Treacle28
- 14 Jan 2009 09:10
Monday saw more action for Titan holders- Mefro Wheels GMBH, a german private company increased it's holding to 29.9% by acquiring stock at 40p - against the prevailing market price of 20p. Mefro wheels acquired their original 24% stake at 40p in December.
A subsidiary of Titan International Inc, Tital Luxembourg Sarl, acquired 2,079,600 @ 35p and 339,000 @ 31.5p over the last two days taking their stake to over 20%. A director of Titan Lux Sarl is the non exec chairman of Titan Europe.
Roosters are hungry at this time of year and need to eat on chicken feed. This looks like a grain fest given Titan International broke off talks to buy Titan Europe in 2008 over 200p per share. Yeah - markets have changed but a battle for control of a niche business looks set to keep me well fed for the H1 09....
jkd
- 25 Jan 2009 16:46
- 18 of 100
T28
do you think you may have been somewhat over optimistic with your previous posts?
or is it too soon to say? price was at 31p level when i last posted so now just 10 days later at 24p is it now even more too gooder? its a bit too risky for me but thanks once again for drawing it to my attention. only time will tell.
regards
jkd
sportbilly1976
- 26 Jan 2009 15:10
- 19 of 100
Treacle sold out just after his last post above for 29p...
off to his next pump & dump.....no patience that boy...only time for the T10 to make any money.
mitzy
- 27 Jan 2009 06:16
- 20 of 100
What ever happened to old Treacle I do miss him.
mitzy
- 16 Apr 2009 20:06
- 21 of 100
I do enjoy a treacle -free thread..lol.
Treacle28
- 16 Apr 2009 20:39
- 22 of 100
Back in this morning having bought and sold these from 15p to 35p after Christmas....finals results shouldn't be too far away as per the trading statement in February and imo 30p is on the horizon!
Gathering momentum now and 30p or more is on the horizon imo in the next few days. Longer term, still very safe play with Mefro holding their around 29% stake at 40p and Titan International increasing their holding in January at 35p to take their stake to around 22%. An offer equivalent to 220p was on the table this time last year.
Treacle28
- 16 Apr 2009 20:40
- 23 of 100
Updated Post on Motley Fool in February...the below is some referenced material:-
Valuation
'Thus we can see that the Wheel division makes up roughly a third of the company. Mefro were prepared to pay 40p/share and I doubt whether they are very interested in the Undercarriages division.
Is a break up possible? I would have thought so. Mefro clearly know their onions. They bought out Michelin in 2005. Either way, I would say Mefro want a say in what happens to the Wheel Division. Either they will come to an agreement to buy the Wheels Division, or they will at least have a controlling say in who takes over the company and thus protect their supply chain. Either way, I think Mefro have played a blinder.
Given that Mefro have probably made a valuation of the Wheels Division that ensures that the price that they have paid so far (35-40p range for most of their 29.9% /24.79M shares say worst case for 9.7M) is a price that they would consider a bargain, I suspect that they will be winners whatever happens.
So what is the value of the company? If Wheels makes up approx a third, then one might argue that the company as a whole is worth somewhere in the region of 100-120p. Compare this to the price that Titan International were offering in summer 08 at 220p and we can see there is a big gap'.
http://boards.fool.co.uk/Message.asp?mid=11428993
Treacle28
- 16 Apr 2009 20:40
- 24 of 100
Three Dirt Cheap Small Caps
Published in Company Comment on 20 February 2009
Wheels on fire
Whilst Tolent is the least risky of the three shares, I think Titan Europe is the most interesting and have bought some myself. It has been subject to stake building by a rival and an attempt by its original owner, Titan International (NYSE: TWI) to buy it back.
In June Titan International made an all share offer worth 230p but three months later they called it off. The shares crashed as low as 7p in December before Germany's Mefro Wheels bought 25% of the company at 40p, over 300% more than the market price.
Mefro came back for more last month, taking its stake to 29.9%, the maximum allowed under takeover rules without making an offer for the whole company. Simultaneously a secretive Canadian fund manager bought 5% at 35p. Titan Europe was forced to say it had not received any bid approaches. It seems to me if a rival thinks a company is worth 40p then it's fallen too low. However, just this morning Titan said although profits for 2008 will be in line with expectations, 2009 has got off to a slow start. It reckons sales will fall by 30% from last year's total of 450m and added that it wouldn't be paying a final dividend for 2008. Its shares have dropped from the price shown in the table above.
There are probably more profits shocks in store for these high-risk shares, but they are priced to go bust and there's still a chance of another bid for Titan Europe.
http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/company-comment/2009/02/20/three-dirt-cheap-small-caps.aspx
Treacle28
- 17 Apr 2009 10:05
- 25 of 100
Price up again today as expected on decent volume. Order book is also healthy on the buy side.
Treacle28
- 17 Apr 2009 11:23
- 26 of 100
About 70% of the shares in the hands of major shareholders and if Titan Inc. want to buy more or someone else there is going to be big short squeeze on resulting in bigger rises.
Treacle28
- 17 Apr 2009 12:02
- 27 of 100
At this rate, may hit 30p today.
security1
- 17 Apr 2009 12:09
- 28 of 100
treacle get some HERENCIA/HER if the mm,s will sell you any partner news imminent.
Treacle28
- 17 Apr 2009 17:43
- 29 of 100
A predator like Mefro or Titan International will snap the company up. Good close and might possibly rise alot more on Monday again. There wasn't much buying at all today to fuel the 23% rise and the most significant trades were 70,000 buy at 27p which bought the lunchtime surge and proved the stock shortage adage right and then a 100,000 sell towards the close at 25.50p. Very little risk imo here with the directors, mefro's and titan international inc. stakes!
Treacle28
- 22 Apr 2009 09:10
- 30 of 100
Topped up this morning. Final results should be anyday now!
Treacle28
- 23 Apr 2009 08:52
- 31 of 100
Topped up again by another 18,000 shares this morning. Finals are out by next Friday.
Treacle28
- 23 Apr 2009 10:46
- 32 of 100
Perking up again on not much buying!
Treacle28
- 23 Apr 2009 22:52
- 33 of 100
Patience needed for a few more days but check out the statement from Titan International - need a bigger hint? Takeover news could be accompanied with Finals anyday now. Titan Europe received a bid of 230p per share in April last year.
Subject: General news
Date: Thu 26th Feb 2009 11:05:22
Country: USA
Industry: Industrial engineering
Company:
BRIEF-Titan International Q4 results
Feb 26 (Reuters) - Titan International Inc (Illinois):
* Announces record fourth quarter and yearly sales results and corporate
milestone of over $1 billion in revenue
* Q4 pro forma earnings per share $0.17
* Q4 revenue $258.6 million
"* Sees further consolidation in specialty wheel and tire market in 2009"
* Reuters Estimates Q4 earnings per share view $0.23, revenue view $236.45
million
* Q4 net loss per share $0.53
mitzy
- 24 Apr 2009 08:55
- 34 of 100
30p soon then..?
Treacle28
- 24 Apr 2009 10:27
- 35 of 100
Perking up again, and could jump over 25p soon!
security1
- 24 Apr 2009 10:55
- 36 of 100
treacle brazillian diamonds/BDY news out not on advn or other bb,s
Treacle28
- 24 Apr 2009 15:26
- 37 of 100
24.0-25.0 pence, nicely poised for finals next week and imo very sharp upwards re-rating!