grevis2
- 21 Oct 2004 12:55
LONDON (AFX) - Chaco Resources PLC said it is proposing the reverse takeover
of two Paraguayan companies -- Amerisur SA and Bohemia SA -- from Candey SA and
Daniel Sztern in exchange for 27,322,404 new ordinary shares in the company.
It also plans to raise up to 750,000 stg before expenses in a placing of
36,585,365 new ordinary shares.
The company's shares were suspended on Sept 3 and it said it expects this to
be lifted today. It has called an EGM for Nov 15 to approve the acquisition and
placing plans.
Amerisur holds two oil and gas prospecting permits in Paraguay and is the
registered applicant for exploration and exploitation concession contracts over
the same permit areas. Bohemia holds registered applications for an oil and gas
prospecting permit in Paraguay and for an exploration and exploitation
concession contract over the same area.
The exploration areas covered by these three applications comprise a total of
approximately 48,000 square kilometres of the Curypayty and Parana Basins.
Chaco said these basins extend respectively into Bolivia and Brazil, where
commercial oil and gas production has been established for many years from
similar geological sections.
sem3
- 03 Mar 2006 18:22
- 1930 of 2227
lots of buys marked as sells,picked some up at 16.55.
KJK
- 05 Mar 2006 17:01
- 1931 of 2227
My response to a question on another board may be of interest.
Matt19,
In response to your question, on the short term share price I have outlined my thoughts. Conservatively, I think it could well be around 50p - not immediately but in the few weeks following any positive RNS.
Why? Well, the share price hovered around 8p after the Alea and Puerto Lopez announcements. Therefore, 8p represented a discount of 55% of the estimated net present value of oil potential/resources of 18p at that time (based on oil at $55 a barrel).
Any guess now depends upon the companys estimated potential resource, and applying a similar 55% discount. Im currently assuming a 400m bl estimate and I have previously estimated a potential net asset value equating to a share price of 238p. But I think this value needs to be discounted further due uncertainty about the potential resource of 400m bls.
Applying a 55% discount to 238p, gives 107p. I want to discount this value by a further 50% due to uncertainty, giving my best guess at an appropriate short term share price of 50p to 55p.
I do not think this will happen overnight but over the course of a few weeks after the announcement.
But this is based on my old figures. I believe these figures and assumptions (derived from the company's presentation on its web site) are too conservative and now out of date. My latest, more realistic figures show greater potential. Once we have the RNS and a better potential resource, I will update my figures and post them. Then you can all ask questions, pull them to pieces or whatever as part of a process of making up your own mind on them. I will help in any way I can.
Primavera will not be the last application for oil fields in Colombia!.
Remember this is not just any old licence of an unknown area. This application is the direct result of Chaco having brought onboard the experienced oil executives in Columbia, with their multi-national company in-depth knowledge of where the oil is in Colombia.
Regards,
KJ
Sharesure
- 05 Mar 2006 19:00
- 1932 of 2227
KJK, Thanks for that. Broadly I go along with your conclusions re sp. Just one question for the moment. Have you factored in to Primavera that CHP get 55% of the 400m barrels and similarly applied a share of 25% for Alea and 54% for the second area?
I agree that Primavera will not be the last Colombian TEA assets they go for - Graham Stephens confirmed at the AGM that there were other prospects they wanted to go for. Obviously with more publicity a few other companies are jumping on the bandwagon but CHP's local contacts should be an advantage in them getting more than their fair share of what they apply for.
Re your comment concerning an important official being away on holiday and when he returns I don't think that was necessarily required for the official paperwork to be released to CHP, so the RNS could come out at any time that CHP has that document and an agreed RNS - there are three countries/time zones involved + the Nomad would have to approve the detail of what is released.
KJK
- 05 Mar 2006 19:39
- 1933 of 2227
Sharesure, I have factored in the precentages you mention.
bodeng
- 06 Mar 2006 07:36
- 1934 of 2227
Should be a good week-good luck to all holders.
2517GEORGE
- 06 Mar 2006 14:40
- 1935 of 2227
Plenty of sellers out there, impatient for the rns perhaps, I hope I'm wrong but imo we will have to wait between 2 - 3 weeks for the rns, ie after the next monthly meeting.
2517
tudwick
- 06 Mar 2006 14:54
- 1936 of 2227
In the past couple of days, Mr Groak has answered a few emails sent to him & on each occasion has said that LSE rules do not allow him to say too much, but that news is imminent - i would not call 2-3 wks imminent IMHO, but then again, you never know. Here's hoping it's sooner rather than later...
2517GEORGE
- 06 Mar 2006 15:17
- 1937 of 2227
tudwick
I couldn't agree more, 2 - 3 weeks is not imminent, it's just that with the main man not attending the last meeting, and the documents needing his signature, will he be able to sign them prior to this months meeting, I don't know and would like to be proved wrong, I just have my doubts.
2517
syd443s
- 06 Mar 2006 15:44
- 1938 of 2227
The deadline for news is the 15th March i believe, so wed next week news has to be out good or bad.
bodeng
- 06 Mar 2006 16:27
- 1939 of 2227
I would say that the minister can sign the papers on his return without another meeting!
new boy
- 06 Mar 2006 21:49
- 1940 of 2227
I to have a lot of stock in this one, to be honest i dont think it really maters if the news comes out sooner or later, i can imagine that these kind of deals are complicated and things always take longer than intisipated, we must all be patient and hold firm, i my self am holding firm, this company has only just started and by the sounds of it has massive potential, with an impressive mangement, i understand they also have a wealth of advisors on the ground, i also understand that columbia is relitily unexplored for its oil resources but is stated to be a very oily country, the goverment has reduced its tax,s and is welcoming investment from particular smaller companys who will start sraight away, thus providing the goverment with extra income, sites that were not economic are know, who knows what the share price will be when they start drilling and pumping,I my self have sold shares to quickly in the past to lose out later,if the mangement can prove them with this deal i feel the future will be very rosey,and a long term hold of five years plus, i dont think the share price will drop if thers no news just yet as theres plenty of market sentiment behind this one, any way good luck to all those who hold.
dibbles
- 06 Mar 2006 23:46
- 1941 of 2227
Would the signing off have needed everyone present if it was unsuccessful?
bodeng
- 07 Mar 2006 07:13
- 1942 of 2227
Very good point Dibbles!
M_P_H
- 07 Mar 2006 07:50
- 1943 of 2227
I don't think we would have even got to the meeting stage if it was unsuccessful. The application would have been thrown out long before then.
The meeting was more a case of making people aware of what's going on and getting the final sign-off.
bodeng
- 07 Mar 2006 08:09
- 1944 of 2227
MPH
I was expecting a gradual increase in price not a decrease given news is close!
M_P_H
- 07 Mar 2006 08:20
- 1945 of 2227
MM's will use the lack of news to create some fear and make some money. They know people are waiting for this deal. Not all holders have researched the current situation thoroughly and many will have just jumped on the bandwagon with no homework. It all still looks very good, I'm quite happy to see the price rock back a few ticks whilst we are waiting for the final seal on what will be a company changing deal.
The MM's are fishing for fear, weak holders start thinking "someone knows something" and "are insiders selling" they then sell to the MM's who are only happy to take the stock from them.
I won't be selling any, I've seen this all before and will no doubt see it time and time again, the potential is still one of the best I have seen.
Sharesure
- 07 Mar 2006 08:25
- 1946 of 2227
Looks like another touch of nerves. Understandable that some think delay spells disappointment; maybe they weren't shareholders during the wait for the first two deals - they took an interminably long time to materialise. This is going to be a case of patience being rewarded - the long 'waits' between news is just a product of time zones, countries, civil servants and other factors which do not make for rapid decisions. I'm not selling my stake because I am confident that the news on Primavera is going to be what we expect perhaps coupled with other information for the oil production schedule at Alea.
bodeng
- 07 Mar 2006 08:30
- 1947 of 2227
Sharesure
You were going to list 5 positive events this week -Is now a good time?
Sharesure
- 07 Mar 2006 08:41
- 1948 of 2227
Bodeng, I haven't received all the information I need yet, but will have later in the week.
bodeng
- 07 Mar 2006 08:51
- 1949 of 2227
Thanks Sharesure
Look forward to hearing from you later-we are back on the way up!!