ellio
- 15 May 2006 09:10
The market seems to be selling-off on the back of limited bad news imo, apart from the dollar that is.
If you can hold your nerve and apart from any short term requirements to offload poor performing stocks, I have a couple!!, my advice would be sit tight. This does not have the feel of the tech(mining!) bubble at all. Difference being there are a lot of good fundamentals, unlike in 2000 when there were a lot of over rated nothing companies.
goldfinger
- 23 May 2006 01:23
- 187 of 1564
In fact just over 50% of all stocks traded in any one day now is either CFDS or Spread Bets so you can see why corrections are much longer in duration than what used to be the norm pre 2000.
Add in margin calls and stop loss triggers phew.
Pommy
- 23 May 2006 07:20
- 188 of 1564
Theyve also increased Margin conditions of metals trading whioch dont help when gold etc drops quickly.
HOWEVER, this is just a correction in the resources prices. Lets face it, with all of these natural resources its not getting cheaper to produce them and they arent becoming more plentiful!!!
And demand is increasing!
cynic
- 23 May 2006 07:50
- 189 of 1564
Pommy - just because demand is (probably) incresing, does not explain the huge bubble in copper ..... check out near contract price with that in say 2 years, and there is no correlation at all!
Pommy
- 23 May 2006 07:52
- 190 of 1564
the copper bubble was due to the chinese trader wasnt it
He made a huge mistake with a derivative trade and had to buy buy buy to close it!!
cynic
- 23 May 2006 07:56
- 191 of 1564
No Pommy ... that bit is history from several months back ..... I don't have a chart for copper, but I think (know!) you will find that the price for short contract has continued to spiral ...... There is a misapprehension (imo) that demand for copper is far outstripping supply; the reality is very different, with the two being largely in step.
ellio
- 23 May 2006 09:14
- 194 of 1564
I doubt it. The market has gone into frenzy mode, up massivelly one day, down the next, have seen it before, during tech phase.
If your happy to ride it out fine, if not sell into the rallys. Today is an up day, I don't know what will happen tomorrow? It's a joke I know because fundamentally everything is sound, oil still way over $ 60 and more and more profits announcements meeting expectations, everything in the garden is rosy, commoditiy prces being maintained to some extent, but the market has gone skitso and that is a problem in the short term, maybe until sept then the trend may emerge, at the moment knowbody has the foggiest and I mean knowbody it is all guess work and short term traders/shorters have the upper hand unfortunately.
ellio
- 23 May 2006 10:05
- 196 of 1564
Agreed, good luck.
The traders/shorters hedgers have ramped commodities, now they are creating turmoil and making money in and out to the down and upside, they are the evil part of investing and cause these herd behaviours! elsewhere mm's are marking prices down and so the whole thing goes in waves, down and down until the bulls can get back hold of it, may take a while!
cynic
- 23 May 2006 10:28
- 197 of 1564
soul* - the green shoots are a result of the cowpats and/or photosynthesis! ...... Meanwhile, the market (and me!) holds its breath ...... Having jumped very first thing, very little is now happening ...... I guess if Wall Street comes in firm, there may well be some follow through, but very nervy times ahead for a while yet.
Pommy
- 23 May 2006 11:42
- 198 of 1564
follow thru is not something many resource punters want tot think about at the moment!!!!
:O
cynic
- 23 May 2006 12:04
- 199 of 1564
follow through in one respect or another is very likely to be the outcome!
ellio
- 23 May 2006 15:39
- 200 of 1564
Up down, knowbody knows??
cynic
- 23 May 2006 15:54
- 201 of 1564
OK all you clever guys ..... FTSE is now about +170 and just below 5700 ..... it is coming up to 16:00 ..... so, does one now take a small short position on the basis that there will selling into the rally and peeps do not want to be left with open positionas overnight?
cynic
- 23 May 2006 16:00
- 203 of 1564
soul* - you did not answer the question!
Pommy
- 23 May 2006 16:01
- 204 of 1564
open a spread account, Ive been trading the dow all day 10 points up, 10 points down. Easy money!!
cynic
- 23 May 2006 16:07
- 205 of 1564
amazing how you all avoid the question .... lol!
Let's put it another way then ..... Do you think FTSE is likely (a) to hold the current level until after the close or (b) will fall back due to profit-taking or similar?