Desire Petroleum

<>Desire Petroleum plc (Desire) is a UK company listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) dedicated to exploring for oil and gas in the North Falkland Basin.

Desire has recently completed a 6 well exploration programme. The Liz well encountered dry gas and gas condensate at 2 separate levels while other wells recorded shows.
Together with the Rockhopper Exploration Sea Lion oil discovery in the licence to the north, these wells have provided significant encouragement for the potential of the North Falkland Basin. The oil at Sea Lion is of particular interest as this has demonstrated that oil is trapped in potentially significant quantities in a fan sandstone on the east flank of the basin. It is believed that over 50% of this east flank play fairway is on Desire operated acreage.

Desire has now completed new 3D seismic acquisition which provides coverage over the east flank play, Ann, Pam and Helen prospects. The results from fast-track processing of priority areas are provided in the 2011 CPR. A farm-out to Rockhopper has been announced. The revised equities are shown on the licence map (subject to regulatory approval and completion of the farm-in well). Desire Petroleum

Rockhopper Exploration

British Geological Survey

Argos Resources



Latest Press Realeses from Desire

eddie , only just got time to look at your calculation. Top of adam is 71 ,bottom of adam is 28.5 , top of eve is 44.75. never seen your calculation before but perhaps you might want to run it again or maybe not because of the figure it will turn up. Not a clear cut pattern unless you look at the longer view and particularly the weekly candlesticks when the pattern jumps out at you.as to prty(5min) i just thought it might be of interest because it seems the pattern is taking the forecast course and in addition this pattern appears in all timescales.
doc

Maddoctor, thanks for the insight into the adam and eve pattern. Similar to double tops and bottoms although the projections are measured somewhat differently. However, as a double top/bottom is invalidated if the price closes back above/below the pattern trigger level...is this the same with adam and eve? i.e. is the pattern negated on a close above 28.5p?
Thanks in advance and regards to all.
Lynnzal.

lynzal , yes and you would then have a 2b bottom and this is the problem with this pattern - not a good one for shorting at the 2b bottom , need to be certain of the break

so for des at the mo , no confirmation either way

Hi Maddoctor & Lynnzal

I have just gone over the criteria again. There is a suggested time between the peaks, 2 -7 weeks also the peaks should be close in price, it is said some place a 3 % limit between the peak prices.

The dates I have that fit the criteria are Adam peak 0.4525p (25/05/05). Eve peak 0.4475p (15/08/05). The minor low is between Adam & Eve at 0.3375p (06/07/05), this is said to be the confirmation price. Also the valey between Adam & Eve is usualy about 10 - 20% which also fits. The volume is generaly higher on the top left in this case Adam (3.158m) Eve is (1.876m). If all of this is correct then DES is at the target price.

Good Luck All

Eddie

eddie , more information in your book obviously. Mine just refers to this pattern as one which shows the gradual loss of confidence during the eve peak construction.

Hi Maddoctor

We will have to wait and see if it is correct yet. We are on day 14 since the confirmation and target price. It is said there should be a significant change around day 14 - 21. I have gone over the material a few times., just incase I got it wrong. Time will tell as they say.

Kind Regards

Eddie

eddie, if any of these patterns were certain we would not have to get up in the bl**dy dark like this morning and screen watch all day!!!!!!!!!!
good luck Doc

Agree Doc!

Hi all

Not many buyers for DES today, just a few which is reflected in the shadow at the bottom of the candle. DES has passed through the target price today. The next support area I can see is 0.2450p (02/11/04). Todays candle has bearish implications and is very close to the support. Another strong bearish day will probably break the support at this level. Support definatly needed !

DES has declined by 21.48% since the break out price. It is said 64% will fail to fall 25% & 78% will fail to fall by 30% in a bear market. The bottom of the support area is at 27%.




Good Luck All

Eddie

I know it's not as exciting as a long legged doji or an Adam and Eve but if the graph stays flat for much longer it starts to look like the end of May
flat bottom which signalled a strong rise. Any suggestions for a name that is a bit more interesting than a flat bottom.

"no news"

The big buggers have got a sniff, guess it's an RNS on Friday for you small fish.

But ! I can tell you it's not settled yet, 30/70 I would say so not all's lost yet.

d1

post 1874 a bit too cryptic. Would you be kind enough to expand?

kind regards

marrow

Driftwood I am sure I would like what you say if I could understand it!

Looks like I spoke to soon, flat all day then all the action happened in the last few minutes. Looks like the mms started to drop the price then some buys came along and they changed their mind. Dwiftwood, that sounds like you know someone - thanks for sharing some good news even if it is a bit cryptic. By 30/70 do you mean Desire get 30% of the oil or that there is a 30% chance of a deal?

Hi all

DES is even closer to the support area. Todays candle has bearish implications. The bulls came in quite late in the day, this may be an indication of support at 0.2450p area. We will need much more action from the bulls to prevent the support being broken.





Good Luck All

Eddie

driftwood, are you suggesting you know something? If so, why not just say what you know. You seem to be suggesting a takeover from one of the oil majors and a RNS this friday. This is speculation that has been circulating the other bb's since the market gapped through 37p. But until you become less cryptic it is meaningless...

Walla
Driftwood at it again and eveybody takes the bait myself included.
Not once has he put forward anything costructive or damming
with substance. just whispers. edit

However we are being slaughtered and that is no suprise
as said previously the board need to act and fast or else
they will not be on the board much longer.
Still a great prospect but the drum is beating.
Regards

Will we see a rig drilling in the NFB next year ?, there are not too many available, as most are aware. The Pride South Atlantic is available in June - will Phipps be prepared for a second bite ?, further afield we have the Sedco 700 in Equatorial Guinea - will Phipps be willing to pay the additional cost of mobilisation due to the added towing distance in comparison to a Brazil based rig ?
Offshore Nigeria the Bulford Dolphin will be available end of June, (under contract with Peak, which could be a good thing), the only problem is she doesn't quite have the anchor chain length required for drilling in the NFB, but to upgrade the 8 anchors wouldn't be an enormous cost - it all depends how much Phipps et al really want to drill and for how much money. Maybe they plan to wait 12 to 24 months to allow the rig market to cool down ?
Oh, decisions, decisions !
imho, dyor etc.

Drilling for Oil Starts to Pay as Price Soars
by Richard Orange
Sunday Business, London 10/12/2005
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=25989
Searching for oil has become one of the most profitable things anybody can do. The ramp-up in the oil price is raising hopes that the industry might start putting its money where its mouth is. This may lead to greater emphasis on exploration rather than cost-cutting or buying other oil companies.

A study by oil consultants Wood Mackenzie has modelled the effect of oil prices on the profitability of exploration. Assuming they could sell the oil they have discovered for $40 a barrel, the best explorers would have made returns of more than 20 percent on every dollar they have ploughed into finding new oil supplies over the past 10 years.

Even the worst performers out of the 28 top international oil firms surveyed would have made a 12 percent return.

When the first version of the study, Exploration Strategy and Performance, was released two years ago, it made waves in the oil industry by showing that the bottom ranks among oil companies were destroying value when they tried to find more oil. Given the level of discoveries and their costs today, Wood Mackenzie says, at a $20 oil price, two thirds of the companies would be destroying value.

Increased exploration is crucial to stave off a decline in global production and a steady concentration of pricing power in the hands of the Opec oil cartel.

Over the last decade, the six largest oil companies have drilled fewer wells. They slashed their budgets in 1999 after the oil price collapsed to $10. Even now, they haven't increased them back to 1998's level. The top six only account for two fifths of the oil exploration; before they accounted for two-thirds.

The result has been a collapse in the industry's ability to replace the oil it sells, with the companies only finding half as much as they need. Wood Mackenzie estimates that to replace all of it, they'd need to increase spending on exploration from today's $14bn (8.0bn, E11.6bn) to $40bn. True, they've spent 30 percent more since the oil price started to climb, but almost every cent is swallowed by higher costs of hiring equipment, manpower and services.

Laid next to the $85bn the top five oil companies have spent buying back shares since 2000, that hardly looks like heavy spending.

Even if exploration increases, it is unlikely to triple to the levels needed to stop reserves declining. After all, part of the reason oil companies have been making good returns from exploration is because they have been doing less of it. BP, the most successful, has excelled because it only explores in the most prospective regions. Surprisingly, Royal Dutch Shell, plagued by problems with reserve replacement, came second in terms of profitability. No completely new oil hotspot has been discovered since 2000, when a string of finds was made off Angola.

Also, after a decade of cutting back, there aren't enough drilling rigs or engineers for a doubling of exploration, however much cash companies pay. Investment in rigs is on the rise; around 30 new drilling rigs are being built. But that's hardly enough to remove the bottleneck