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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fundamentalist - 05 Jul 2005 16:36 - 192 of 1009

Did douggie go on holiday this morning ????? :-)

capetown - 05 Jul 2005 16:39 - 193 of 1009

Fundi,You happy with the rise this late afternoon then,i just knew it was coming when it went up this am on tiny volume,something is definateley going on.Promise to do less posting.

Fundamentalist - 05 Jul 2005 16:42 - 194 of 1009

Cape

feel free to post as often as you like :-)

partly happy but pi**ed off with IG - had to pay 30.5p rather than 30p but ho-hum - also only bought half of original holding back - the rest are now going to cost me a few quid more (especially if the trading update is out tomorrow morning as i would suspect on evidence of todays trading).

capetown - 05 Jul 2005 16:45 - 195 of 1009

Fundi,if you get a chance have a look at cby,c what you think

Fred1new - 05 Jul 2005 17:25 - 196 of 1009

I should think to-day will bring a little smile to Douggie's face. It has to mine.

Fundamentalist - 05 Jul 2005 17:50 - 197 of 1009

sorry for o/t guys

Cape

had a quick look at CBY - not the sort of share that interests me - mkt share less than 10m and too illiquid. Continues to be loss making and the long term chart is a bit ugly. That said brokers forecasts are positive with a single digit forward pe though personally would like to see confirmation of progress in the turnaround and the share price seems to be more than supported by the headline asset position though would want to examine closer the strength of the asset backing. Not for me but good luck with it

capetown - 05 Jul 2005 18:06 - 198 of 1009

CHEERS FUND,

Now back to rtd,another move of 6.7& would be good,

Thankyou very much for your opinion on the other.

overgrowth - 05 Jul 2005 18:31 - 199 of 1009

Have you seen that the last 1.5 million buy has now gone through guys ?

Onwards and upwards tomorrow...

Fundamentalist - 05 Jul 2005 18:55 - 200 of 1009

OG - that was me buying back half of my holding :-))))

overgrowth - 05 Jul 2005 19:11 - 201 of 1009

I think the beers are on you Fundy at the "50p party" lol !

Fundamentalist - 05 Jul 2005 19:40 - 202 of 1009

OG - i think the phrase in my dreams springs to mind lol

Fred1new - 05 Jul 2005 22:38 - 203 of 1009

Fundy, Is that all you bought. Cheap skate.

overgrowth - 06 Jul 2005 08:25 - 204 of 1009

I see that The Express are guessing again lol !

"Card fraud prevention specialist Retail Decisions was marked up 2p to 31p amid speculation a licensing deal with a high street retailer was on the cards."

m0dulus - 06 Jul 2005 09:34 - 205 of 1009

OG

Other than RTD and DGT what other shares do you recommend one could make a lot of money in. Let me know your thoughts

overgrowth - 06 Jul 2005 09:42 - 206 of 1009

m0dulus - have you not seen my MDW thread ?

I've also set up a thread for COH though this is a real long termer - 3 years +.

For relatively short term gains oil and energy companies continue to roll based on analysts forecasts of oil at $60+ for the rest of the year - see BUR, CNE, DNX etc. Beware though, because if the oil situation changes then institutions will pull out huge amounts of cash and they will drop like a stone. They're also tricky for short term trading because the oil price fluctuates so much.

Fundamentalist - 06 Jul 2005 09:45 - 207 of 1009

OG

DNX - short term gains lol - best long term share ive held for a while and plenty more to come imho

Fred1new - 06 Jul 2005 09:51 - 208 of 1009

Modulus , following tips on these threads is one of the quickest ways to loose or lose money.

If you see a tip, DYOH, look at the trend and see if it is already growing up or down (trending) at the rate promised. Follow it for a while and look at volumes and look at recent news and Fundies. But RTD is probably a good bet

m0dulus - 06 Jul 2005 10:09 - 209 of 1009

og

DNX - whats your target on this?

m0dulus - 06 Jul 2005 10:09 - 210 of 1009

What about short term/long term on MDW

Fundamentalist - 06 Jul 2005 10:13 - 211 of 1009

Modulus

I have held DNX for a long while now and have no target as such - it is a long term holding that i will only sell if the fundamentals change adversely (but expect it to be at least 10 in a year or twos time) - have a look at the thread as i posted a lot of info recently ( ihave brought it to the top)

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