markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
mbugger
- 23 Sep 2005 19:00
- 1790 of 6492
ThoughtDES wasin with Rockhopper,have they any contactsor even a drill bit,if they hop rocks, any views.
eddieshare
- 23 Sep 2005 21:08
- 1791 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks to all for the positive input.
I'll start with a weekly chart (candles have 1 weeks value), which shows where a rising support line. If you look to the left of the large green candle you will see a small green candle which shows the days low price as (02/11/04) 0.2450p, then draw a line from this candle to the low of (08/04/05) 0.2850p. This should give you a rising support line. This weeks close is above this line. This indicates the support is at this area still. On a daily baisis DES has traded bellow this line but not closed under it. Yesterdays trading volume was 9.19 million, this definatly tested the support line, DES closed right on the line. Today DES has recoverd some of yesterdays loss and move up off the support line. It has been said by a few on the bb this is a good time to top up. I think so after 9.19 millon volume testing the support. The big green candle has not let us down since last November.
On the daily chart you can see the falling window (gap down), the resistance area as Lynnzal has said may be at the top of the window. This is the bottom of the red candle on the day before the gap down (0.3725p).
Lynnzal I'm keen to hear of your fresh assesment (0.2750p low).
Good Luck All
Eddie
fatoldgit
- 23 Sep 2005 23:04
- 1793 of 6492
Thanks, Florida, Marky, Eduardo and Lynnzal for informative posts.
After a day of some gloom, I've perked up a bit.
Net asset value of DES is 16p per share....(being all cash)
Value of oil in the ground (if any) is immeasurable (unmeasurable?) but on all best guesses might be say 10 per share....what's that worth today???
I would guess at least 10p in todays value allowing for the fact that we may well have to wait another year for some drilling.
So, (according to my logic) the shares ought to find an absolute bottom level of 26p (which funnily enough they found yesterday).
Any price under 30p per share looks a damn good buy to me...remember before they did the last 3d seismic two years ago, they were priced at 10p then and all they had was licences to drill.
I am in the camp that says we may stagnate for a bit, but below 30p I shall be adding...I missed out yesterday because I was feeling a bit glum...Hey-ho!!
Fat oldster.
eddieshare
- 24 Sep 2005 07:51
- 1795 of 6492
Hi markymar
Thanks for that. Just goes to show its not all doom & gloom. Did you manage to top up. ? I got in at 0.3225p, just a modest amount. A bit skint after our holiday.
Kind Regards
Eddie
eddieshare
- 24 Sep 2005 10:56
- 1797 of 6492
Hi markymar
Glad you got in, it should prove to be a good price. Was yours the 1.17 million 375 k trade ? This should prove to be a good price to buy, after the massive test of the hammer (25/05/05). The hammer stood up to a massive test (9.19m volume), for the hammer to have failed, DES would have had to close under the long shadow (0.2850p). If you draw a horizontal line from the lowest point of the shadow (25/05/05) to Thursdays candle, you can see how much work the bulls had to do to defend it. This will be why the 1.17m trade was at the end of the day. The market had pushed DES back up off the low of 0.2725p upto the close 0.3100p. As Florida says top up and relax. This may be the last chance at such a low price. If there is speculation in the market DES could move up just as fast.
Kind Regards
Eddie
shadow
- 24 Sep 2005 11:27
- 1798 of 6492
From todays Guardian. Desire Petroleum company focused on the falklands, bounced back from thursdays fall. Traders reckon may take advantage of the decline, which was triggered by news that Desire cannot get its hands on arig, to make an offer. The shares rose 2.25 to 33.5p. This should encourage other oil companies to offer a takeover bid shortly, possible Chervron and Exxon, within a short period.
eddieshare
- 26 Sep 2005 20:37
- 1799 of 6492
Hi all
DES went up a little, looking at the trades there are more sells than buys. Todays trading opend at 0.3300p, moved upto 0.3400p, this is where the price stayed untill the bears moved DES back down to 0.3300p. The bulls then gave support moving DES back up to the close. The close wasn't at the high of the day, this suggests the the bears are still around. The volume has reduced slightly, we may see some consolidation around this area before moving up. News of a rig, farm in partners or bid would bring the bulls out in force.
Good Luck All
Eddie
robstuff
- 27 Sep 2005 10:31
- 1802 of 6492
I understand that rumours abound that Chevron may pick DES off. It'd be sad as us long term holders want to see DES strike oil independently or at least with farm in partners as we all believe that it's going to be the biggest discovery for a very long time and the sp will multiply many times. Surely a rig will be found or a new one commissioned before long. Rig co's know the potential. If des was taken over I cannot see less than 1 being successful, Clever directors tying their bonus to the Capitalisation of the co. They stand to gain a hell of a lot!
cagney15
- 27 Sep 2005 10:40
- 1803 of 6492
Had been involved with DES for some time now however I closed my position in favour of the almost unknown TAG which has just achieved a strike in Guatamala.
You can see the upside of a positive drill especially when the pipe lines for distribution exist.
I am sure DES will achieve in the fullness of time, although to fly I believe some serious institutional support will be required.
Again using TAG as an example 91% of their shares are held by institutions / major shareholders leaving only just over 4 million in the hands of the small investor hence the massive upside.
I will definately be back to DES when the circumstances are right although do not want to be tied in treading water for the next 6 -12 months. DYOR
Roly.
Captguns
- 27 Sep 2005 15:17
- 1804 of 6492
Your going to need a new map Markymar.
The web site has been updated
http://www.desireplc.co.uk/
Many thanks to Eddie and Lynnzal for the charts.
Captguns
- 27 Sep 2005 18:36
- 1806 of 6492
Well a few Markymar,
Kath is a new babe to me.
The Liz, Beth, Jan triple decker looks off, which I find odd considering the section from the Calagary presentation.
Maybe they have named the target wrong??
If you check the shape and position of Liz and Beth on the old and new map Liz seems to have become Beth.
I'm not surprised they have not sized the target's, as in my opinion it would serve no purpose without a rig.
There were a few more potential targets in that Calagry presentation, so maybe more to come??
I'd like to know the COS on Ninky as they seem rather confident on that one if, you read the write up on the slide.
eddieshare
- 27 Sep 2005 20:27
- 1807 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks to all for the updtes.
DES went down a little today, closing on yesterdays low. The candle has bearish implications, due to the fact DES failed to move up. Looking at the chart, we have a Fibonacci retracement line just above. The market appears uncertian about going through this level. DES had few buys today, which may mean consolidation at the lower level before moving up. Both buying and selling volumes have reduced in the past few days, which reflects indecision. Tomorrows trading may confirm the markets intentions.
Good Luck All
Eddie
lynnzal
- 28 Sep 2005 11:31
- 1808 of 6492
Last weeks sell-off through the May low at 28.5p changed the dynamics of my analysis somewhat. The break down through the 28.5p low tells me that the recovery since the May low was not the beginning of a longer-term advance.... In other words we are still in the midst of a corrective cycle off the 69.75p high. This was always a concern in the back of my mind that I first alluded to back in April (#1147), when I pointed out that a break above 48p was needed to confirm the end of the corrective phase. To be precise I was looking at the 10 Feb low at 47.75p as a bull trigger. Anyway, I am labelling an a,b,c corrective decline from 69.75p to 28.5p, forming corrective phase A of a higher degree. Subsequently we have an a,b,c pullback to an orthodox top at 44.75p (15 Aug), forming B and we are now in what should prove to be the final leg lower C. According to my calculations, current downside risk could be in the 19.75p area.
Regards to all and keep up the great work eddie
Lynnzal
eddieshare
- 28 Sep 2005 20:38
- 1809 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks Lynnzal, can you post the chart with your findings please ? I'm unfamiliar with the count (ABC).
The bears were in again today taking DES down to the low 0.3000p. The bulls came in at this area taking DES back up to the close 0.3750p. This may be suggesting the bulls don't want to allow the close to go under 0.3050p, this was the low close from the top close 0.6800p (doji top on the daily chart). However the hammer (25/05/05) 0.2850p has been penetrated on (22/09/05) the day of the announcement. DES has not closed under the hammer (the lowest point of the shadow), this suggests the hammer is still intact. Todays candle has bearish implications, but the lower shadow suggests the bulls were buying near the low area. Todays close is very near to the low 0.3050p. If the bulls don't manage to defend this area then bears may take DES closer to the bottom of the hammer.
Good Luck All
Eddie