cynic
- 13 Nov 2007 13:08
- 1971 of 3050
i would have thought that a decent bounce from 350/360 (or sooner) was on the cards before any renewed fall towards 300 can be contemplated.
cynic
- 13 Nov 2007 16:10
- 1972 of 3050
i see sp has recovered quite sharply to nestle under the 400p resistance .... no doubt this is due the rns that SOLA's figures will be out next monday ...... shall contemplate taking profits now on the basis that the lemmings will pile in ahead of time and out again following the news, almost regardless of whether good or bad
Greyhound
- 13 Nov 2007 16:11
- 1973 of 3050
Very nice recovery, I expect it continue back to 200dma.
cynic
- 13 Nov 2007 16:16
- 1974 of 3050
you may not be wrong, and likelihood for next few days, assuming Dow sustains the current recovery is def more north than south .... had mentally set myself a trailing stop at 400 so have just closed and banked a nice profit
kitosdad
- 14 Nov 2007 11:43
- 1975 of 3050
Very well timed Cyn. Better in the pocket than in the ether-land.
cynic
- 14 Nov 2007 11:52
- 1976 of 3050
thank you dear boy, but as i said, shall almost certainly be looking to short again after the results
kitosdad
- 14 Nov 2007 12:34
- 1977 of 3050
Cyn, why do you think the results will warrant a short.?
cynic
- 14 Nov 2007 12:43
- 1978 of 3050
because unless they are absolutely stunning, all the lemmings who have just jumped in ahead of the figures will be leaping out again
Greyhound
- 14 Nov 2007 13:49
- 1979 of 3050
Don't forget some of the lemmings have gains of up to 100% since the lows so might not leap out so quickly...
cynic
- 14 Nov 2007 14:02
- 1980 of 3050
in that case they will not be the ones who started the buying yesterday
Greyhound
- 14 Nov 2007 14:33
- 1981 of 3050
So by that theory they could also be the shorts closing with no (theoretical) subsequent position to close.
cynic
- 14 Nov 2007 14:35
- 1982 of 3050
that is also true .... rather like i did at 400
goldfinger
- 15 Nov 2007 11:09
- 1983 of 3050
Still short.
Not been budged by wednesdays rns.
Can see a lot of short termers jumping out tomorrow afternoon.
Cant see results being any other than in line and perhaphs a wobble thrown in.
goldfinger
- 15 Nov 2007 23:23
- 1984 of 3050
http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2007/11/12/solar-stocks-tumble-on-reports-solar-investment-tax-credits-could-be-left-out-of-energy-bill/
-------------------------------------
Solar Stocks Tumble On Reports Solar Investment Tax Credits Could Be Left Out Of Energy Bill
Posted by Eric Savitz 12/11/2007
Solar stocks have been hit today by news that Senate and House Democratic leaders are considering a plan to leave renewable energy out of a pending U.S. energy bill. An alert posted Friday by the Solar Energy Industries Association on its web site says that there are widespread reports that a decision has been made, at least provisionally, to move energy legislation without a tax title that extends the Solar Investment Tax Credits.
The notice asserts that a bill without the solar ITC provisions would be a tremendous lost opportunity for our industry and our country.
Stephen Chin, an analyst at UBS, this morning asserted that removal of the tax credits from the energy bill increases the likelihood that the credits could expire in 2008. He writes that an orphaned solar ITC may not find bipartisan support during an election year, increasing the likelihood of expiration.
Chin says that the current tax credit allows commercial system owners a 30% tax credit against total system costs. Expiration of the tax credit, he says, would likely reduce solar system demand among commercial customers, which accounted for 41% of 2006 solar installations. He adds that utilities may be slow to embrace solar if a provision allowing them to take the 30% tax credit isnt passed.
Chin notes that Applied Materials (AMAT) could see decreased demand for solar-related equipment without the tax credit, and that there also could be a negative impact on solar-wafer producer MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR), pointing out that its largest customer, Suntech (STP), is increasingly exposed to the U.S. solar market.
goldfinger
- 15 Nov 2007 23:24
- 1985 of 3050
Chin notes that Applied Materials (AMAT) could see decreased demand for solar-related equipment without the tax credit, and that there also could be a negative impact on solar-wafer producer MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR), pointing out that its largest customer, Suntech (STP), is increasingly exposed to the U.S. solar market.
cynic
- 19 Nov 2007 12:24
- 1986 of 3050
though SOLA's figures were certainly not bad, i am surprised to sp holding up so well, especially when there is an attaching warning about future margins.
goldfinger
- 19 Nov 2007 13:14
- 1987 of 3050
Nothing in therse results to deter bears, in fact this is the essential point made.....
Higher feedstock costs are expected
to continue in fourth quarter 2007, which may lead to a decline in our gross
margin sequentially over the next two quarters.
Operational cash flow negative again.
Foreign exchange losses again.
Debtors ever increasing.
Bank loan increasing to 75 million and interest payments up.
Assets non existant.
No this is a company proped up on debt and facing an industry slow down.
ITS A SELL.
cynic
- 19 Nov 2007 13:19
- 1988 of 3050
most assuredly not a BUY, but the chart is quite interesting (see post 1965) ...... sp is just nestling on 25 dma, but if that breaks with impetus, then next likely support is about 370 where 50 dma is hit
cynic
- 19 Nov 2007 15:28
- 1989 of 3050
decided to take the plunge and have shorted once more ..... i see no reason for sp to surge ahead, and with the markets as weak as they are, south is surely on the cards
hangon
- 19 Nov 2007 15:54
- 1990 of 3050
I agree with the sentiment; although I have no experience of "shorting", it strikes me that you should be fairly safe ( er, again.).
Are you locked-into a specific time-frame?