overgrowth
- 09 Feb 2005 20:52
Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting
in the middle of a goldmine!
This company through
their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full
advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year.
Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies
and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund
placements on behalf of the companies they represent.
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On first sight, the
fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector
makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because
it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think
again!
DGT bring new companies
to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated"
on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company
is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk
of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies
must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring
income).
Because DGT also act
as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging
placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In
addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work,
they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may
need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash
to speed growth.
Current NOMADships:
28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000
per year)
Current on-going Brokerage
agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)
For flotations, depending
on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000
to 100,000+
For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12%
of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M
though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000
!
These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances
and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk
of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back
to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket.
Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge
and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another
healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation
means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for
years, with DGT having to do very little.
New clients gained in 2005 are:
Mediazest
(NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million
Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M
Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal
Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring
Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of
Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e
Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer
Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics
Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
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ptholden
- 05 Feb 2006 10:51
- 1956 of 2787
Rod
As Markus says, don't worry, he can't help being a whinging sheep shagger (Derby County supporter). As to going OTT, SP predictions are always fickle; as you will recall, during most of the run up to the results, a big seller offloaded millions of shares into SP strength, effectively stalling the rise, myself and others had expected. It is impossible to allow for the possibility that this may happen and all one can do is post with information that is available at the time. Anyway nuff said, maybe this time we might break the 1p barrier once more.
Good luck all
pth
EWRobson
- 05 Feb 2006 14:36
- 1957 of 2787
One thing being rebuked by a shark, who is happy to eat up people like pth for supper at any rate on the golf course, another to be so rebuked by a lady! Sorry Moneyplus, have been sulking as I don't like to have to sell for family capital needs when I would prefer to be buying. OK I'll but the wine for the 5p party!
A word of caution. I supect that DGT is not a short-term traders. My experience this week has shown how narrow the market can become. The only way of buying the volume I wanted was to pay 0.6p when the sp was 0.49p. I eventually averaged just over .6p but I deemed the price worthwhile with the strength of the market. The same experience could occur with selling where a decent selling order, even of 1 millions shares could drive the price down and effect the price. Frequently you can only sell 100K shares at a time, although that was OK by me.
Its a fascinating situation. Its clear that Rawlinson is now in control, being Chairman as well as Chief Executive. I see the business links as a plus point. Now we know that he is a safe pair of hands. Has he also that entrepreneurial spirit which could take this small company a long way quickly? I think we will be able to guage that better after the statement with the results.
Eric
moneyplus
- 05 Feb 2006 16:00
- 1958 of 2787
does anyone think DGT might do a share consolidation on good results? This might draw in more investors at a more substantial price.
markusantonius
- 05 Feb 2006 18:29
- 1959 of 2787
Depends on how badly TR wants the sp to rise in the short term plus what he might do with any extra capital at his disposal.....?
For long term s/holders, I don't think this is a major issue.
stockdog
- 05 Feb 2006 18:37
- 1960 of 2787
Eric
"I've looked at your figures, stockdog, and suspect that they are over-cautious."
As Bette Davis once said, "If you want an argument, pick a different subject!"
I suspect, once I get to my spreadsheets at the office on Monday, my revised figures for DGT, in light of last weeks good deals, will come very close to your target my main interest in which is helping to establish a selling point - since that was where I fell down so badly last year, failing to sell at the right time on a number of otherwise successful investments.
I would agree a 5th executive should lead to 25% increase in turnover, but over time - say 2 years, which makes a first year growth from zero to 12.5% average 6.25% - I am saying 10% growth in revenue for 2006 above (after loss of a recurring retainer fee of 25k). I am happy to up that by, say, 150,000 now to make it about 18.5% increase. Allowing the same 100k increase in overhead and a third in staff bonuses, this increases net profit by 100k to make a year on year increase of about 48% (compared to 19.5% previously estimated - just shows how highly geared the bottom line is to increase in fees once the overhead has been covered) to 522k for a PE of 7.6 at Friday's close of 0.64p. If this should be nearer 12.5 (I'm not always less bullish than you!) 12 months forward, then SP should move towards a target of 1.05p by year end - 1p party somewhere around (appropriately enough!) Thanksgiving. With a forecast PEG of 0.16 and even a projected PEG of only 0.26 the projected PE of 12.5 seems relatively modest.
Chatting with a pal in the street this morning who runs a group at one of the big 4 (or 3?) accounting firms, we both took note that the heavy m&a activity, looking likely to increase even more over the next 6 months, is typically a sign of the imminent end of a bull phase in the stock market as financial manipulators try to make profitability appear to continue increasing when real profit on real goods and services has in fact weakened to very much lower real growth. This could signal the end of the current FTSE strength and a sizeable retracement for a year or so and, in particular, the end of much expansionary prospects for NOMADS and Corporate Brokers. So I will be keeping a weather eye on market sentiment towards DGT from mid-year onwards, despite prospective numbers looking very good.
Keep the third Thursday in November free!
sd
canary9
- 06 Feb 2006 08:54
- 1961 of 2787
1M+ buys, but no move in the share price.
Someone got a big sell out there?
mysunshine
- 06 Feb 2006 10:38
- 1962 of 2787
Not sure if it has been mentioned on here, but DGT are no longer Nomad/Broker for Designer Vision as of 31st January - the same day that the new CEO of DVS (Angelo Panayiotou) took over. The RNS re Mr Panayiotou's past record shows that many companies he worked for in the past went into liquidation. DVS's Group Financial Director left on the same day that Mr P took over. Wonder who decided to end the contract - DGT or Designer Vision?
corehard
- 06 Feb 2006 12:17
- 1963 of 2787
12.15pm
1.8m buys against 1.1m sells yet SP drop 5.5%
Any comments ?
stockdog
- 06 Feb 2006 12:43
- 1964 of 2787
mysunshine - thanks, I have that noted as zero fees for DGT since last May/June.
EWRobson
- 06 Feb 2006 13:55
- 1966 of 2787
moneyplus: I postulated above that I wouldn't be surprised if there was a capitalisation, perhaps on a 10:1 basis, with the results. The main argument as I see it is to make the shares more attractive to the institutional holder where a fund manager may shrink from investing in penny shares. Marcus, this would be all to the good and stabilise the sp, even if its primarily psychological in its effect.
canary, corehard. My experience from last week, when my 'big' (relatively) buy order played a part in pushing the price up, suggests that a sell order is in play: there were quite a few buys when the offer price was reduced.
Stockdog: we seem to be singing from the same hymn-sheet. Except that my 'thanksgiving' is easter! I was more positive for last year whereas you are adopting a positive position this year. I suspect it doesn't make a lot of difference because both will appear positive scenarios when the results are announced. I would expect the sp to move on a positive statment with the results and, this time, to hold it. I would doubt that there are many fickle holders left in this share!
Incidentally, our friend bosley has introduced me to PXS. Worth a look.
Eric
markusantonius
- 06 Feb 2006 14:07
- 1967 of 2787
Corehard and Rod, Sometimes sells may apear as "buys" and vice versa. I believe this is recorded automatically and centres around the price at the time c.t. the mid price, i.e. a good broker may be able to to negotiate above/below the mid price in your favour. Have I explained this correctly, Eric?
stockdog
- 06 Feb 2006 14:13
- 1968 of 2787
Looking at the traded prices against the mid-price today, most trades seem to be correctly labeled. There seems to be a seller of 100k lots off-loading today. Even so tiny volume causing quite a swing in SP. Ah well, down we go again. Eric buy some more, please!
I'll look at PXS - thanks bosley and eric.
sd
deadfred
- 06 Feb 2006 14:38
- 1969 of 2787
were is me m8 butane can one of you id plz let him know im crying in my sleep over not being back in
mind you srts have helped cause the crying was with laughter
to all the rest of you guy i hope this takes off for u
butane were are you i need to stop lol help
help
roflmao
butane
- 06 Feb 2006 15:47
- 1970 of 2787
DF.......You checked sym price yet?....no wonder u cryin.....lol
corehard
- 06 Feb 2006 16:13
- 1971 of 2787
Thanks for the info all !
Who's dumped the 6 mill then ?
rawsthornebj001
- 06 Feb 2006 16:21
- 1972 of 2787
so long as it was'nt TR!
canary9
- 06 Feb 2006 16:30
- 1973 of 2787
Now we know what has been holding the price back.
It wasn't me!
deadfred
- 06 Feb 2006 19:14
- 1974 of 2787
butane sym old news m8
lol
srts
then sym
then
???????????
anyway have a very nice day butane old son
roflmao
deadfred
- 06 Feb 2006 19:17
- 1975 of 2787
butane
butane old son
who was the naughty person to dump the 6mill
any ideas
lol
roflmao