Have you a Share with an interesting Trend or TA?
Looking around the various threads and especially Max up your Sip ISA and PEPs thread on Traders Room, I think it may be of interest to see what others have on their watch list or in their portfolios. Ie. Pondering over buying or selling.

Intimating reasons for buying or holding. I was thinking of addressing the thread to longer term trading ie anything over 3mins up to 5years.

If there is interest it may be reasonable to cut and paste some to the postings to a thread under the epic name for further follow up or discussion.

I will kick off with one of my failures, which I should have cut my losses on. But to a certain degree is still a free ride as I sold at the peak to buy again later. (If there is such a thing, and if there is why is it sometimes so bloody painful.)

Amstrad.







Bought originally because of :-

1) Promising rolling yield about 4.8%
2) Dividend cover of about 3
3) Increasing turnover 3years
4) Increasing eps over last 3years
5) I thought the results were good but played down by Sugar as is his way.
6) Interesting Nick knacks with suggestion for boxes of increasing turnover
7) SP Trend line form June /03 until Sept /05 good. Trend line at 103% per annum
8) There has been announcements of further deals for his boxes


But since then had a retracement to about 150 with a kick back up to 193 in February 05 followed by drop to 131 at 10/6/05. Since then there seems to me to be price break out on goodish volume on the 10th /6/05,

I think the trend is reversing but appreciate opinions. I still have reasonable tranche of these and intend holding until annual report 23/9/05

Against it is question whether it shows signs of further retracement, although the SP to-day was up.

Comments welcome on this share and others.

Apparently there will be some new to-morrow or within a few days.

http://www.bioprogress.com/html/news/news.html

Paste the charts and you should get a few views.

Ethel

with regard to GFRD, they appear to have missed out on the recent sector rises, mainly due to an overhang from Yeoman selling their stake. This appears to be cleared now with the recent increase in volume.

Also tipped up in shares mag:

Housebuilder Galliford Try (GFRD) is expected to announce solid trading at an update to introduce the new chief executive Greg Fitzgerald in early July. Fitzgerald told Shares that the downturn in the housing market has not unduly hit trading.
However, the average sales price for its residential properties has fallen to 200,000 from 228,000, in line with the market. This has been offset by its broad exposure to construction and niche housing in the private, commercial and public markets.
He is also waiting for news from the government that Galliford Try has won 200 million to spend on pilot development schemes for housing associations (HA). Out of an original 175 entrants it has made the shortlist of 20 and has a good chance of winning the deal thanks to its strong presence in social housing. A decision is expected in July and could 'open the floodgates' to more HA contracts.
Shares in the stock have barely moved this month and are trading at just 57.5p, or just 8 times earnings.
Shares says: Good news should be announced at the imminent trading update, providing a boost for the stock.

i bought back in a couple of days ago

GFRD 5 yr chart:

Gfrd 1 yr chart with indicators

Don't know how to...!!Maybe someone else can do it for me,(typical woman)!!
I think that this thread could be a good one for filling us small caps investors in on charting etc.By "etc" I mean,the psychological and physical aspects of investing in the stock market.
We are gambling,whether we like to use that term or not.
We can become addicted to the investors' rooms and the adrenalin rush of it all,when everything is going well.
The bubble effect of this March made a lot of people much dosh,and proved that if your timing is right you can make a fortune in a short time.
But there are some of us who sincerely believe in a company and want it to do well.It is a pleasure to read the results from a really good company that talks about "us" when referring to the shareholders.These companies are rare.
I want to support British innovation and skill,as well,so I am more an investor than a trader,but the line is thin!!
I hope that this thread lasts.
Ethel

Thanks Fundy I was being a little churlish. Looking at the charts I think i would leave buying for a couple of days. For me the the indicators are a little ambivalent at the moment but the long term trend is good and certainly suggests a reasonable buy.
I have look at RTN and here are some charts which certainly look promising are price rate of change is good, haven't looked at fundamentals as I got bogged down in definitions of ROCE, PER and PE and cash flow etc.



Volumes look good a supporting price rise, Trix a MACD seem supportive. Rate of price change is good.

I will try to look at some fundamentals mane. GOOD LUCK but have a look at posting 4 for pasting charts. Even girls can do this. I bet you would be annoyed if I asked you to pour the TeA.




All in MHO.

Fundy I saw GFRD figure this morning had a think. Probably wrong , House prices sales have dropped approx 15% I have a "feeling" and observed that houses don't seem to be moving. The same rented accommodation around the university has been offered for months, less students will be going away to Universities because of grants reductions etc. there will be less need for rented accommodation and therefore more houses on the market an therefore further price drops. 5-15% possibly. How will this effect GFRD profits.
I am thinking or have been told by my wife that we need a different house, she might have said houses. I am getting a little deaf nowadays.

Fred

the drop in average house price at GFRD will be more related to the mix - to the amount of housing association properties they complete vs residential properties more than the state of the market. For a few years, GFRD have been trying to build up their presence in the HA market so the average selling price of these is likely to be 25%-40% below market price for the same property. GFRD are trying to position themselves to take advantage of the fact that the govt has got to provide more (subsidised) affordable housing in the current climate. As for the students situation, this is at odds with the govt view that they want 50% of students to go to university (compared to the current 35%ish)

most house price stats at the moment tend to point to prices being pretty flat at the moment overall, though their are discrepancies within different regions and at the different ends of the market (for example the +1m market is very bullish currently!)

to me, at this set of results of more importance will be to see the continued improvement in the margin performance of the general construction division as the house building arm will continue to produce good profits, mainly on the basis that most of the land was purchased at least 4 yrs ago and most of even longer ago. the key number with regard to the housing division will be how they have managed to replace the land bank that they have utilised and at what cost.

The point about students going to university I accept,but the university they go tgo is more likely to be to the local university where they can live at home because the old form of maintenance grant has be lost and top up fees will make many think again. Like many of my friends we went to local Universities, because of our parents income causing us to have smaller grants and to reduce our costs we settle for living at home. This irritated me so much that I told my four daughters they could go to any University of their choosin ouside a forty mile radius of our home. I really do think it will have effect. But we will see.

no comment needed. Chart speaks

There seems very little volume to support a prolonged breakout!!

Snip-Thanks v/much, that was the word I was looking for-CAUTION ;-)

No one for SEO?

Fred great thread I'm picking up a few tips from opinions here.

fto for the long term maybe?

Fred-good thread and it makes us work a bit;-)

CHESNARA, CSN. I suppose this note should be on a CSN thread. If necessary will copy.
""""
The Company was notified on the 24th June by a letter dated 23rd June 2005 that
J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd, a subsidiary of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co, no longer
hold a notifiable interest in the ordinary shares of 5p each in the Company.
"""""


This amounts to about 3.5million shares, BUT , BUT there has been institutional buyin of about 23 million over last few weeks

""""""""""""""
DISCLOSURE OF INTEREST
The company was notified on 13 th June 2005 that UBS AG, acting through UBS
Global Asset Management (Life) Ltd, holds a notifiable interest in 5,168,204
ordinary shares of 5p each in the Company representing 4.94% of the total
shares in issue.
END
"""""""""""""""""


DISCLOSURE OF INTEREST

The company was notified on 15th June by Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein Group
Limited, an indirect subsidiary of Allianz AG, that Allianz AG and its
subsidiaries now hold a notifiable interest in 18,350,341 ordinary shares of 5p
each in the Company, representing 17.545% of the total shares in issue.
Included in this holding is the interest of Veer Palthe Voute NV which is
interested in 18,323,315 shares representing 17.519% of the shares in issue.

**********************

I woud think there may be a little drop back due to hang over of some shares, but I would think the 2 buys make it a reasonably safe profitable Buy, but weight to see price drop + volume if there is any. IMHO BDYOH.


Graphs up the page.

Appended DAG graph of DAG postings. Moneyam's charting has been improved I must explore a little more. Can you insert trend and support lines.

Found out how to draw trends and horizontal lines. This charting package is V V Nice Thank you for providing it.