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The Forex Thread (FX)
hilary
- 31 Dec 2003 13:00
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MightyMicro
- 24 Aug 2004 14:12
- 1874 of 11056
moonblue
- 24 Aug 2004 14:27
- 1875 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 24 Aug 2004 14:33
- 1876 of 11056
moonblue
- 24 Aug 2004 14:45
- 1877 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 24 Aug 2004 16:46
- 1878 of 11056
moonblue
- 24 Aug 2004 17:15
- 1879 of 11056
7821 even
moonblue
- 24 Aug 2004 17:20
- 1880 of 11056
http://www.tec-trix.com/forum/forum.asp?FORUM_ID=8
Sue 42
- 02 Sep 2004 14:23
- 1881 of 11056
edit - when did CMC reduce their cable spread to 3 points? pleasant surprise!!
hilary
- 02 Sep 2004 14:46
- 1882 of 11056
hodgins
- 03 Sep 2004 09:07
- 1883 of 11056
hilary
- 03 Sep 2004 10:01
- 1884 of 11056
Cable seems to have been supported at 1.7850 over recent days. It has failed to push significantly lower and is now looking well oversold on my oscillators. I suspect that bear stops are currently located at around 1.7950 and, if we can push through that level, we could see a squeeze and a subsequent up-leg over the next few days. I wouldn't be surprised if weak employment data doesn't turn out to be the catalyst this lunchtime.
hodgins
- 03 Sep 2004 13:57
- 1885 of 11056
The long side may yet have its moment as much below 785 might open up territory not seen for a while
hilary
- 03 Sep 2004 14:46
- 1886 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 03 Sep 2004 15:08
- 1887 of 11056
Glad your oscillators are functioning but Cable doesn't seem to be behaving accordingly.
D.
hilary
- 03 Sep 2004 15:22
- 1888 of 11056
I know ..... sad when the oscillators don't work, isn't it? ISM below forecasts too? What's a girl to do?
The trouble is, too many players see Cable as being a longer term carry trade sell now and are quick to offload into any rally. Their argument is very simplistic in that US interest rates have got further to rise percentage wise from 1.5% than UK rates have from 4.75%. Fundamentally, I disagree but technically the chart says that the 1.90 high is quite probably in place.
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:34
- 1889 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
5-Sep |
NZD |
Revised Trade Balance (July) |
23:45 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Sun |
JPY |
Capital Spending |
23:50 |
7% |
10.20% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
6-Sep |
AUD |
ANZ Job Ads (Aug) |
1:30 |
- |
-0.6% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Mon |
GBP |
NTC, Deloitte & REC Report of Jobs |
9:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German BBK Factory Orders M/M (Jul P) |
10:00 |
1.5% |
-3.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German BBK Factory Orders Y/Y (Jul P) |
10:00 |
5.7% |
4.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
BRC Retail Sales Monitor (Aug) |
17:00 |
2.0% |
1.8% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Official Reserve Assets (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
$819.2B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
US Markets Closed For Labor Day |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
7-Sep |
JPY |
Leading Economic Index (Jul P) |
5:00 |
66.7% |
60.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Tues |
JPY |
Coincident Index (Jul P) |
5:00 |
77.8% |
88.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
5:45 |
3.6% |
3.6% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
Unemployment Rates s.a. (Aug) |
5:45 |
3.9% |
3.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italy Consumer Confidence Ind.nsa (Aug) |
7:30 |
101.5 |
102.9 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italy Consumer Confidence Ind.sa (Aug) |
7:30 |
100.5 |
100.8 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Industrial Production M/M (July) |
8:30 |
0.4% |
-0.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Industrial Production Y/Y (July) |
8:30 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Manufacturing Production M/M |
8:30 |
0.50% |
-0.70% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Euro-zone GDP s.a. Q/Q (Q2) |
9:00 |
0.50% |
0.60% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Euro-zone GDP s.a. Y/Y (Q2) |
9:00 |
2.00% |
1.30% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
EC Publishes Q3 & Q4 GDP Forecasts |
9:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
Industrial Production M/M (July P) |
10:00 |
0.9% |
-1.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
Industrial Production Y/Y (July P) |
10:00 |
1.5% |
2.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Building Permits M/M (Jul) |
12:30 |
- |
27.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
NIESR GDP Estimate (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
0.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Aug) |
14:00 |
55 |
51 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed McTeer Speaks on Outlook for Economy |
17:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
AUD |
RBA Monetary Policy Announcement |
23:30 |
5.25% |
5.25% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Money Supply, M2 Y/Y (Aug) |
23:50 |
1.9% |
1.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:34
- 1890 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
8-Sep |
AUD |
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Sept) |
0:30 |
|
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Wed |
AUD |
Home Loans (July) |
1:30 |
4.0% |
-3.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Announcement |
6:00 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Eco Watchers Survey: Current (Aug) |
6:00 |
- |
54.3 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (Aug) |
6:00 |
- |
53.4 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Business Confidence (Aug) |
7:30 |
94.5 |
95 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Announcement |
13:00 |
2.25% |
2.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Greenspan Testifies On Economy and Fiscal Outlookk |
14:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
SNB Director Hildebrand speaks |
15:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed's Beige Book |
18:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Consumer Credit (July) |
19:00 |
$7.0B |
$6.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
NZD |
RBNZ Monetary Policy Announcement |
21:00 |
6.25% |
6.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Current Account Total (July) |
23:50 |
Y1697.5B |
Y1280.9B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Adjusted Current Account Total (July) |
23:50 |
Y1545.1B |
Y1311.0B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Trade Balance - BOP Basis (July) |
23:50 |
Y1280.0B |
Y1345.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
9-Sep |
AUD |
Employment Change (Aug) |
1:30 |
25 |
21.6 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Thurs |
AUD |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
1:30 |
5.6% |
5.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machinery Orders M/M (July) |
6:00 |
-2.2% |
3.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machinery Orders Y/Y (July) |
6:00 |
10.4% |
10.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machine Tool Orders Y/Y (Aug P) |
7:00 |
- |
43.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI M/M (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
0.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI - EU Harmonised M/M (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
0.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI Y/Y (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
1.8% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI - EU Harmonised Y/Y (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
2.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German Trade Balance (July) |
7:00 |
EUR15.0B |
EUR14.7B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German Current Account Balance (July) |
7:00 |
EUR6.0B |
EUR8.2B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Industrial Orders s.a. M/M (June) |
7:30 |
0.9% |
-1.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Industrial Orders Y/Y (June) |
7:30 |
2.4% |
2.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
ECB to Release September Monthly Report |
8:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Visible Trade Balance GBP/Mn (July) |
8:30 |
-4800M |
-4973M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Trade Balance Non EU25 GBP/Mn (July) |
8:30 |
-2400M |
-2640M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Bank of England Monetary Policy Announcement |
11:00 |
4.75% |
4.75% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:35
- 1891 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
9-Sep |
CAD |
Housing Starts (Aug) |
12:15 |
226.5k |
218.7k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Thurs |
CAD |
Capacity Utilization Rate (Q2) |
12:30 |
84.3% |
83.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
continued |
CAD |
New Housing Price Index M/M (July) |
12:30 |
0.50% |
0.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Import Price Index M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.60% |
0.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 4) |
12:30 |
346k |
362k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Wholesale Inventories (July) |
14:00 |
0.60% |
1.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Yellen Speaks On Economic Outlook |
20:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
NZD |
Terms of Trade Index Q/Q (Q2) |
22:45 |
- |
2.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
GDP Q/Q (Q2 Final) |
23:50 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
GDP Y/Y (Q2 Final) |
23:50 |
1.9% |
1.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Domestic Consumer Goods Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
0.20% |
0.40% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Export Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
0.60% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Import Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
0.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
10-Sep |
AUD |
Pre-Election Fiscal and Economic Outlook |
1:30 |
|
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Fri |
CHF |
GDP Q/Q (Q2) |
5:45 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
GDP Y/Y (Q2) |
5:45 |
2.0% |
1.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Consumer Confidence (Aug) |
6:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
48.7 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Bank of Japan Monthly Report |
6:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
FRF |
French Trade Balance (July) |
6:45 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
-EUR304M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian GDP sa Q/Q (Q2 final) |
7:30 |
0.30% |
0.40% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian GDP sa Y/Y (Q2 final) |
7:30 |
1.1% |
0.70% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Eurozone OECD Leading Indicator (July) |
10:00 |
- |
106.3 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
11:00 |
7.20% |
7.20% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Net Change in Employment |
11:00 |
20k |
8.7k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
International Merchandise Trade (July) |
12:30 |
C$7.5B |
C$8.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Producer Price Index M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.2% |
0.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
PPI Ex Food & Energy M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Producer Price Index Y/Y (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
4.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
PPI Ex Food & Energy Y/Y (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
1.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Trade Balance (July) |
12:30 |
-$51.5B |
-$55.8B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed McTeer Speaks in Dallas |
13:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Pianalto Spaeks on Economy |
14:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
moonblue
- 06 Sep 2004 12:47
- 1892 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 06 Sep 2004 13:44
- 1893 of 11056
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