Perhaps they've finally woken up to what is wrong. I posted this to the other BB on AD^FN and nobody has responded. I doubt it is because they are cold-shouldering me. Far more likely that they agree with most of it.
Anomalous - 16 Nov'05 - 13:41 - 472 of 472
mclellan - 16 Nov'05 - 10:58 - 3195 of 3205
notGMman...of course, we don't actually KNOW that the kimberlite venture has failed. In the last RNS, they are still hopeful of getting a slice of that...unless they are lying in their teeth.It certainly undermined the share price and most people's confidence in the management.
>Mc
What the management are doing is being economical with the truth. The sort of thing that spin doctors get up to every day.
I could tell you that I'm going to be an astronaut in the next 10 years, but unless I provide proof, it's mere waffle. I could show you an application to the Virgin Galactic, but unless I cough up the funds, I'm not getting my feet off the ground.
Likewise, NML may tell you that they have a chance to get back to the C9 alluvials, or even that they will get a share of the kimberlite, but in actual fact the possibility of both is so remote as to be less likely than my dreams of being in space.
The trouble is that they have well and truly annoyed Endiama with the kimberlite work. They may dress it up by saying that they are acquiesing to Endiama's wishes, but don't fool yourself that they are in Endiama's good books. NML doesn't have the funds to get back into good graces - if you know what I mean.
Kassai is nothing more than a bone. I've spoken with field experts (my usual contacts) and they tell me that Huambo is agricultural land. It is the 'bread basket' for Angola and produces a great deal of their food. It also happens to be one of the most heavily mined areas in Angola. Pricess Diana actually visited the region to see the Halo Trust in action, in the months before her death. Exploring in this region would be fraught with dangers and difficulties.
Britain's Princess Diana Makes Goodwill Mission to Angola
Visit Sparks Renewed Public Interest in De-Mining Efforts
Great Britain's Princess Diana was in Angola from January 13-16 as an International Red Cross VIP volunteer in the hopes of raising public awareness of international efforts to ban land-mines. During her five day goodwill tour of Red Cross operations in Angola, the Princess visited land-mine victims in hospitals and clinics and participated in land-mine destruction activities in Huambo. The visit was hailed by the Angolan government, the UN Special Representative to Angola and NGOs as an important way to focus world attention on the destructive consequences of land-mines to civilians.
In a visit to the central Angolan city of Huambo, the Princess saw first hand the work of international organizations in de-mining when she visited a mine clearing site operated by the British NGO Halo Trust. There Diana walked down a recently cleared corridor through a mine field and detonated a mine by remote control. She then visited a hospital in Huambo and met with mine victims, many of whom were women and children.
http://www.angola.org/news/pensador/february97/diana.html
The other point that was made to me, was that it is not in an area that most would consider 'prospective' for diamondiferous pipes. There are kimberlites there, but the majority of Angola's 33% is in the Lundas. So the odds are not good.
In fact, given the size of the area, the biggest worry will be how they can raise the finance to do the aeromag needed to identify any targets. You'd have to look at some of the other players that explored a similar size zone to see how much they spent and what the results were.
Just because you have identified potential anomalies, it does not mean that they are diamondiferous. You can follow up the aerial survey by ground chemistry and geophiz, but to actual prove that the targets are worth looking at to a major, you need the drilling series. Quite simply put, NML does not have the funds to do this.
You've also made a good point about infrastructure. You may have built the roads and bridges for access to C9, but all this has done is save Catoca the job of doing it themselves. A whole new set of roads and bridges will be needed to set up any new mine site - provided that you find one of course.
Then there's the 'acquisition' of Kassai. I've no doubt that the agreement will be struck before the end of the month and you will get an announcement. But you should prepare yourself for the fact that the share price may not move in the process. If I was to do a comparison for you, I could point to EPD. The recent Prelims were generally what was expected. There were a few interesting points, but nothing spectacular to make the market excited. Consequently, there was no movement in the share price.
Likewise, with NML, the deal IS expected, but the market knows that this deal means expenditure elsewhere in the future. That means further fund raising. I believe the market has already priced in the news and there will be no substantial movement in the share price - until they tell the market how NML intends to raise the finance required that is. If they do announce the reversal that was suggested, then the consolidation (through the offer) may be an indictaion of how they intend to raise funding.
It appears that InTheDark is blaming Endiama:
InTheDark - 16 Nov'05 - 11:59 - 3201 of 3205
It is Endiama that has halted NML's activity at C9, they strike me as being a bunch of greedy amateurs. But theres not a lot NML can do except toe the line and prove to Endiama that NML are the right people for the job.
They could do this by bringing in a major player as a partner for the C9 kimberlite as i get the impression the Endiama really don't have much of a clue and are proberly just waiting for a major player to throw a big suitcase of cash on the table.
Also I would have thought the alluvial mining and kimberlite geology work could be happening at the same time. NML must have removed all the overburden by now and could get straight into alluvial production?
anyone else feel like we have gone back in time 18 months? wish the share price had though.
ITD is not doing anyone any favours by blaming Endiama. In my view they've done nothing wrong. Endiama are the injured party in this, because they were expecting considerable revenue by now and all they have is broken promises. They issued the mining permit, but it appears that NML had other ideas.
Quite a few have suggested for some time, that NML never did mine any alluvials. They moved to the kimberlite long before they even started on the alluvials and I would suggest that their RNS's were misleading. In their defence, they may claim that the overburden is 'technically' alluvial or elluvial. Certainly the mining experts consider that it is. Endiama may think otherwise though and you can be certain that the area they did work on was not one of the alluvial areas mentioned in their project plans.
Maybe you need to lay the blame on the factor that caused all the delays. Not the shareholders, not Endiama, not the local people, not the weather, but merely the gross incompetence and inexperience of the management.