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hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Tellon - 22 Jun 2004 12:30 - 1776 of 11056

Im here.. Struggling.. Still short from earlier. Got a stop in at break even so could very well end up 0pips.

+25 atm

hodgins - 23 Jun 2004 07:24 - 1777 of 11056

long 1.8260.
Euro break above 1.2180 ?

hodgins - 23 Jun 2004 08:41 - 1778 of 11056

ouch and out

hilary - 23 Jun 2004 08:48 - 1779 of 11056

Cable seems to have come off particularly hard this morning compared to the other European majors. Just watching and waiting atm.

foale - 23 Jun 2004 08:49 - 1780 of 11056

bad luck Hodgins...Cable falling like a stone...

I have stayed short during this time...so happy to see it back at last nights levels...

But where now...18200 seems very pivotal atm

Is it B of E minutes at 9:30?

hilary - 23 Jun 2004 08:54 - 1781 of 11056

My best guess is back to around 18240/18250 then down again. Also watching the Euro and the Swiss.

foale - 23 Jun 2004 14:53 - 1782 of 11056

closed my small short at 1.8158 this am...now flat

hilary - 25 Jun 2004 09:04 - 1783 of 11056

I was a little bit slow on the uptake this morning.

I had something to do for an hour or so first thing, but at 7am I entered Cable and EUR/USD long with a stop on the overnight low. Ordinarily, I'd also leave an order to reverse the position on the break of the low but, because I had other things to do, I neglected to leave orders to reverse (and I also felt confident that I'd got the direction right!).

Hohumm. No more trades now this week for me. My little faux pas has marred what has otherwise been an excellent week during which I've 3.5 bagged my FX pot.

Beeblebrox - 25 Jun 2004 11:24 - 1784 of 11056

you, slow on the uptake, don't believe it......

and do you give lessons ?
need a refresher - gone a bit stale of late
though i did short cable last night 182.69. still running.
i was out when it hit 181.80, but would settle for that now...

hilary - 25 Jun 2004 13:57 - 1785 of 11056

What would you like a lesson in, Beebs?

:o)

Glad I stayed out now. Would have ended up being whipsawed for a bigger loss. It's got no Va Va Voom today.

hilary - 27 Jun 2004 09:13 - 1786 of 11056

Date	Country/ Currency	Event	GMT	CONSENSUS	PREVIOUS
28-Jun	JPY	Vehicle Production (y/y) (May)	4:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	9.7%
Mon	DEM	GfK German Consumer Confidence Report	6:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	EZ M3 s.a. (y/y) (May)	8:00	5.4%	5.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	ITL	PPI (m/m) (May)	8:30	0.5%	0.5%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Personal Income (May)	12:30	0.5%	0.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Personal Spending (May)	12:30	0.8%	0.3%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	NZD	Building Permits (m/m) (May)	22:45	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	-5.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	JPY	Jobless Rate (May)	23:30	4.7%	4.7%
	JPY	Industrial Production (m/m) (May)	23:50	2.5%	3.5%
29-Jun	AUD	Trade Balance (May)	1:30	-1810M	-1808M
Tue	NZD	M1 Money Supply (m/m) (May)	3:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	-0.5%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	Business Confidence Indicator (Jun)	6:45	105	104
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	Production Outlook Indicator (Jun)	6:45	-3	-5
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	Producer Prices (m/m) (May)	6:50	0.4%	0.4%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	M4 Money Supply (m/m) (May)	8:30	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	0.5%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Net Consumer Credit (May)	8:30	1.4B	1.3B
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (Jun)	9:30	-2	-2
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CAD	Industrial Product Price (m/m) (May)	12:30	1.1%	0.8%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CAD	Raw Materials Price Index (m/m) (May)	12:30	2.5%	-0.2%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	NZD	NBNZ Business Confidence (Jun)	13:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	-22%
	USD	Consumer Confidence (Jun)	14:00	95.00	93.2
30-Jun	AUD	Reserves Bank Credit Measure (May)	1:30	1%	1.5%
Wed	JPY	BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes	4:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	JPY	Housing Starts (y/y) (May)	5:00	0.2%	-4.1%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	JPY	Construction Orders (y/y) (May)	5:00	1.2%	9.9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	Consumer Confidence Indicator (Jun)	6:40	-21	-23
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	Unemployment Rate (May)	6:45	9.8%	9.8%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	GDP (q/q) (Q1)	6:50	0.8%	0.8%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	ITL	CPI (m/m) (Jun)	7:30	0.2%	0.2%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	ITL	Unemployment Rate (Apr)	8:30	8.5%	8.5%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	GDP (q/q) (Q1)	8:30	0.6%	0.9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Private Consumption (Q1)	8:30	0.9%	0.9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Government Spending (Q1)	8:30	0.7%	1.9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Current Account (Q1)	8:30	-7.2B	-5.2B
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	Wednesday continued next post	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

hilary - 27 Jun 2004 09:13 - 1787 of 11056

Date	Country/ Currency	Event	GMT	CONSENSUS	PREVIOUS
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	Wednesday continued from previous post	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	EZ Industrial Confidence (Jun)	9:00	-5	-5
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	EZ Consumer Confidence (Jun)	9:00	-15	-16
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	EZ Economic Confidence (Jun)	9:00	100.5	100.3
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	Business Climate Indicator (Jun)	9:00	0.34	0.28
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CHF	KOF Swiss Leading Indicator (Jun)	9:30	1	0.95
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	CBI Distributive Trades Report	10:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	MBA Mortgage Applications (Jun 25)	11:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	0.1%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CAD	GDP (m/m) (Apr)	12:30	0.4%	0.7%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Chicago Purchasing Manager (Jun)	14:00	65.0	68.0
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	FOMC Rate Decision Expected (Jun 30 )	18:15	1.25%	1.00%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	AUD	AIG June Manufacturing Index	23:30	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	JPY	Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Jun)	23:50	17.0	12.0
	JPY	Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index (Jun)	23:50	9.0	5.0
1-Jul	AUD	Job Vacancies (May)	1:30	5%	-3.3%
Thu	AUD	Retail Sales (May)	1:30	0.5%	0%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	JPY	Vehicle Sales (y/y) (Jun)	5:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	10.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CHF	CPI (m/m) (Jun)	5:45	0.1%	0.2%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	DEM	Retail Sales (m/m) (May)	6:00	-0.1%	0.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Total New Construction Orders (May)	7:30	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	2487
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	ITL	PMI Manufacturing (Jun)	7:45	53	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	FRF	PMI Manufacturing (Jun)	7:50	55.5	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	DEM	PMI Manufacturing (Jun)	7:55	56.3	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	PMI Manufacturing (Jun)	8:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	54.9
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	Total Business Investment (q/q) (Q1)	8:30	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	1.9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	GBP	PMI Manufacturing (Jun)	8:30	55.5	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	EZ Unemployment Rate (May)	9:00	9%	9%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	EUR	ECB Announces Interest Rates(July)	11:45	2%	2%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Initial Jobless Claimis (Jun26)	12:30	343K	349K
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	CHF	PMI (Jun)	13:00	57.8	56.9
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Construction Spending (m/m) (May)	14:00	0.7%	1.3%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	ISM Manufacturing (Jun)	14:00	61.5%	62.8%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	FOMC Minutes of May 4 (Jun)	18:00	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
	USD	Total Vehicle Sales (Jun)		16.8M	17.8M
2-Jul	AUD	Building Approvals (May)	1:30	2%	1.5%
Fri	EUR	EZ PPI (m/m) (May)	9:00	0.5%	0.4%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Unemployment Rate (Jun)	12:30	5.6%	5.6%
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Non-Farm Payrolls (Jun)	12:30	240K	248K
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>	USD	Factory Orders (May)	14:00	1.1%	-1.7%

< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>

hilary - 27 Jun 2004 09:28 - 1788 of 11056

Ian,

The table was a real pain to do this week. It took me 3 attempts to get it right as my posts were too large and the system was truncating them and not closing the html tables. Did you ever get to the bottom of why long(ish) posts are being truncated like this? As I recall, Mike had a go at closing a table for me a few weeks ago and it wouldn't even let him do it from his end.

hilary - 28 Jun 2004 11:41 - 1789 of 11056

Dollar is hard going again this morning ahead of the FOMC. Short the Dollar against the European majors this am, but inclined to just dump the positions if it doesn't tank soon.

Beeblebrox - 28 Jun 2004 11:46 - 1790 of 11056

edit - i'm short cable with a stop just over 183,
but not too hopeful

hilary - 28 Jun 2004 11:50 - 1791 of 11056

Ordinarily I'd say the good news was that at least one of us would be right, Beebs, but in this slow market we could both find ourselves out of the money.

Beeblebrox - 28 Jun 2004 11:56 - 1792 of 11056

yup, zzzzzzzzz

i've only a small position, and just
did it on lots of resistance 182.80ish.

if it breaks 183 you could get a nice little ride,
and as you know i'm overall bullish ....

hilary - 28 Jun 2004 11:59 - 1793 of 11056

I never say no to a nice little ride, Beebs.

:o)

Beeblebrox - 28 Jun 2004 12:05 - 1794 of 11056

you are awful.......

but i like you.xxxxx

Beeblebrox - 28 Jun 2004 13:09 - 1795 of 11056

lend us a fiver hils !

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