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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 19th January (MONI)     

Crocodile - 18 Jan 2004 11:58

Premarket Futures FTSE +2 DAX +10 DOW +23 S&P +0.1 Nasdaq +2.5

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

draw?period=1D&class=class+com.deltastre

FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures US news

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Nasdaq 100

[Chart]

S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +179   Hang Seng +50 Asia News

[Chart]

10 Year Bond

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London Traders Day 29th January -   Traders Room    Investors Room
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

Ebookers Online travel agency says its gross sales for the December quarter beat market expectations and January trading has begun well across most of its business. Courts household furniture said the weak dollar had hit sales and it was reviewing strategic options.

Monsoon fashion retailer said sales in the five weeks to January 3 were two percent up on the previous year, in line with its expectations of its Christmas trading performance.

News will be posted at approx 7:35am

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

 Monsoon (I), Sanctuary Group (F)

Ebookers Trading Update

00.01 Jan Rightmove House price Report

CLOSED

The stock market will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr.'s birthday,

Infineon (Q1),

07.00 EMU Dec German Produce Prices m/m flat exp. 11.00 EMU Nov Trade Balance 7.5bn exp.

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

Bloomberg TV

Futures

Pivot Calc

HTML Editor

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Fundamentalist - 18 Jan 2004 20:13 - 18 of 65

Croc,

Great thread as always, helps me to focus on what i plan to do in the forthcoming week. Keep up the great work - it is appreciated by an awful lot of us

character - 18 Jan 2004 20:22 - 19 of 65

brilliant-cheers

Crocodile - 18 Jan 2004 20:31 - 20 of 65

Testex, agree re Playboy!

bishopjeremy - 18 Jan 2004 21:03 - 21 of 65

both this and snappytrader are among the sites I visit the most.
many thanks for your invaluable help

chartist2004 - 18 Jan 2004 21:34 - 22 of 65

Hi Dave, Thanks for keeping us all updated on the market. Just read your thoughts regarding 'market robots', most interesting article.

philj66 - 18 Jan 2004 21:40 - 23 of 65

Croc
As a late entry onto this BB I am really impressed with what I have seen so far. Apart from your good and able self there appears to be some bright and interesting players. I hope you will allow a slightly worn old fashioned gut trader to glean some info from you and perhaps contribute something of value in the near future.
Thanks

Crocodile - 18 Jan 2004 22:19 - 24 of 65

Thanks all, Welcome phil and all the new posters to the traders thread,
D,

FASHON - 18 Jan 2004 23:33 - 25 of 65

May I correct a small mistake: Investor's Chronicle (on their website) have Hilton down as a SELL not a buy.

You are a must read every Sunday evening. Thanks a lot.

little woman - 18 Jan 2004 23:54 - 26 of 65

Hi all,

Was going to leave dropping by until before market open (if I remembered to wake up in time!) but as I'm pleased to see all the visitors to this thread (please don't be strangers anymore!)I just had to drop in and say Hi.

Life just wouldn't be the same if this tread was only accessible in the traders room.

Anyone got any thought on BT.A for next week? (I was reading that they aren't hitting targets for getting enough Broadband customers, but I've been told by someone in charge of engineers who install broadband for BT customers, that they cannot cope with the orders they are receiving, so getting more customers is not what they need at the moment!)



ThePlayboy - 19 Jan 2004 07:15 - 27 of 65

MONDAY FTSE PP (DJ CLOSED)

R2 4514
R1 4501
PP 4479
S1 4465
S2 4443

Close was above Fri r1! 2 day ftse chart targeting 4500, unless a break of uptrend at 4475 to 4460! All about Dj 10600/550 for direction imho!

WEEKLY FTSE PP

R2 4531
R1 4509
PP 4470
S1 4449
S2 4410

For next week if this week has been anything to go by then tricky, volatility down by 40% at least! 3 month uptrend channel lower at 4410 s2/upper 4540 abnove r1, ftse close roughly in the middle, more consolidation next week or was this week the consolidation for a brk? Either target achievable imho for next week, ftse over bought atm so maybe a pullback and rally to the highs, imho a test of 4450 and a touch of at least 4510 for next week!

ThePlayboy - 19 Jan 2004 07:15 - 28 of 65

Updated 1/16 for Tuesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 1/20
UP Above 10,600
DN Below 10,550

At Resistance
Dow holds at highs, stays beneath key resistance.

From prior commentary, "...The index has now formed a wide trading range, which will likely contain the Dow for a while...A solid upside break through the top of the range and through the key 10,600 level will indicate another advance in the medium term..."
The Dow pushed higher at the Open and stayed near the session highs throughout the day, as seen in the 15 Minute Chart. However, the index was never able to break through the clear and solid 10,600 resistance level, seen in 15 and 60 Minute timeframes. The Dow held at this level throughout the session, further defining the clear fulcrum.

Watch 10,600 closely Tuesday, as a move away from this level will likely be swift and powerful. An upside break through it will make for another medium term uptrend, while a downside reversal off it will push the index back toward support at 10,375. A break below 10,550 will likely spark such a reaction.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow is holding beneath the a clear short term resistance level at 10,595, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Use this level as a fulcrum at the Open: Long above, Short below.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we are still out of the market, as none of our entry levels were triggered. We will continue to watch 10,600 up, and will look to enter Shorts below 10,550, with 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ and S&P each trended steadily higher today, which each pushing through the upper boundaries of their respective ranges. Look for further upside movement above resistance Tuesday. *

Summary

The Dow held at the highs throughout the session today, but continues to hold just below major resistance at 10,600. An upside break through this level will likely spark a solid upside move, while a reversal will make for weakness. Watch this clear fulcrum Tuesday.


zarif - 19 Jan 2004 07:56 - 29 of 65

morning croc and all.
Cold crispy morning today - hope the stock market is nice warm and friendly to us all today.

rgds
zarif

Douggie - 19 Jan 2004 08:11 - 30 of 65

mornin all

little woman - 19 Jan 2004 08:16 - 31 of 65

Morning all,

zarif, you here early this morning - you don't usually come by until later - are you going to trade UK as US is closed today?


D4F are having problems - this should make it interesting!

little woman - 19 Jan 2004 08:37 - 32 of 65

My D4F account is showing a large open position I don't have and it is now stopping me from doing any deals. What worries me is if I want to close the real open position (only a small one) - it may not let me do it as it could show it as a new deal.

little woman - 19 Jan 2004 08:47 - 33 of 65

I'm really annoyed now - I wanted to go long GSK this morning and couldn't open a position - now up 15+

Melnibone - 19 Jan 2004 09:04 - 34 of 65

Hi little woman,

My CMC is working fine for a change this morning.
Looks like it's your turn today.

Decided over the weekend to start with a clean slate this
morning. I'm not happy with my performance last week and
I don't want the baggage of a losing position to cloud my
judgement. So I sold the SHEL for a few pence loss this morning
on this bounce up.

Now got a clean slate and nothing to influence or cloud my
decisions. Annoyed that my platform went down on Friday right
after I sold the GSK, they dropped back 5p as I expected but I
was unable to buy them back. Now I feel the same as little woman.

Never mind, 'Dems de Breaks.'

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 19 Jan 2004 09:17 - 35 of 65

My account was showing incorrect longs when I logged
on last night to check out how the updates had gone.

I left it on on for an hour and let it chunter away
to itself and it had sorted itself out by this
morning.

Hope it all comes good for you, it puts doubt in your
mind when stuff is showing incorrectly, and nags away
at you in the back of your mind.
Don't let it stop you thinking straight. The biggest
hurdle in this game is yourself.

Melnibone.

little woman - 19 Jan 2004 09:43 - 36 of 65

My account is currently in deficet - Ironically the position that isn't mine is showing a massive profit - it just with my closing the open position that isn't there, the two added together means I can't trade.

Melnibone - 19 Jan 2004 09:44 - 37 of 65

I don't know about anyone else, but all the stuff I was
looking at for longs this week has opened up higher and
ran away from me. I don't chase stuff, other folk have profit
to take and it isn't me that they're going to sell it to
when it drops. (Been there, done that, got the teeshirt.)

Looking for shorts instead on retracement profit taking.

Melnibone.
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