cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 15 Dec 2015 17:27
- 19116 of 21973
answer below ...... convergence of 50+200 dma
17600 would be an obvious "round number" resistance, but if broken would also show the convergence well breached
cynic
- 15 Dec 2015 17:41
- 19117 of 21973
chuckle
mentor would have been proud of my prescience, having called the above barely 2 minutes before the cork popped ..... we're now at 17,620 :-)
patshere
- 16 Dec 2015 07:59
- 19118 of 21973
Predict FTSE down to 5935 until Yellin starts shoutin
Wounder if she will mention 'Sub-Primes' to dampen things a little
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 08:41
- 19119 of 21973
why do you predict FTSE 100 drop from now until later today?
HARRYCAT
- 16 Dec 2015 08:49
- 19120 of 21973
Bloomberg thinking is that the recent indices bounce is due to Emerging Markets valuations looking very cheap and luring in speculative investors. The Fed decision (or not) is well telegraphed and is pretty much factored in. A 'No rate increase' would probably knock the market back a little.
patshere
- 16 Dec 2015 09:57
- 19121 of 21973
Temp drop while peeps await decission.(plus would do me a favour, so I can buy more lower)
Janet's got a big plate of Salt Beef and salad before she starts Yellin an spittin an wind breakin :)
patshere
- 16 Dec 2015 09:59
- 19122 of 21973
Would love to see Donald and Janet havin a fight when he becomes new big Pres.
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 10:16
- 19123 of 21973
i'm currently long FTSE and a little out of the money and ditto some DOW
haven't worked out the strategy, but i expect selling after the news, but where b4 and where immediately after?
patshere
- 16 Dec 2015 11:15
- 19124 of 21973
I hope you make good today.B-)
I still say 6300-6400 by Xmas.( pos 6500)
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 11:25
- 19125 of 21973
i certainly wouldn't complain with that either, though that looks supremely over-optimistic :-)
meanwhile cash DOW flirting with the next resistance ~17,665
not sure how big a hurdle that might be
jimmy b
- 16 Dec 2015 12:11
- 19126 of 21973
I'm with pat ,i think we will gain back some of what we lost if not all of it ..
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 12:31
- 19127 of 21973
it's a big leap ..... and of faith too :-)
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 17:07
- 19128 of 21973
for fairly obvious reasons, FTSE finished well off its highs ....... nevertheless, it remained well above certain important support (or resistance) levels
DOW is also currently significantly off its best, but it is still +33 on the day
the fun of course will be in a couple of hours where it's anyone's guess which way the markets will go, and more importantly, where they will finish
Stan
- 16 Dec 2015 17:11
- 19129 of 21973
Dow to finish up about 300pts.. you heard it here first -):
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 17:21
- 19130 of 21973
i certainly wouldn't be that enthusiastic
however, the current level of ~17550 is smack on the 50/200 day convergence so no a bad place to enter if you are bullish
===============
and i have in a modest way at 17550.4
cynic
- 16 Dec 2015 19:58
- 19131 of 21973
banked 40 points on that trade as was cooking and hadn't a hope in hell of watching
no doubt it was all like a yo-yo for a while
anyway, i still have other FTSE and DOW longs running so no grizzles from here
Stan
- 16 Dec 2015 22:35
- 19132 of 21973
"Dow to finish up about 300pts.. you heard it here first -):"
Finished up 224pts which is close enough.. Alf I want a cut -):
cynic
- 17 Dec 2015 08:07
- 19133 of 21973
the only cut you'll have is circumcision - unless someone got there first :-)
hope you put money with mouth too
btw, of course there is an initial kneejerk reaction across the board, but what sector(s) will be the main beneficiaries?
banks would seem an obvious choice
for very good reason, they have been out of fashion for a long time and therefore may now be deemed as good value
any other suggestions?
Stan
- 17 Dec 2015 09:59
- 19134 of 21973
"but what sector(s) will be the main beneficiaries?"
The Insurance sector, when the footsie goes up so do Insurance outfits (all things being equal) as we know.
cynic
- 17 Dec 2015 10:05
- 19135 of 21973
it's not a sector in which i have dabbled and confess i don't understand why that should be even if it is so