TheFrenchConnection
- 11 May 2007 06:57
- 1900 of 2220
,,,Mes Amities / Slt ..........This is Radio Free France calling / Over .....Not surprisingly the price of a pound of U308 jumped this week to $120 . Perhaps, more importantly, the trading of U308 futures in monthly contracts commenced on the NYMEX this week.{ Ticker UX }.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................Thus Thus far contracts have been trading at around $140. The contract size is 250lb and trading is a 24 hour affair with a 45 minute break between 5-15- 6-00 PM . Not unlike many of us, the "futures" boys can see the same ultra rapid growth in the Nuclear lndustry.And with such a demand for U308 i think it would be logical to assume our mining companies will be taking optimum advantage . And with good reason. l know its difficult but humour me and read on .... ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................l . l have juste returned from yet another fossil fuel {oil & gas } seminar/ conference . l dont know why i go. As each one paints a progressively bleaker worsening,more chilling global vista reg oil than the previous one . . Each conference serves only to re-enforce a view( or an obcession, as my friends say ) i have held since 1998 s after a chance meeting with financier and funds manager , Mat Simmons ,who champions the concept of "Huberts peak " ..lf not yet dead the oil industry has certainly been dethroned. ln fact it is on a life support machine . For example ;Brent crude prices which are used to determine the price of 67% of global production reluctantly released figures showing a 7% decline in annual production . As for OPEC . lt is no more than an irrelevant impotent talking shop full of sweaty irritable Arabs ..EVERY single member barring Venezuela fails on a regular basis to meet their "set" quotas leaving S/ A to meet contracts but with sour high sulphur crap which neither Euoropeon or Yankee refineries can ACTUALLY refine . . As in 2000 when i wrote on MF that oil would triple in 5 years i now predict that the 42 gallons of hydrocarbon we call a bbl is rapidly looking very VERY cheap at $65/ . l forsee after American driving season is over and winter arrives oil @ a mininum of $120p/b and $140 within a 12/18 months time-frame . 90% of known proven fields are in rapid depletion .The rotary count inc. workovers is so tight at 96.8% that many oil expos like FOGL and DES have been waiting 2 years for a suitable rig .. Any expert will tell you the "North sea " is a waste of time . Shell lied seven times reg its reserves as did B.P. WHY ?? More importantly ,Aramco ( Saudi Arabian national oil company ) maintains it has 267 bbbloes of reserves. Yet it stated the very same amount in both 1978 and 1995 YET it has found no new oil !!!. Ghawar is dying day by day. This once proud field discovered in the 30s and estimated to contain 67 bin bls of sweet crude has already produced 64 billion of those bbls..lt once produced in excess of 250,000 bls p/d without stimulation but is now reduced to the most destructive of drilling techniques namely bottle brush drilling and water injection .And two weeks ago after injecting 300,000 gallons of water through the field it produced exactly what they pumped in --WATER !! Many believe that once Ghawar dies the world dies with it . Elsewhere /. .Much lraqi oil was contaminated by Ceasarium tipped American missiles ( tankbusters ) in the 2nd gulf war and both Kirkuk and the Dome is morelike a 6 mile swamp of thigh deep poisoned oil ;Production from the Hurricane hit Gulf of Mexico is still only 60 % of 2003 output . Nigeria is being ripped asunder with insurgets smashing the pipes carrying oil and setting up thier own mini refineries deep in the delta and onshore workers are kept in army protected compounds more like a gaol . A scenario much the same in Angola and many parts of oil producing Africa . . . China and lndia are both buying every half decent junior oil expo/producer it can lay its hands on after both their respective oil ministries admitted demand would grow respectively by up to 10.2% and 13.1% p/a for the next five years . ,Russia is after re-nationalizing its energy sector and why not ? Putin uses it as a political tool anyway . .As for lran ? lf it responds to sanctions by refusing to sell oil then the price will hit $100 OVERNIGHT !!!!!. They ALREADY refuse payment in petro dollars and require reimbursement in a basket of currencies inc the Euro , the Rouble and the Yen and Yaun . ,. ; and the list goes on and on as does the insatiable global thirst for oil which despite "official" stats shows annular demand growing @ 8% . ,,ln short the notion of meeting such supply is utterly absurd . lmpossible,.ln the 19th C Prof Malthus once said population increases geometrically but food only arithmetically. The same can now be said reg . OIL !!!!!,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,As As for alternatives .Yes probably one day we will all be driving hydrogen fed cars and have our domestic energy provided by solar and cellular power .And given another 20 years research , the raising of trillions in capital and development , the plethora of hybrids probably will meet an element of demand for energy BUT for whom ? Theres the rub . . But never will they meet the projected global demand for energy by 2020 .NEVER . Even these new fangled nano tec based silicon wafers which measure but a hundred thousanth of a humans hair that will replace the combustion engine one day, juste as canals replaced turnpikes which in turn were superceeded by railways and then by moterways. BUT NOT YET !!! .....For while they still produce merely 2/5th the effiency of hydrocarbon they are too costly and a long way from achieving their goal of replicating the effiency of hydrocarbon . ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,And And yet the very answer lies in our midst . Nuclear.,Love it / hate it but we have come a long way since 3 mile island and Chernobyl . My own country produces a tad shy of 80% of its energy from this source .lt is both safe and clean with no noxious emmissions.. And while i do not wish to be a harpinger of doom - ....Without U308 we will re-enter the medieval days of robber barons and surfs living in caves or wooden huts and permantly searching for food . . And worse still - A world of resource wars which have already began . According to one delegate who happened to be the Vice president of the lranian oil corporation the third world war has already begun . lts juste we havent realised it yet ,,,,,,,,,,its yet to spill over the borders ,,,,,,,,,And now with S/A saying it will enter lraq to protect the sunni muslims from lranian backed lraqi shias and lsrael itching to nuetralize lranian enrichment of U308 , the supply of oil is looking more precarious by the day ! ......King oil is dead , Long live the new king -U308 !!!! ,,,,,,,,,,,The Arabs have a popular saying . ,,,,,",,,My father rode a camel . l drive a Mercedes . My son flies his own jet airliner . But his son shall ride a camel ................."................................Faires attention . / bien amicalment ...,,,,,,,@+ J.