blackdown
- 22 Jul 2009 08:21
- 18 of 20
Trying to convince yourself or others?
tescoma
- 22 Jul 2009 09:10
- 19 of 20
pinnacle telecom/PINN massive news imminent
wizardsleeve
- 19 Oct 2009 10:03
- 20 of 20
13th October 2009 Analyst: Philip Morrish
philip.morrish@t1ps.com
020 7562 3362
Media Corporation plc*
Transformational acquisition increases forecasts and strengthens Board;
Reiterate Buy with increased target price of 6.2p
Key Data
EPIC MDC
Share Price 1.05p
Spread 1.00p 1.10p
NMS 75,000
Total Number of issued shares 291.927298 million
Market Cap 3.07 million
12 Month Range 0.625p 2.625p
Market AIM
Website www.mediacorpplc.com
Sector Media
Contact Justin Drummond
Chief Executive Officer
020 7618 9000
Media Corp has announced the acquisition of internet gambling company Purple Lounge for 1 and a maximum of 465,812 earn out payable out of free cash flow during the next 5 years. The deal offers the potential for almost immediate significant advancements in earnings and with an increased target price of 6.2p, at the current 1.05p, we reiterate our stance of buy.
Purple Lounge operates www.purplelounge.com, which enables consumers to bet on card games, casino games and make sports bets. In the year to 31st May 2008, Purple Lounge made a pre-tax loss of 476,670 on total revenues of 16,472,620. As at 31st May 2008, the net asset deficit was 685,000. Since then Purple Lounge has continued to perform strongly and was understood to be approaching breakeven. This performance is expected to further materially improve once the business has been relocated to Media Corps offices and directly benefits from its marketing strength, especially access to the portal Gambling.com.
Media Corp will also benefit from the appointment of Purple Lounges Chairman, Chris Gorman OBE, joining the board as a non-executive director with immediate effect. Mr Gorman (42) has been an entrepreneurial leader in both retail a nd technology businesses over the past 10 years; he sold DX Communications, a mobile phone retailer, to BT Cellnet for 42 million in 1998; and Reality Group, an internet services company in 2000, after just 14 months of trading, to GUS for 35million.
Media Corp looks to have ended its financial year to 30th September 2009 in line with expectations and with underlying trading understood to be remaining robust, we are revising our forecasts for the financial years ending 30th September 2010 and 2011 substantially upwards in light of both this and the Purple Lounge acquisition. These increases see our 2010 earnings per share forecast increased from 0.1p to 0.2p and 2011 from 0.3p to 0.7p.
We continue to value Media Corp on a sum of the parts model based on net cash plus an appropriate multiple of forward earnings. Considering its sector profile, Media Corp ought to trade on a high teens multiple, but its recent track record of losses mitigates against this. However, even a conservative 8 times forecast September 2011 earnings per share (0.7p) together with net cash of 0.6p per share (1.7 million) indicates a target price of 6.2p. As Media Corp demonstrates the recovery underway in its core businesses as well as the additional growth that Purple Lounge could provide, we would expect the earnings multiple to increase - providing further material upside potential. Therefore, with the shares trading at 1.05p we re-iterate our stance of buy.
Forecast Table
Year to 30 Sales Pre-Tax Earnings Per Price Earning Dividend Yield
September (000) Profit (000) Share (p) Ratio (x) (p) (%)
=0 A
2007A 8,309 3,019 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.0
2008A 3,912 (11,222) (3.9) n/a 0.0 0.0
2009E 4,400 (1,809) (0.6) n/a 0.0 0.0
2010E 30,000 506 0.2 6.1 0.0 0.0
2011E 50,000 2,008 0.7 1.5 0.0 0.0
*Media Corp is a corporate client of Bishopsgate Communications, which is owned by Rivington Street Holdings, the ultimate owner of GE&CR. Rivington Street Holdings owns shares in Media Corp. =0 A