bosley
- 20 Feb 2004 09:34
NS
- 08 Aug 2006 14:08
- 18590 of 27111
I'm with you Alan, i see this as positive news.
But yet again a Stanelco statement leads to confusion!
oblomov
- 08 Aug 2006 14:09
- 18591 of 27111
Alan, I'd feel more bullish if the statement had gone on to say 'and contracts have been signed at the exclusive packhouses to convert 100 machines'. I cant see what there is in the way of a statement of that kind now.
As I said, maybe its imminent. If it doesn't come VERY soon we'll surely finally know which way all this is going to pan out.
hewittalan6
- 08 Aug 2006 14:14
- 18592 of 27111
Possibly, Oblo.
But what if the end of exclusivity has been brought about by something we don't even know about?
What if Perseco has said one of its international clients wants Greenseal, but only if they can have it worldwide, UK included, and SEO have had to say to Asda, put up or shut up?
Ridiculous and far fetched, I know, but we have never seen or read anything to hint that Asda are unhappy with Greenseal.
I heard they may have question marks over its environmental credentials, and there are the delays, but that is all.
i understand the negative connotations that go with any news from this company, as they have let us all down so badly in the past, but i am not going to give it up now, based on no news, and a statement that can be taken 2 ways.
Alan
Bugz
- 08 Aug 2006 14:16
- 18593 of 27111
There is no question in my mind at all about this-its good news! Rather than being utterly dependant on one customer for the entire revenue generation of GS, SEO can start looking for others.
These means there has been an increase of the chance that some money can start coming in so they can stay floating. Right now my major concern is them staying in business, not whether the sp is going to rocket into the 20's
BKK2
- 08 Aug 2006 14:25
- 18594 of 27111
Who would have preferred for the exclusivity to stay and who for it to go,funny feeling most would be happier seeing it end,but its not knowing what is happening in the back ground that gives cause for concern,if there is anything to be concerned about is something we will all just have to wait to see.
Oilywag
- 08 Aug 2006 14:47
- 18595 of 27111
Listen up you "rotten lot"
Can't remember who it was on the previous page, can't be bothered to go back and check, but my comment that it might have been EK selling yesterday at the close. It was purely idle conjecture on my part without any whiff of evidence to support it.
And the other point, is that I think EK bought at above 12p or near that level. So, if it was EK, it should be a comfort to those nursing a loss that there are more astute people than us who make investment mistakes.
Still haven't received a reply from the SEO board to my e-mail sent last week on Friday. Now there's a surprise.!!
Will chase them tomorrow.
The oily one
hangon
- 08 Aug 2006 15:28
- 18596 of 27111
Trials
IMHO, the problem with so-called trials is that they rarely have a defined end. It is natural that any sales Director will not want to jepodise his/her position by installing a faulty packing-line - or a cheaper food that doesn't sell. So along with the trial to ensure the packs stay fresh, handle well, look good there will be customer feedback and this can take a long time....because a few of the trial packs will have to be sent to most stores for evaluation....and it's holiday time, staff shortages etc. So I'd expect the trials to drag-on. - Meanwhile the sp drifts on No News.......and they can't issue any news as the supermarket that's first will want an exclusive for a few months (anyone know? -is it six?) so they can bask in the Publicity of Eco-friendly packing.
The snag is that because it's exclusive, ASDA will want to be certain there isn't a flaw in the system, either at the consumer-end, or the packing (machinery) end.
It is a mightmare, that's my guess - and expect the same thing all-over when another store tries to conduct their evaluation.
Woa! betide the sp if there is a gkitch, or even a real fault in production quantitiess. Things rarely scale-up without a hitch.
I have a small (now!) holding from about 25p.
greekman
- 08 Aug 2006 15:37
- 18597 of 27111
Oily,
Re EK. I read your post as I am sure you intended it, IE purely idle conjecture and could see nothing wrong with it. We see many posts with conjecture all the time. There is no harm with such posts if as yours did, they do not pretend to be anything but.
Oblomov,
Could it be that for exclusive sites to go fully commercial, they may need more than the one machine on line. This (if they do have one machine commercial) would gel with their previous statement that the exclusive period would end when that 1 machine reached such a stage.
As said, once again SEO could do better on clarity. It is this none clarity that is the main cause of conjecture.
Sharesure
- 08 Aug 2006 15:49
- 18598 of 27111
My take is that the end of the Asda exclusivity period is going to do SEO a lot of good in a much quicker timescale than had it been extended. I think that it was a dumb move to have had it in the first place, and that's not written with glorious hindsight.
Bugz
- 08 Aug 2006 15:54
- 18599 of 27111
Totally agree Sharesure.
I know there was an Israeli company who were VERY keen to buy GS at the same time as the Asda exclusive period started. Hopefully some people like them, who were interested prior but couldnt get involved, can now start looking at Greenseal as an option again.
oblomov
- 08 Aug 2006 16:29
- 18601 of 27111
Alan,
I hope youre right . Im optimistic as well, but I still believe that, on the information we have been given, there is nothing now to stop Commercialisation at the exclusive sites. If we dont get that soon, there must surely be problems.
Also, dont forget that in the past 10 days we have gone from a two month extended ASDA exclusivity deal to a 12 month extended exclusivity announcement which was quickly withdrawn from the site and now a no exclusivity announcement!
This has the air of panic about it, Im afraid. How can we have three completely different situations in such a short space of time? Are we to expect a change of mind again soon?
Greekman,
yes, maybe, but how long can that take given that there are now no obstructions to commercialisation? It has to happen very quickly now, IMO, or it isn't going to happen at all.
angusrjy
- 08 Aug 2006 16:33
- 18602 of 27111
Reading the Stanelco website posting, I would tend to agree with Hewittalans6 post 18562, ASDA have realised that most sites are non ASDA exclusive ie they pack and make food and meals for other supermarkets and if only say 5% of pack houses are exclusive to ASDA then this would compromise ASDA's aim to be totally green and produce less waste etc......what would be the point in announcing "5% of our ready packed meals and meat products are green"? On the downside, I think the pack houses are going to have to approach every supermarket they pack for with GS technology and get the thumbs up from all of them before any roll out happens as someone has previously posted and they are all gonna want to trial it which could possibly take months/years? The only thing that may speed this up and bring in big roll outs is some sort of future Government Leglislation, similar to RohS Compliancy & the WEEE Directive, otherwise I reckon it's gonna be slow progress, maybe small RNS releases like 10-20 machines converted here and there. The chance of a big major roll out is slim I think.
greekman
- 08 Aug 2006 16:35
- 18603 of 27111
OB,
Entirely agree. It is almost now or never time. If this was a product even Greenseal wrapped, the sell by date is almost upon us.
Angusrjy,
Whilst agreeing that other potential customers will want their own trials, I very much doubt that any further trials would take anywhere near those first pioneering ones.
Most of the spadework was done early on, and the suitability re food contact won't alter. The risk factors have been covered.
oblomov
- 08 Aug 2006 16:42
- 18604 of 27111
Just one point, Angus, - both SEO and ASDA would have known the set-up of the packhouses right from the start, even if we didn't. It hasn't come as a surprise to them, so if it is a problem now how could they state 'we expect to make several hundred conversions in the next 12 months'?
angusrjy
- 08 Aug 2006 16:48
- 18605 of 27111
Greekman
True Greekman but it would be nice to know how many supermarkets roughly each pack house deals with as I bet it would be hard to get all the supermarkets sat round the table in agreement so to speak. Until there's a leglislation, no one has to change or do anything, even if there are cost savings involved. Businesses don't like change or upheaval IMHO.
angusrjy
- 08 Aug 2006 16:56
- 18606 of 27111
True Oblo, so where are these several hundred conversions, thats the million dollar question? But if all the Supermarkets can't agree with the packs houses and no one makes the first move won't it be a bit of a stalemate situation? SEO might get somewhere by offering new machines with GS installed but how many new machines are sold to pack houses each year and there's still no update with regards to the Mondini contract and Mondini aren't offering GS on their website? We are all frustrated by the lack of news and vagueness of SEO so all we can do is speculate but even this is getting boring now.
greekman
- 08 Aug 2006 17:06
- 18607 of 27111
It has been said before, when Companies the size of Asda, Tesco etc say jump, their suppliers do just that.
If you look at all the pressure they have been putting onto Farmers to cut their prices to the bone. Often these conglomerates rule almost to the producers extinction.
Who can doubt that if Walmart or say Tesco want Greenseal, the packers who rely on them for either total custom or at least the biggest percentage have any option but to do as they are told.
I think the main reason for the delay has been the problems re out of line time as stated in several responses from SEO.
All IMHO of course.
oblomov
- 08 Aug 2006 17:13
- 18608 of 27111
On the face of it the problem we have now is that not only do SEO need ASDA to want Greenseal, they may also need Sainsbury's, Tesco's and all the other major players to want it, otherwisr the packhouses cant handle it.
tweenie
- 08 Aug 2006 17:36
- 18609 of 27111
I remember reading somewhere (might be T&G report) that Mondini should have a machine up and running around aug 2006. Can anyone confirm this ?