mitzy
- 10 Oct 2008 06:29
The Other Kevin
- 26 Feb 2010 15:32
- 1843 of 5370
Deutsche Bank on LLoyds
Smaller than expected operating loss
LBG reported stated PBT of 1042m compared with our estimate of 765m
and consensus of 900m. Our preliminary estimate of underlying loss before
tax is 7.8bn, 5% higher than our forecast with debt management gains
of 1.5bn higher than our 945m and consensus of 745m, intangible amortisation
lower, and policyholder volatility higher (see below).
Better in the enduring parts of the business
However, the signposts to a stronger earning future are clear, and backed
by clear upgraded guidance from LBG management: (1) Net interest margin
was 1.77% for the year (1H 1.72%, 2H 1.83%) and company expects 2.00%
in 2010 including the cost of refinancing required SLS and CGS, rising thereafter;
the balance of wholesale funding > 1 year duration 50% from 47%
June 09, 44 Dec 08, in line with RBS; We're at 1.82% margin for 2010 at
present; (2) Impairments of 24bn bang in line; 2010 guidance is to take the
2H09 figure and shrink 21% HoH for 1H10 and 21% HoH for 2H10, gets to
a 15bn 2010 charge, we're at 15.7bn, 2010 fair value unwind assumption
increased to 2.5bn from 1bn; (iii) Synergies upgraded, as we had hoped,
to 2bn by end 2011 from 1.5bn before, including the cost of selling the
retail and commercial bank under EU competition requirements.
Weak performance is centered in non-core Ireland
Though loan losses at a group level reported in line with our expectations,
International was substantially weaker than our forecasts, driven by Ireland
and Australia, both of which we consider non-core to the group. Much
stronger performance in UK Retail and strong margin and cost guidance
should underpin the stock, despite the recent strong run. Buy, TP70p.
Source: Deutsche Bank
Jason Napier, CFA
Research Analyst
The Other Kevin
- 26 Feb 2010 15:36
- 1844 of 5370
KBW on LLoyds
Lloyds Banking Group
(LLOY.LN, 55p, Market Perform, Target: 65p)
FY09 results - Initial reaction
Lloyds has reported a statutory pre-tax profit of 1.0bn and pro-forma loss of
6.3bn (after fair value unwind of 6.1bn). Income was 24.6bn (KBWe 23.6bn)
benefiting from 2H09 gain of c0.8bn, which was not in our estimates.
Impairment charges were 24.0bn (KBWe 23.0bn), or 5.4bn in 4Q and NPLs
are up c10bn HoH. Guidance is for a similar sequential c20% HoH reduction
into 2010. The group margin came in at 177bps (KBWe 172bps), implying a
sharp recovery in 4Q09, which looks to have been driven entirely by Retail. The
2009 numbers look fairly disappointing versus KBWe. More importantly for the
share price is the guidance. Impairment charges are guided at c14bn (our
interpretation), broadly in line with consensus and around 2bn ahead of KBWe.
The margin is guided to c200bps in 2010 and rising thereafter, leading to
high-single digit income growth within two years. Overall, Lloyds still has to
prove it has a handle on credit quality, but the projected margin improvement
should be enough to provide comfort
smarty
- 11 Mar 2010 15:51
- 1845 of 5370
Goldmans upgrade today with target of 83p
watcher
- 11 Mar 2010 17:17
- 1846 of 5370
smarty....keep your finger on the pulse.....83p would be brill target for the end of the year.....then one more year to go and we get a divi again......looking comfortable for that time frame......cheers
skinny
- 19 Mar 2010 07:31
- 1847 of 5370
Update on Current Trading
RNS Number : 8463I
Lloyds Banking Group PLC
19 March 2010
19 March 2010
UPDATE ON CURRENT TRADING
On Wednesday 24 March 2010 Eric Daniels, Group Chief Executive, will present to
investors at the Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference. The
presentation will focus on the opportunities for the Group to build sustainable
earnings momentum and will update the guidance provided to investors in the
Group's 2009 preliminary results announcement on 26 February 2010, and will
provide the following short update on current trading.
In the first 10 weeks of 2010, the Group's trading performance has been strong
and we are pleased with the Group's performance against each area of recent
guidance. The banking net interest margin is trending in line with recent
guidance and this has supported a good level of income growth, on a combined
businesses basis and excluding last year's gains from liability management
transactions.
Costs have remained well controlled and are lower than the equivalent period in
2009. Impairment provisions are currently trending at lower levels than
anticipated and as a result the Group now expects to deliver a better impairment
performance than previously guided, in both the retail and corporate businesses,
in 2010. Overall, based on the Group's current economic and regulatory
assumptions which remain unchanged since our recent 2009 preliminary results
announcement, the Group believes that it will be profitable on a combined
businesses basis in 2010.
The Group will publish its Interim Management Statement on 27 April 2010
tabasco
- 19 Mar 2010 07:59
- 1848 of 5370
Looks like Lloy's in for a good day
Master RSI
- 19 Mar 2010 08:19
- 1849 of 5370
LLOY - 60.25p +4.70p (8.46%)
Lloyds Bank Expects To Return To Profit In 2010
Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LYG) said Friday that it expects to return to profit in 2010 as it reported a strong trading performance in the first 10 weeks of 2010, underpinned by good income growth, lower-than-expected impairment provisions and a tight rein on costs.
In a trading statement ahead of Chief Executive Officer Eric Daniels' presentation at a conference next week, Lloyds said "the banking net interest margin is trending in line with recent guidance and this has supported a good level of income growth, on a combined businesses basis and excluding last year's gains from liability management transactions."
In February, the 41% government-owned bank reported a 2009 pretax loss for its combined businesses of GBP6.3 billion compared with a GBP6.71 billion loss a year earlier.
Costs have also "remained well controlled and are lower than the equivalent period in 2009," the statement said.
Lloyds said impairment provisions are currently trending at lower levels than anticipated and as a result it now expects to deliver a better impairment performance than previously flagged, in both the retail and corporate businesses, in 2010.
"Overall, based on the group's current economic and regulatory assumptions, which remain unchanged since our recent 2009 preliminary results announcement, the group believes that it will be profitable on a combined businesses basis in 2010," Lloyds said.
Daniels' presentation at the Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference on March 24 "will focus on the opportunities for the group to build sustainable earnings momentum," Lloyds said. He will also update the guidance provided in the group's 2009 results announcement on Feb. 26.
Lloyds will publish a trading update on April 27. Its shares closed at 56 pence Thursday, valuing the bank at GBP37.17 billion.
mitzy
- 19 Mar 2010 08:31
- 1850 of 5370
Buys today.
Master RSI
- 19 Mar 2010 08:32
- 1851 of 5370
BREAKOUT since the adjustment of last December open offer
Look at me I am talking to you
Master RSI
- 22 Mar 2010 16:33
- 1852 of 5370
money am chart says 74.33p maybe one day as is closing the GAP.
but the truth is 61.16p yet a full 1p UP not the same for the other banks I am afraid to say.
Did I say on the past that is not working properly, or was only the Silly COWSHARE
Master RSI
- 22 Mar 2010 16:47
- 1853 of 5370
Master RSI
- 23 Mar 2010 17:44
- 1854 of 5370
Closing market Report
Among the banks, Lloyds led the pack, up 1.9p at 63p, with Barclays ahead 4.3p at 357.9p and Royal Bank of Scotland 0.28p higher at 44.06p. FTSE100 new-boy Investec rose 6.5p at 558.5p.
Master RSI
- 23 Mar 2010 21:51
- 1855 of 5370
Late on the day it seems SHORTERS were jumping the clif, as the share price went over some resitance at 62.25p.
Master RSI
- 23 Mar 2010 22:04
- 1856 of 5370
Targets of 72 / 74p short term
smarty
- 24 Mar 2010 11:44
- 1857 of 5370
FTSE Down, Barclays Down, HSBC Down, Standard Chartered Down - Lloyds UP 0.75%. Shorters panicking as they attempt to straighten books ahead of month end - only 5 more trading days to go! Fingers crossed there wil be no serious Bank Bashing in AD's Budget in 90 mins!!!!!!!!!
smarty
- 24 Mar 2010 12:10
- 1858 of 5370
both LBG & RBS now up over 1%. Another LBG Director purchased 50,000 ADR's on Monday (equiv 200,000 Ord Shs). This share is on the UP - at last!
dono2
- 28 Mar 2010 23:35
- 1859 of 5370
1 2 month
edward33
- 13 Apr 2010 12:44
- 1860 of 5370
Hi All
LLoyds down more than most banks today, any news out there
All the best
Eddie
smarty
- 20 Apr 2010 14:30
- 1861 of 5370
here we go - LBG up 11.4% during the month. Up again today (67p+). Trading Statement next Tuesday (27 Apr) - expect more bullish movements. Good luck all. Smarty
smarty
- 21 Apr 2010 11:45
- 1862 of 5370
Citigroup upgrade LBG target price to 94p (from 70p) & retain BUY Rating...........sp up again against a falling market !!