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TULLOW OIL--stands for too low!! (TLW)     

moneyplus - 14 Sep 2005 13:17

The CEO states Tullow sp is much too low and I bought in on the comments---todays results are excellent and I feel this one is being overlooked on here. check it out bargain hunters-I'd welcome some expert feedback!

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 10:51 - 192 of 906

Getting a right clobbering now, that confrence cant have gone too well.

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 11:26 - 193 of 906

784p resistance taken out now if 772p goes we could be on for a real gap down.

Balerboy - 11 Mar 2009 11:34 - 194 of 906

hope cynic is'nt on the whisky to numb the pain of his burnt fingers. lol

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 11:43 - 195 of 906

--it its gone.

The supports gone.

Potential gap down now all the way to 732p........... and possibly a lot more.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 11:48 - 196 of 906

cynic is still comfortably in the money (b/e is 719 as it happens) and would seriously consider buying more if that wouldn't make him too much o'weight in them

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 12:19 - 197 of 906

Moneyplus should seriously consider changing the header to ...' Tullow-- stands for gone too far bloody low'.

I knew I shouldnt have listned to you cyners.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 12:21 - 198 of 906

at what level did you buy?
i am certainly very comfortable with the company and suspect little more than profit-taking .... oilies, like miners, can move pretty sharply, as you may have noticed

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 12:23 - 199 of 906

Pulling your leg cyners.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 12:26 - 200 of 906

i knew you weren't even having a poke with that digit of yours!
by the way, i am also back in PFC, which is still a cracking company and has landed yet another juicy contract

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 12:47 - 201 of 906

As PFC got promotion to the top flight... do we know yet cyners?.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 13:36 - 202 of 906

not sure .... ask the IG boys; they may well know

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 14:40 - 203 of 906

Nope, Ive had a word but nothing.

Blimey cyners you half havent made a bum call on TLW over the last 24 hours.

Went out for an hour came back and took one look and thought it had dropped 140 ticks, silly me was looking at the light crude quote.......... gave me a shock though.

Got some good news for you bud, just storing it for a while, while the sp looks a bit more horny.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 14:43 - 204 of 906

as i nsaid, still in the money with TLW, though rather less than it was ..... however, i still rate the stock very highly - which de facto means it will get slated in the papers tomorrow and by the experts (who lose money hand over fist themselves!)

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 15:00 - 205 of 906

Yep its strange isnt it, i always seem to do better on bear days, ...... think its because im a miserable git.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 15:01 - 206 of 906

btw, you have a little e

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 15:03 - 207 of 906

Heres that news i was going on about a little earlier...

must have upped it after the confrence call

Deutsche Bank has a buy for Dana Petroleum, raising target to 13.50 from 13.35, has a buy for Premier Oil, raising target to 13.75 from 13.60, has a hold for SABMiller, cutting target to 10.00 from 10.50 and has a buy for Tullow Oil, raising target to 10.10 from 890p

http://sharecrazy.com/beta/Broker-Recommendations/1574/what-the-brokers-say


ONE of the BETTER brokers aswell.

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 15:15 - 208 of 906

so sell heavily - lol!!

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 16:09 - 209 of 906

NOPE..

Nasty sell off after results today can only put it down to profit taking.

Brokers galore I reckon lining up new forecasts...here s how they stand so far but Im expecting new ones coming in very soon...

Tullow Oil PLC

FORECASTS
2008 2009

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Exane BNP Paribas
10-03-09 BUY 533.00 19.55 6.00 113.00 5.40 6.00

Evolution Securities Ltd
09-03-09 BUY 407.30 14.90 6.00 527.30 45.40 6.30

Numis Securities Ltd
09-03-09 HOLD 29.10 3.10

Merrion - Landsbanki
09-03-09 BUY 20.20 6.00 14.20 6.50

Davy Stockbrokers
09-03-09 None 18.90 6.30 10.40 6.60

Oriel Securities
09-03-09 BUY 269.00 20.40 6.50 131.00 8.50 7.00

Charles Stanley
06-03-09 HOLD

Teathers
04-03-09 BUY 344.73 60.96 4.00 86.79 4.00

Goodbody Stockbrokers
20-02-09 BUY 28.50 6.50 19.20 7.00

ABN AMRO
10-02-09 BUY 273.02 22.53 6.00 146.95 8.60 4.50

NCB Stockbrokers Ltd
05-02-09 BUY 25.72 4.70 21.30 4.79

2008 2009
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS
(p) DPS (p)

Consensus 322.57 22.20 6.19 118.71 10.91 6.35
1 Month Change 8.95 1.15 0.01 -12.09 -2.35 -0.22
3 Month Change 3.56 -0.84 -0.05 -102.29 -11.62 -0.24


GROWTH
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)

Norm. EPS -37.96% 25.88% -50.86%
DPS 10.00% 13.05% 2.58%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2007 (A) 2008 (E) 2009 (E)
EBITDA 471.81m 538.36m 370.45m
EBIT 266.01m 314.00m 158.44m
Dividend Yield 0.67% 0.76% 0.78%
Dividend Cover 3.22x 3.59x 1.72x
PER 46.07x 36.60x 74.47x
PEG -1.21f 1.41f -1.46f
Net Asset Value PS -35.88p 122.55p 146.10p

cynic - 11 Mar 2009 16:21 - 210 of 906

so why aren't they all piling in for their clients then?
is it because "when my broker says buy, he means sell"?

goldfinger - 11 Mar 2009 16:24 - 211 of 906

is this code for saying 'you have now sold' cyners????
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