted a recovery rally to Tuesdays 41.5p high. The resulting daily candle is a piercing pattern and suggests a potential turning point in the recent downtrend. Closure of the 41.25p/42p window is now needed to prompt further bullish action towards a succession of lower highs (43.25p, 44.75p & 45.25p). Note the 200-day moving average is now at 45.66p.
To the downside we have several supports under the 38.25p higher low, notably 38p (Fibonacci retracement of the 33.75p/44.75p up-move), 37.5p (Elliott projection) and the 36.75p higher low (19 Jul).
Regards all
Lynnzal
berlingo
- 08 Sep 2005 15:06
- 1739 of 6492
Thanks Lynnzal
213812
- 08 Sep 2005 21:52
- 1741 of 6492
Hopefully desire petroleum will exclaim to us all in the very near future.
frodo
- 09 Sep 2005 09:37
- 1742 of 6492
Put an order in at 39 until end of next trading day.
F
driftwood1
- 09 Sep 2005 17:47
- 1743 of 6492
Where are the lines going to be drawn now on the chart?
Looks to me like it's getting harder to find an upward trend line to base the "opinion" on.
lynnzal
- 09 Sep 2005 23:50
- 1744 of 6492
driftwood1, is your question supposed to be directed to anyone in particular? Generally I do not use trendlines for my analysis. You appear unaware that they are not the only form of chart analysis that can be used to define trend or to formulate an opinion.
Also may I say that I find your attitude towards contributors to this BB very offensive. You have only critised peoples work and never offered up anything constructive (eg. a bullish or bearish viewpoint with sound reasoning). By all means question peoples analysis, but cut the sarcasm.
HUSTLER
- 10 Sep 2005 00:06
- 1745 of 6492
Hi Lynnzal
you do a good job and is much appriciated by followers
ignore the wood knomes who hide behind the screen,
have no worthy imput and just try to stir it up.
All the best
HUSTLER
HUSTLER
- 11 Sep 2005 00:36
- 1747 of 6492