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Traders Thread - Tuesday 3rd February (AVZ)     

Crocodile - 02 Feb 2004 21:54

UK PreMarket Futures FTSE Unch DAX +5 DOW -14 S&P -0.8 Nasdaq -1

1 Day

2 Day

 5 Day

UK News

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Gold/Bond Pivots Markets  Futures
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1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  US News

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S&P Futures

Nikkei -134  Hang Seng +78 Asia News

DAX CAC  Euro News
FTSE & DOW charts have 1,2 or 5 day views  -  News links for UK, US & Far East markets. - The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

US Stocks had a wild session with an early fall then the DOW rallied over 70 before falling again to end up only 11 on the day.

Amvescap awaiting data at 12:00 : It is due to unveil full-year figures but attention expected will focused on the US mutual funds scandal. The fund manager will reveal the damage done to its reputation from the US Invesco unit

BOC Group beat forecasts with a 26 percent rise in first quarter pre-tax profit and said it was starting to see the benefit of improving global trading conditions. Profit rose to 116.7 million pounds from 92.3 million last year compared with forecasts around 109 million.

Carpetright reported a strong rise in Christmas sales and said it was increasing profits on the year before. Like-for-like sales rose 4.6 percent in the 13 weeks to January 31, with gross margins level on the year.

Chorion the owner of children's character Noddy, said it had rejected a proposed 43.5 million pounds approach by rival media company Entertainment Rights

Henlys manufacturing said it expected annual earnings to be well below current market forecasts due to poor orders at its Blue Bird bus manufacturing division

Chrysalis radio said its revenues for the five months to January 31 were up 19 percent with trading in line with its expectations and 90 percent of Feb revenues were already booked,

DFS Furniture said it expected first-half pre-tax profit to fall from a year ago, as tough competition in the sector hits its earnings. The company added that the outlook for UK consumer spending appeared uncertain due to expected rises in interest rates and concerns about rising debt levels.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

Amvescap (F), BOC (Q1), Carpetright (Trading) Capital Radio, Chrysalis, Imperial Tobacco (AGMs) Ex date of Wolseley ADR Stock Spilt, Terms are 3 shares for every 2 held

13:30 Car & truck sales, 5.8m, 9.10m prev. 15:00 Jan layoffs, 93.02 prev.

11:00 Dec PPI m/m, 0.1% prev. 11:00 Dec PPI y/y, 1.4% prev. 11:00 Jan unemployment, 8.8% prev.

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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CAT - 03 Feb 2004 15:15 - 18 of 30

ITL - 1st quarter results on the 12th Feb - 2 weeks early
:-)

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 15:15 - 19 of 30

FTSE closed gap open lower.

Any sellers that were waiting are now in play.
Where's the US going to go though?

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 03 Feb 2004 15:23 - 20 of 30

mel cut my long whilst dow ponders 500 for direction fulcrum level, potential brkout on ftse but dow weakness=failure

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 15:25 - 21 of 30

Agree TP.

Ftse is also at the top of the 3 day downtrend channel.

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 03 Feb 2004 15:26 - 22 of 30

mel decision time, dow scratching its chin over 500 look at it:)

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 15:32 - 23 of 30

draw?size=Big&startDate=03%2F01%2F04&per

Ftse has made a lower low today and is still in down mode
unless it goes above 4415(ish).

Careful with any position longs just yet, guys.

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 03 Feb 2004 15:45 - 24 of 30

mel Ed had a good call today, short below 500 long above, sounds easy but by the price action around 500 he was spot on imho

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 16:01 - 25 of 30

draw?size=Big&startDate=03%2F01%2F04&per

Still half an hour to go yet, but if the FTSE closes
here, we have a possible 'Hanging Man' at the end of
a 9 day downtrend.

Close call this!

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 03 Feb 2004 16:04 - 26 of 30

mel i have a brkout on futs candles but with that big chart it does,nt look so:) brkout on line aswell imho just Us 500 holding us back atm

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 16:34 - 27 of 30

Arrrrrgh!

I spend days sorting out my CMC connections and just after
1600hrs my Ntl internet connection fails and I've only
just got back online!

The Gods are having a laugh at me!

Where's that Rocket Fuel, I give up, I'm a beaten man.

Melnibone.

ThePlayboy - 03 Feb 2004 17:10 - 28 of 30

WEDS FTSE PP

R2 4415
R1 4403
PP 4380
S1 4368
S2 4345

Tues close was above the pp after gaining 2.6pts in the auction, ftse attempting a breakout of the downtrend imho after closing above 375 to target 4405, start of uptrend failure at 380, all down to the dows reaction to 10500 Tue!

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 18:44 - 29 of 30

draw?size=Big&movingAverageString=%2C60%

Agree Dow 10500 will be important.

Ftse is in firm downtrend with pretty much uniform lower highs
and lower lows. It needs to snap this trend soon.

On the plus side, the open/close range was narrow which suggests
lighter selling pressure.
After today we no longer need to break 4415 to show a trend reversal
and put in a swing low. A low above 4360(ish), and a high above
4395(ish) will do. This is attainable if Dow stays above 10500.

Personally, I will be getting ready to buy if it breaks 4400 with good
momentum. If it fails then I will follow the downtrend which should take us
initially to 4330, the previous swing low, and then 4280 if that fails.IMHO.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 03 Feb 2004 19:55 - 30 of 30

Just had a read of the weekly CityWire Ftse TA.
They're a day late with it this week. Tsk! Tsk!

He's agreeing with my 4330 target,(maybe he reads this board for his
ideas):-)), but for a different reason.

Where I'm looking at a previous swing low, he's doing some fancy
measurements between troughs and double tops.

He's more bearish than me if 4330 fails, where I'm looking at previous
support at 4280, he's looking at 4220 at the bottom of a main uptrend
channel.

If it hits 4220 then I would have thought that psychological support
would have to be tested at 4200. But then I'm thinking as a sentient
human, not a collection of And/Or gates. :-))

Melnibone.
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