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RTD - Why? (RTD)     

Nitefly - 15 Sep 2003 10:55

Why are we again at 10.5p bid?

It doesn't add up...

Good Results + Strong buying pre results + Christmas online buying soon = Price drop

Then again some companies that have debt for equity hanging in the balance, poor results and bankruptcy around the corner and they go up!

Why sell now at a loss?

Wont that be a kick in the teeth when we see 13.5p 14p again!

Best of luck all.

Fundamentalist - 17 Dec 2004 12:38 - 1866 of 2406

REUTERS Britain matches US online shopping fervor in 2004 [DSYHDSC]

NEW YORK, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The number of British consumers buying holiday gifts online this year will more than double, matching U.S. habits, as high-speed Internet use rises and despite increased Internet fraud, a new survey suggests.

Online fraud prevention firm Retail Decisions is set to release on Friday a study which shows 43 percent of UK customers plan to shop online this year versus 46 percent in the United States. Last year, 21 percent of British consumers and 31 percent of U.S. shoppers made purchases online.

"Traditional retailers need to make sure they have a very good online strategy because online shopping is here to stay," Carl Clump, chief executive of Retail Decisions, told Reuters.

"The study indicates that shopping on the Internet is causing some convergence in global terms, and that's why we're seeing very similar behavior by U.S. consumers and UK consumers," he said.

The most-favored Internet purchases on both sides of the Atlantic included travel tickets, hotel arrangements, books and music discs, while the speed of completing transactions and delivery was key to maintaining the momentum of Web shopping.

UK customers are still more likely than their American counterparts to order goods over the phone, through mail orders and via interactive television this holiday season, the survey showed.

In all, 57 percent of British consumers and 60 percent of U.S. customers surveyed said they found nothing negative in buying goods online. At the same time, Retail Decisions said it expected a 46 percent rise in potentially suspicious transactions online from a year earlier.

Internet fraud could also increase dramatically in the UK next year as "chip and pin" cards are implemented for in-store purchases, making it harder for criminals to target traditional store shoppers, Retail Decisions said.

Retail Decisions polled 1,000 adults on Dec. 3.

Douggie - 17 Dec 2004 12:52 - 1867 of 2406

Blue now = equals = red so time for tic up ? ;o\

Fundamentalist - 17 Dec 2004 18:08 - 1868 of 2406

Some large trades reported after hours, 1 for 1m, 1 for 2m+ - are these buys - if so should see a mark up monday. Lets hope it is the institutions mopping up the retail sells

overgrowth - 17 Dec 2004 19:25 - 1869 of 2406

Looks like buys to me Fundy - only to be expected, a crazy RHPS sell recommendation when the institutions are still buying (old Bulford must have had a slap-up Christmas meal at the expense of the fund managers lol!).

scotinvestor - 17 Dec 2004 19:37 - 1870 of 2406

who is this bulford guy. He must be a moron for suggesting a sell to one of the most obvious undervalued stocks in the market. Even at these prices now, people in 12 months time will be laughing at them as this share is going to make me lots of money. God, it was 13p just about 2 or 3 months ago. It more than doubled.

OK then, name me a company more than doubled in last 2 months?

This bulford is a brainless dickhead.

overgrowth - 17 Dec 2004 19:53 - 1871 of 2406

scotinvestor - each to their own strategy (and some folks might appreciate the extra cash for Christmas), though I prefer the "Let your winners run" school of thought.

If institutions are still buying, why sell ?

1982roy - 17 Dec 2004 21:46 - 1872 of 2406

trade for kicks,invest for profit.

mudhoney - 19 Dec 2004 19:04 - 1873 of 2406

I bought RTD on the back of Tom Bulford's RHPS tip and very well they appear to be doing. I haven't seen any hint from him that I or anyone else should start to sell. Mister Bulford has made a few quid for me in the last few months so thought it only fair to defend him.

overgrowth - 19 Dec 2004 19:52 - 1874 of 2406

mudhoney - Tom Bulford's tip to sell and take profits came out in the RHPS weekly alert (I assume via e-mail) on Thursday, so I'm told.

There's a general view that because RHPS have given some poor tips this year (sounds as though you chose the best ones), that selling RTD now makes the RHPS portfolio of tips for 2004 look much tastier.

RTD is rapidly zooming out of the penny shares category, TM100 entry is expected in early January, Goldman Sachs and other funds are snapping up huge chunks of shares, RTD announce full year profit "materially above expectations" a whole TWO MONTHS before year end - this suggests that profits were well up even at that time - and what's going to happen in November and December ? Oil prices still relatively high helping along the Oz fuel card profits and Christmas online sales breaking all records.

With this level of good news, I'm sticking around for the journey to 1 and beyond.

Fundamentalist - 19 Dec 2004 21:35 - 1875 of 2406

OG

Well said - i think all the points you make are valid although 1 may be a tad optimistic - ill be glad to be proved wrong on this though

Mudhoney - Bulford advised on thursday after close of play that this was a sell. The very tenuous reasons he gave were that he had made 50% and that the tracker funds buying in had inflated the price by 2-4p. He gave no attempt to justify it upon valuation grounds or based on recent news flow.

I think until further news comes out there will be some taking profits (its gone up 100% in less than 2 months) that said there is a chance on Jan 5th RTD will enter the TM100, first week of jan should see a results update and full year results are due in march - thats without any further institutional holding or new contract announcements.

For me this still remains a long term hold

PS - Fred if youre around are you still holding?

Fred1new - 20 Dec 2004 00:40 - 1876 of 2406

Fundy, Hello there. Yes I am still holding. I expect a price of about 34p will be a little bit of stumble. But I have put a stop loss of about 24p. I will trail this stop loss but I only have the facillity on a portion of my holdings. But having review my holdings after being kicked in the teeth by TEP and TFC and a little uncomfortable by BPRG at the moment I feel I am not very confident about any of my holdings at the moment. I am still wondering if the decision that BPRG can't be held in ISA or PEPs may drop BPRG price more. If it does I may stick my neck out a little further and buy a few more. Although my major holdings seem a little diproportionate in size. Oh to have the confidence of a fortune teller.


One of the problems I have at the moment is guessing the effect of good results have on share prices. TEP results are not as bad as all that and don't merit a drop from 410 to 202, interesting that the volumes on the 13th time of drop from 260 to 202 is more or less the same as on the bounce on 14th to 227 with reduced selling on 16th but one of the problems with TEP is the wide spread. TFC has botched its supplies but if judged over a number of years appears to be doing the right things, but has been overcaned due to a what I think is a short term profit warning which has been recognised and accepted by the board. ie the first step to finding a remedy. BPRG is responding to being played by traders. (I would try to do the same if I could only get my timing right.)

The only good thing to happen in my holdings this week was that I had put a stop loss on some TEP triggered at 266 for a profit and I am not to far out on the other TEP holdings. ( I had forgoten that I had put a stop loss on them. Thankyou COMdirect. Sod Barclays.

I would not like to influence anybody about holding on to anything at the moment other than a glass of Brandy.

Happy XMAS.

Fred1new - 20 Dec 2004 01:10 - 1877 of 2406

Before somebody jumps on me. I know the market is always right even when it disagrees with me. But at the moment I wish it would march to my step a little more often!!!

Douggie - 20 Dec 2004 10:14 - 1878 of 2406

morning all :-|

mudhoney - 20 Dec 2004 10:32 - 1879 of 2406

Thanks for that Overgrowth, I stand corrected!!
I think you are right that there is too much good news around RTD to start selling now. A little down this morning but nothing to worry about, nothing ever goes up in straight lines.

Douggie - 20 Dec 2004 10:40 - 1880 of 2406

on its best days it didn't rise as fast as this fall on this vol. !!! ;-\

still 'tiss harder to uphill than down....so holding and hopeing, don't want to regret not taking profit again.........

overgrowth - 20 Dec 2004 12:13 - 1881 of 2406

Douggie - Buys are almost up with sells now for today's trading.

The selling volume is caused by just a bit more profit taking from the folks who received their RHPS update on the doormat rather than by e-mail.

mudhoney - It'll require nerve from all of us to avoid selling RTD too early when we start to make sizeable profits and don't want to lose them. If there was no discernable news in the pipeline I'd be selling to get a Christmas "windfall", however there is so much going on and FY results to come in March which we know are going to be spectacular. RHPS can provide some good tips and if you back them up with your own research then you really get to reap the benefits - I think there are a few too many "armchair investors" who follow blindly what the RHPS tipsters (and those of other tipsheets) say.

Roro - 20 Dec 2004 13:57 - 1882 of 2406

as a matter of interest what is RHPS?

overgrowth - 20 Dec 2004 13:58 - 1883 of 2406

Red Hot Penny Shares - probably the best known small cap. tip sheet.

Roro - 20 Dec 2004 14:03 - 1884 of 2406

thanks. Lets hope it is wrong on this occasion.

Walktall - 20 Dec 2004 15:16 - 1885 of 2406

Roro

Just in case you were thinking of subscribing, look at the thread "Is there a good tip sheet".
I've brought it to the top for you.

WT.
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