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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

cynic - 02 Oct 2015 16:36 - 18643 of 21973

short 16,185.4 :-)
currently looking a bit premature as quick zip up to 16,210 or so

jimmy b - 02 Oct 2015 16:37 - 18644 of 21973

It's all over the place !!

jimmy b - 02 Oct 2015 17:15 - 18645 of 21973

Going blue i think .

cynic - 02 Oct 2015 17:19 - 18646 of 21973

like you said, it's all over the place
i'm happy enough to sit tight for quite a while

cynic - 02 Oct 2015 17:50 - 18647 of 21973

US rate increase - a view
While it's always important not to over-react to one single data release, we'll make an exception in this case," said Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics.

"The chances of a rate hike by the Fed this year just went way down," he added, saying he expects the central bank will wait until early 2016 for an increase.

Before today's release, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen had said policymakers expected a rate rise this year. The Fed meets on 27-28 October and again in December.

============

i am not so convinced, and if it is delayed, the shock when it comes is likely to have a much more vicious impact on the markets

jimmy b - 02 Oct 2015 17:57 - 18648 of 21973

Went long for 47 pts .

cynic - 02 Oct 2015 18:02 - 18649 of 21973

i'll continue to sit tight and may add further if we get much north of 16,400 - say 16,450

jimmy b - 02 Oct 2015 18:05 - 18650 of 21973

Bit of luck for me really .
I think we could be up and down over the next week ,however the non farm figures didn't seem to have an affect for more than a couple of hours .

cynic - 02 Oct 2015 20:02 - 18651 of 21973

trade off between interest rates going up within 2/3 months and now arguably not

Claret Dragon - 05 Oct 2015 08:33 - 18652 of 21973

Positive start to the week.

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 08:35 - 18653 of 21973

my index shorts are clearly (un)comfortably on the "wrong side", but fortunately easily outweighed by my stock longs ..... i'll stay put :-)

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 13:04 - 18654 of 21973

the following is quite possibly why the markets are so strong today ......

TPP trade talks on the cusp of a deal
The US, Japan and 10 other Pacific Rim economies are closing in on an agreement to strike the largest trade pact seen anywhere in two decades, in what would be a huge strategic and political win for US President Barack Obama and Japan’s Shinzo Abe.

The Trans-Pacific Partnership covers some 40 per cent of the global economy and will create a new Pacific economic bloc with reduced trade barriers relating to the flow of everything from beef and dairy products to textiles and data as well as new standards and rules for investment, the environment and labour.

jimmy b - 05 Oct 2015 14:46 - 18655 of 21973

You must be getting hammered unless you stopped out by now cynic ..

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 15:00 - 18656 of 21973

getting hammered so am now very undecided as to whether the market is indeed overbought and will pull back sharply, or if it will keep galloping away
bollocks but such is life
shouldn't have tried to be such a smartarse

somewhat strangely, but overall i am actually only slightly down on where i finished on friday

jimmy b - 05 Oct 2015 15:58 - 18657 of 21973

That is why i use stops ,hate doing it but the one time i didn't recently i got trounced on AFR .

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 16:06 - 18658 of 21973

with things like indices, it's very difficult to make a judgment on whether or not to use stops ...... there's for and agin
for better or worse CFDs do not have time constraints so there is not that pressure

jimmy b - 05 Oct 2015 16:09 - 18659 of 21973

Of course it's not , if we go on a bull run before you know it the DOW could be 17500 and FTSE 6800 ,you'll wish you had stops in place then .

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 17:09 - 18660 of 21973

i have bitten the bullet .... much safer :-)
probably should have done so earlier, or better still, have gone long instead of short ..... great stuff hindsight :-)

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 17:13 - 18661 of 21973

per DOW chart below, we have just romped up through 25 dma, but still miles short of 50 let alone 200 dma

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=INDU&S

cynic - 05 Oct 2015 17:14 - 18662 of 21973

per below, FTSE is now just nudging through 50 dma

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=UKX&Si
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