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JUST CAR CLINICS, An Undervalued Company Ready For Take Off. (JCR)     

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2003 00:23

This company is certainly catching the eye of Analysts and Tipsters. I have kindly borrowed this summing up of the company from an online associate and agree with his findings. This really is an undervalued company.

Car Clinic (JCR traded on AIM) – Market Cap 1.32million

Business

Company owns 12 accident centres. Was formerly a division of the Dixon Motor Group.

Opportunity

Profit of circa 700,000 at interim stage – Is a growing business, so every confidence that this performance will be matched in second half, generating 1.4million in cash profits for the group. As others have pointed out this would essentially put company on PE of 1.

Company does have debts, which will require servicing. Currently 2.25million, though repayment has been more than fairly structured and allows significant amounts of cash to be retained by JCR. I assume these monies will be used for bolt on acquisitions and possibly early repayment of debt.

From my various conversations with an existing large shareholder, and to a certain extent recent statements from the company, the debt will be repaid at the rate of 400k per annum. From my calculations, and conversations with various sources, net profits this year should be more than 600,000. Compare this to the measly 1.32million market cap. As I indicated above, this is ludicrously cheap. ( NB This figure takes into account costs of acquisition, associated legal fees, initial banking fees and initial repayments. Remember, the repayments begin in earnest, next year.)

Going forward however, annual profits of more than 1.4million can be expected from the group. I expect the company to beat this comfortably next year and to continue growing at pace. So in effect, I believe Just Care Clinic can deliver annual net profits of more than 1million – Remember this is net profit. (i.e. after repayment of debt)

Directors Buying

And why shouldn’t they? They obviously see the great potential here. The Finance Director, Chris Elton was formerly FD at Dixon Motors, but moved over to take part in the action.

The future

I expect the company will be more focussed on bringing in further contracts with insurance companies. When Just Car Clinic was part of the Dixon Motor Group, whilst profitability was obviously important, as the business wasn’t a core component of the larger group bringing in new contracts was likely seen as a problem rather than a chance to deliver greater profits. I suspect the management team, motivated by significant shareholdings, will be keen to bring in as much ‘big’ insurance business as they can. I expect the company to make an announcement to this regard within the next few months or so. This is based on nothing other than gut, experience and feedback from various sources involved in the industry.

Take a closer Look

Equitygrowth.net wrote a brief piece on JCR in its 7th February newsletter. Shares Magazine has also provided positive coverage of late. I do agree that the figures do appear too good to be true, that is why I encourage investors to do their own research. This stock is undervalued – FACT. I am confident these shares will do well in the coming weeks as more investors recognise the potential, whilst going forward this is excellent material in my opinion. This isn’t hype, this is all fact which can be confirmed with just a little time and effort. Shares are currently 10.5p offered. I cannot emphasise enough - JCR is one to have a look at.

Please DYOR.




TullettJ (MoneyAM) - 15 Jun 2004 13:45 - 195 of 245

goldfinger,

Please do not make personal attacks on these bulletin boards.

J.

goldfinger - 15 Jun 2004 22:56 - 196 of 245

post 181, COPIED from thirdeyes post....................


"& no never worked for Dixons, I was a director of an Independent HGV garage, Car garage & Bodyshop".ENDS.

ATullet MONEY AM, I happen to think I was right in pointing out the truth about the above poster.

I was only trying to point out that the above poster had used his employment in the motor industry as a bear weapon in trying to get bulls to sell the stock.

If my post is wiped then surely his should be.

cheers GF.

ThirdEye - 16 Jun 2004 08:05 - 197 of 245

The quote above (I was a director of an Independent HGV garage, Car garage & Bodyshop".) is true, your previous post was not & therefore was deleted.

goldfinger - 16 Jun 2004 10:03 - 198 of 245

Why does it say then and penned from your own hand and taken from your personal profile on your own syndicate site (yes Ive saved it before you shut the site down) that you were a panel beater/bodyshop worker, before moving onto inspector for the HGV garage??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????.

I agree you were asked back after retirement for a short period as a director AS YOUR ARTICLE SAYS, but to mislead the board in this way making out that you have run a garage business all your working life is misleading. As my post was removed so should your posts as you are trying to use them in your attack on JCR the company.

I also note that and are you denying it?, that you learnt about business from reading three books from the London school of business, not from the practical running of a business, and theres one mighty difference.

cheers GF.

Bullshare - 16 Jun 2004 16:29 - 199 of 245

Goldfinger: Come on, you had a warning from Jon Tullett earlier. These Bulletins Boards are about companies and their shares, not about posters and their personal details.

Take this as a final warning.

yellowcard-small.gif

Caravaggio - 24 Jun 2004 16:58 - 200 of 245

Well I am in for what it's worth...as is my constitutional right.
In with a nible of 20k bought today which should go through as a "L" tomorrow.
Regardless of pending interest rate rises between now and Christmas the fundamentals are still sound and I have faith in the boards stewardship of this company as regards the gearing.

goldfinger - 26 Jun 2004 02:37 - 201 of 245

Excellent, welcome aboard a class act.

cheers GF.

chartist2004 - 26 Jun 2004 02:38 - 202 of 245

OK 002 bed time lol lol

goldfinger - 26 Jun 2004 02:40 - 203 of 245

Business thriving for Bike Clinic
Sheffields Just Bike Clinic, part of the 13 branch strong Just Car Clinic chain, has topped off a fantastic first year of trading by securing a number of high profile contracts.

Business really has been booming for the dedicated motorbike collision repair centre and its workload increased by more than 15 per cent during the 2003/04 financial year. The company has secured contracts from a number of high-profile names in the insurance industry to substantially increase its share of the market.

Manager Paul Bennett explained: We are still a new company and we started out here as a small team. I am delighted with the way our first year has gone and we may need to recruit more staff soon to meet the growing demand for what is a very specialist service.

Just Bike Clinic is a one-stop repair centre and guides its customers through every stage of the repair process, from the initial collection of bikes following a collision, to liasing with insurance companies and parts suppliers to get the motorbike back to new and on the road as quickly as possible.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 26 Jun 2004 02:54 - 204 of 245

Nice extracted piece here taken from a chappie who went to the AGM...........

Brewin Dolphin's latest research note (Hold at 22P) says that the board has taken legal advice and are pursuing a significant claim against the vendor, likely to be in excess of 1m. I asked about this at the AGM and the claim is being pursued under the warranties and indemnities provisions of the Acquisition Agreement. The board indicated that they were happy with the progress being made with this claim and it certainly has not been written off. I was concerned that any payment would be swallowed up by lawyers' charges and that they might consider phoning Fred Goodwin (Boss man of RBS, who own Dixon Motors, who sold their Car Clinics to Bikenet, who became Just Car Clinics) direct to reach a "lawyer-free" settlement. That's what I would do in their shoes, but as they have to keep Dixon Motors, Direct Line and Churchill Insurance sweet (all owned by RBS) the board might find that a problematic course of action. We shall see.

Brewin Dolphin say this: "The Group currently trades on a multiple of 10.7x our 2004E earnings against the insurance and motor retail sectors both on between 10x and 12x 04 earnings. Our DCF model implies a share price of 30p assuming only modest growth in earnings through to 2010 and nil growth thereafter."

cheers GF.

ThirdEye - 26 Jun 2004 10:03 - 205 of 245

Good post on Motley fool not from me:

" So to me this half of the story is bad news and the business looks very vulnerable .Other half seems better but high risk"



http://boards.fool.co.uk/Message.asp?mid=8626603

goldfinger - 26 Jun 2004 11:36 - 206 of 245

Another piece taken from a chap at the AGM...............................

The members of the Board were very courteous. Every question was answered with no side-stepping or obfuscation. Of course, when it came to "forward looking" information they could not tell me anything that was not already in the public domain - it didn't stop me trying though!

After the AGM was over, Barry Whittles, the MD, showed me around the York operation and introduced me to some of the key personnel. What impressed me most was the professionalism of everything and everyone I saw. This is a class operation, of that have no doubt. Training and staff development are being given a very high priority, with plans for a new training centre already well-developed. They are happy with their computer systems, which appear to work well. They link, wherever possible, with the insurance companies' own systems and it all seems very slick. For example, a computer-based estimating system is used and the estimate, together with digital photographs of the car damage, can be transmitted to the insurer and a decision to go-ahead or not given very quickly. For cases where an insurance company inspector needs to look at the vehicle, a quiet area separate from the workshop is made available where they do their admin work, use their laptops and so on. The workshop itself was much larger than an average bodyshop. It was busy. I am no expert on bodyshop equipment but it all looked to be well maintained and the paintshop facilities looked superb. The reception staff were friendly and helpful and the customers that I saw seemed to be very happy with the service.ENDS.

cheers Gf.

ThirdEye - 26 Jun 2004 13:11 - 207 of 245

So a seperate quiet place just for insurance to see the vehicle...not a very productive way of utilising floor space & transfering into earnings is my concern, seems an expensive luxury, no wonder margins are so wafer thin.


Just checked MoneyAM's report of net current assets (m)... the figure? .... -0.531

goldfinger - 26 Jun 2004 23:27 - 208 of 245

Brewin Dolphin say this: "The Group currently trades on a multiple of 10.7x our 2004E earnings against the insurance and motor retail sectors both on between 10x and 12x 04 earnings. Our DCF model implies a share price of 30p assuming only modest growth in earnings through to 2010 and nil growth thereafter."

cheers GF.

ThirdEye - 27 Jun 2004 08:35 - 209 of 245

Do they say when they expect the net current assets to become a positive figure rather than the negative one of -0.531? Is that 2010 or beyond? Have they conviently missed that out & the high gearing or have you just selected your text?

goldfinger - 27 Jun 2004 12:32 - 210 of 245

Brewin Dolphin say this: "The Group currently trades on a multiple of 10.7x our 2004E earnings against the insurance and motor retail sectors both on between 10x and 12x 04 earnings. Our DCF model implies a share price of 30p assuming only modest growth in earnings through to 2010 and nil growth thereafter."

cheers GF.

ThirdEye - 27 Jun 2004 14:27 - 211 of 245

Do they say when they expect the net current assets to become a positive figure rather than the negative one of -0.531?

hawick - 02 Jul 2004 10:25 - 212 of 245

Building a nice support base at 17p bounceing off several times. Highlighted this week on the FAR3 breakouts as one to watch out for. 30p looks fair value short term followed by further rises subject to successful settlement.

ThirdEye - 02 Jul 2004 10:51 - 213 of 245

Sorry disagree. Papers today warn of much higher interest rates, these will hit JCR hard with their high borrowings.

If they lose any legal battle with their gearing, they will be in serious trouble.

hawick - 02 Jul 2004 11:28 - 214 of 245

Profitable, sub 2.5 million market cap, Brewin's forecasts extremely modest and good to see coverage from a broker like them for such a small company indicates JCR worth taking seriously indeed. Strong cashflow, unused bank facility of 2.5 million and expanding number of centres. Miserable summer will have aided business too as an added bonus and any settlement can only help!

Given all those plus points for a company with such a small market cap we can live with higher interest rates. You tried to talk this one down when the fraud was uncovered with scaremongering about more to come that was proved to be merely that - scaremongering - now you are trying interest rates.

Very cheap at these levels, moving off support again.

The last dregs of JCR bears fast running out of excuses. And final resistance being flushed out, very little selling pressure left now.
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