HARRYCAT
- 11 Nov 2011 14:52
- 1877 of 3666
If the Eurozone drags the market down, AFR is not immune. Not sure there is any hurry yet to get in.
niceonecyril
- 12 Nov 2011 08:42
- 1878 of 3666
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/marketforceslive/2011/nov/11/ftse-up-eurozone-hopes
Elsewhere reports that ExxonMobil had signed contracts for six licences in Kurdistan helped lift some UK listed companies operating in the area, partly due to their prospects as takeover targets. Afren added 10.95p to 85.8p, Heritage was 1.8p higher at 202p while Gulf Keystone Petroleum climbed 35.5p to 177.25p on talk a bid could be imminent. Phil Corbett at RBS said:
Afren would be the obvious one to look at, given the shares have been hit lately to the point where we believe the Kurdistan assets could be worth more than the current share price alone
derwent
- 13 Nov 2011 10:37
- 1879 of 3666
Chevron to join slick of oil supermajors in Kurdistan
American company set to enter the battle for a share of northern Iraq's massive reserves
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/chevron-to-join-slick-of-oil-supermajors-in-kurdistan-6261405.html
MARK LEFTLY SUNDAY 13 NOVEMBER 2011
Chevron is expected to be the next oil supermajor to break into Kurdistan, the semi-autonomous region of northern Iraq.
On Friday, ahead of today's major oil conference in the Kurdistan capital of Erbil, it emerged that ExxonMobil is the first supermajor to have signed exploration contracts in the region.
Kurdistan regional government adviser Michael Howard claimed there had been talks with several of the world's biggest oil companies. According to sources, Chevron has "run the slide rule" over the Shaikan onshore block, which is majority owned by London-listed group Gulf Keystone Petroleum.
However, it is believed that the Shaikan field, which is estimated to hold an extraordinary 10.5 billion barrels of oil, is actually the subject of one of the six licences that Exxon has taken.
The details of the six licences did not emerge on Friday. But, sources suggest that Dr Ashti Hawrami, Kurdistan's Minister for Natural Resources, plans to open today's conference by revealing the specifics of the deal.
It seems likely that Exxon has taken a 20 per cent stake in Shaikan. The Kurdistan government had an option of taking this stake once the field was proven to be commercially viable, and it is this that has been sold on rather than a portion of Gulf Keystone's undiluted 75 per cent holding.
Gulf Keystone owns other interests in Kurdistan, and sources close to the company believe that at least another two of Exxon's six interests relate to these fields. However, this could not be confirmed yesterday.
The news will be a huge boost to Gulf Keystone's large investor base, which includes a vast number of highly active private investors. The company is one of the biggest on the junior Aim market and its share price has been held back by doubts over the validity of oil contracts in Kurdistan and, arguably, court cases involving boss Todd Kozel.
Baghdad has long argued that contracts signed with Kurdistan are invalid, as the government based in the Iraqi capital takes precedence. There have even been suggestions from Baghdad officials that Exxon has jeopardised its contract on the massive West Qurna-1 field in southern Iraq as a result of the Kurdistan news.
However, Exxon is considered to be a conservative company and oil experts feel that it would not have taken the leap of investing in Kurdistan unless Erbil and Baghdad were close to an agreement on how contracts are to be carved up. Chevron would not face Exxon's potential problems as it does not have any contracts in Baghdad-run southern Iraq.
A spokesman said: "Chevron continues to be interested in pursuing opportunities that help the Iraq government achieve its objectives for the oil and gas industry, while meeting our criteria for investment. We do not discuss specific business opportunities."
Gulf Keystone shares soared on Friday, up 25 per cent to 177.25p. Should the Exxon news prove correct, the group's value should grow higher, provoking feverish chatter that Exxon might attempt to buy Gulf Keystone ahead of its promotion to the main London Stock Exchange next April.
Gulf Keystone's investors are generally loyal and their faith could soon be rewarded. They have been defensive over press stories detailing two ongoing legal cases . One involves Excalibur Ventures, which claims that it is owed about 30 per cent of Gulf Keystone for introducing the company to opportunities in Kurdistan. Excalibur's claims have been fiercely contested, though it is believed that the mysterious US company has heavyweight financial backing.
The other is the estimated $100m divorce of Mr Kozel and his wife, Ashley. This has revealed details of Mr Kozel's share ownership of Gulf Keystone and how he entertained clients.
Another potential entrant to Kurdistan is BP. Former chief executive Tony Hayward recently went into the region through his Vallares investment vehicle, though at the end of last week BP dismissed speculation that it could soon follow. It is more concerned with its difficulties in Russia. On Friday, the group was celebrating a Siberian court victory, when a judge dismissed claims of $16bn against BP.
A minority shareholder in BP's Russian joint venture, TNK-BP, had claimed that the British group had denied the partnership billions of dollars, when, earlier this year, it agreed a complicated share swap arrangement with state-owned Rosneft that involved exploring the Arctic. This collapsed after AAR, the Russian partner in TNK-BP, argued that it defied the terms of their joint venture contract.
Minority shareholder Andrey Prokhorov argued that BP cost the partnership by not putting TNK-BP forward as Rosneft's partner. Eventually, Rosneft agreed to explore the Arctic with Exxon, leaving BP and TNK-BP out of the potentially lucrative deal
gibby
- 13 Nov 2011 14:49
- 1881 of 3666
interesting day ahead monday me thinks
niceonecyril
- 13 Nov 2011 21:31
- 1882 of 3666
There has been speculation that the US oil company Chevron might also soon announce a deal to move into Kurdistan, while merger and acquisition fever has lifted the share price of smaller London-listed companies such as Afren and Heritage Oil with exposure to Kurdish oil
niceonecyril
- 14 Nov 2011 06:23
- 1883 of 3666
(Reuters) - Nigeria's state-oil company NNPC said on Sunday that two local firms had completed the purchase of 45 percent stakes in two onshore oil blocks, previously owned by Shell (RDSa.L), Total TOTFA.PA and Eni (ENI.MI).
First Hydrocarbon Nigeria, owned by Afren (AFRE.L), bought a 45 pct stake in OML 26, NNPC said in a statement. A consortium led by local firm Nestoil is buying the 45 pct stake in OML 42, the state-run firm said.
skinny
- 15 Nov 2011 07:03
- 1885 of 3666
Interim Management Statement.
Highlights
. Group net production currently circa 28,000boepd;expecting circa 50,000 boepd 2011 exit rate
. Strong financial position - US$223 million cash at bank; net debt US$519 million (gearing 45%)
.
Acquisition of OML 26 (Nigeria) - following government and other customary approvals, formal completion expected shortly
. Ebok (Nigeria) - Phase 1 production currently at 15,800 bopd, steadily being increased towards upper end of targeted 17,000 bopd; four out of five wells available for production at Ebok Phase 2, with well test rates of 5,000 bopd, supporting developed capacity of 20,000 bopd; three additional D1 producers expected onstream by end 2011
. Okoro (Nigeria) - production stable at 18,000 bopd following debottlenecking work
. Barda Rash (Kurdistan) - Field Development Plan submission expected end 2011; phased development with production start-up mid 2012. Initial phases to target 506 mmbbls recoverable light oil.
niceonecyril
- 15 Nov 2011 08:53
- 1887 of 3666
I've added the days update to the header,roughly what was expected.Sold out this am as i feel like GKP this will drift short term,will look for an re-entry point sub 80p?
derwent
- 15 Nov 2011 23:40
- 1888 of 3666
Bank of America Merrill Lynch report
Afren's IMS provides a reassuring update on development progress at the Ebok (Nigeria)
field, as well as confirmation of the expected completion of the OML 26 deal via FHN nearterm.
In addition, their analyst trip to Nigeria brought a welcome detailed operations update
that highlights the substantial upside the country still offers to Afren. Afren boasts over
130mmboe of extra recoverable resources across Okoro East, Ebok North Fault Block and
Okwok alone. We believe that this update should address a number of market concerns,
enabling Afren to close its valuation gap. BUY; PO/NAV of 224p
niceonecyril
- 16 Nov 2011 08:31
- 1889 of 3666
Hmm looks like i may have exited a little early,still a 15% profit is not to be sneezed at
in this dreadful market.
jimmy b
- 16 Nov 2011 10:40
- 1891 of 3666
Stop trading cyril ,buy and hold :-)
required field
- 16 Nov 2011 11:41
- 1892 of 3666
Going seriously long on this.....way...way...undervalued !.
niceonecyril
- 16 Nov 2011 16:42
- 1895 of 3666
Skinny, at the top of this thread is a oil price and commodity chart.
required field
- 16 Nov 2011 18:34
- 1896 of 3666
$102 for WTI......should send the producers higher and even explorers might follow with this rocketing increase now !....Afren with this latest update should be above 140p in my reckoning, and we haven't even hit the pound level yet.....can't understand why the dollar is rising, but the UK isn't exactly booming so that probably helps...