Big Al
- 05 Nov 2008 17:38
- 194 of 544
cynic
The main reason is Breagh and I discount, to a certain extent, the apparent failure of Esmond.
Breagh is a pretty good producer (as opposed to EME's meagre offerings thus far) and EO. have a sizeable stake. The UK needs all the gas it can get and I work in that region. The gas spot market is highly volatile as the UK is a net importer for the first time in 40 years - the southern gas sector will offer very high returns for some time to come IMO.
As for gas storage, to me it's only a plus. I don't see huge upside by getting into the side of it, although I could be wrong. As such, I see the past couple of days' hit as being very far overdone.
Additionally, I think this outfit has very good management with an excellent track record, albeit they play on the Buzzard thing a bit too much. Buzzard was massive at the time - I know because I was there and EDG did unbelievably well out of it.
At the end of the day, it's a punt as with all exploration outfits, but this lot offer so much more than others IMO. I'm prepared to stick around for some time and quite prepared to lose all I've put in. If they double I'll no doubt be gone, but I picked them last year and saw them more than triple. I feel there's a good chance they'll do so again.
On EME, I see the latest news didn't last long, but then you and I agree that's a red herring. ;-)))
cynic
- 05 Nov 2008 17:42
- 195 of 544
i thought you must have more logic that just backing the odds! ...... with Dow heading sharply south tonight (no surprise there), i guess there's good chance of EO. also falling away a bit more tomorrow, so may well follow your reasoning.
by the way, do you have any views on HAWK?
Big Al
- 05 Nov 2008 17:45
- 196 of 544
Never looked at them really, but might find the time.
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 08:18
- 197 of 544
interestingly, IG looks to be pretty much "limit up" on long buying, so had to get permission from the Pope to acquire ...... sounds like many agree with your view Al
required field
- 06 Nov 2008 09:07
- 198 of 544
Careful ! one ought to be : EK has dumped this....."on lower expectations" !.
Big Al
- 06 Nov 2008 09:13
- 199 of 544
We can be either right or wrong, cyninc. ;-0
cynic
- 06 Nov 2008 09:16
- 200 of 544
RF .... at worst, the downside is the whole of my smallish investment, but as AL points out in his knowledgeable post, the upside is potentially significant
required field
- 06 Nov 2008 09:16
- 201 of 544
One of the biggest problems with small speculative stocks is : "the promising acreages", they can have loads of different propositions for drilling but the bottom line is : what is down there ?, this has bits and pieces all over the place....drilling all this will cost a packet...could be further drops for the sp to come !.
Big Al
- 06 Nov 2008 09:24
- 202 of 544
rf - you are not wrong. You need some exposure to high risk stuff, though. I just think this one has less risk than others after this fall.
required field
- 07 Nov 2008 08:38
- 203 of 544
Big Al.....this will at some stage rebound but from where....sp might slide below 10p....by the way....I have lots of risky small oilies...check out PTR....progress being made and sp on the recovery !.
required field
- 07 Nov 2008 09:03
- 204 of 544
Euhhh !, was it something I said ?, sp on the slide again !.
Big Al
- 07 Nov 2008 09:07
- 205 of 544
rf - please keep quiet in future! ;-)))))
required field
- 07 Nov 2008 09:12
- 206 of 544
Sorry Big Al....shall stick a ping pong ball in my mouth.....mmmmmmm !, that just leaves the fingers free !.
Big Al
- 07 Nov 2008 09:36
- 207 of 544
LOL!
required field
- 07 Nov 2008 09:55
- 208 of 544
As it is....below 10p.....have decided to join you....got in (very small punt) at 10p exactly.....though this could be going lower still if the next wildcat well is a duster......in 3 to 4 months ...should be back above 15p !.
shadow
- 08 Nov 2008 13:12
- 209 of 544
Encore oil. Drilling at Breagh provided evidence of an appraisal well drilled at East Breah in August will be followed by a second at West breagh this month. It is also confirmed gas at its Barbarossa well and production will start early next year. Encore still ended the half year with better than expected cash position and also sold its Amstel asset in Netherlands. Broker KBC peel hunt values En Core at 90p a share. A Strong BUY. for Encore Oil.
shadow
- 08 Nov 2008 13:19
- 210 of 544
star energy is to drill a well to test the pressure at Esmond shortly. Assumeing the appraisal is on course. Indications are comeing in that this well is successfull. Encore will deliver the technical as mentioned and on course to reach new highs.
mcmahons
- 10 Nov 2008 12:05
- 211 of 544
Well worth a punt at this price.
When did KBC release re-value to 90p shadow.
required field
- 10 Nov 2008 14:24
- 212 of 544
I must be mad but could not resist not doubling up.....I'm going from a doubter to a surprise punter on recovery for this one....!, it is now cheap even if we dismiss Esmond as a failure and that still remains to be seen !.
Big Al
- 10 Nov 2008 14:26
- 213 of 544
That was my reasoning as well, rf, so we're probably both in the doo-doo. ;-)))