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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

Global Nomad - 07 Feb 2006 19:16 - 1989 of 2787

thanks for the clarification....take that as no loss of fees then..?

petermoran - 07 Feb 2006 19:26 - 1990 of 2787

No, the transactions were completed today.

stockdog - 07 Feb 2006 20:11 - 1991 of 2787

petermoran - great news - thanks for taking the trouble to find out. Yes, agree it was only a technical issue, not a commercial one. Fees remain intact on the model.

Looking for an idealised SP of 1.05p discounted by say 20% for market sentiment/awareness to about 0.85p sometime this year.

sd

stockdog - 08 Feb 2006 03:53 - 1992 of 2787

Interesting to see this from rival Daniel Stewart day before yesterday:

Daniel Stewart Securities PLC said 2005 was a
"record-breaking" period for the company, with the company raising 140 mln stg
for its clients compared to 50 mln in 2004.
The broker grew its client base by over 40 pct during the period from 27 AIM
companies at the start of the year to 39 by the end of December.
During the period Daniel Stewart advised on over 970 mln stg of deals by
value during 2005 and acted on 28 transactions on AIM as it took advantage of
buoyant market conditions.
Daniel Stewart benefited from a burgeoning AIM market last year with growing
investor confidence underpinning increasing deal flow.
The positive momentum looks set to continue with this year starting very
well, the company said.
Chief executive Peter Shea said: "We achieved quarter-on-quarter growth
throughout the year and the first few weeks of 2006 have proved to be equally
busy."

I reckon DGT have grown their client base over 2005 from about 20 to 38 (adding 24, but losing 6 along the way - 2 bankruptcies and 4 defectors) a 90% increase, raising or advising on maybe 20m (v. roughly) for clients. DAN's market cap is 43m compared to DGT's 3.65m. DAN's SP has jumped up from 15.5 to 20.75p since early January, of which only 0.5p on Monday's release of results. DGT from 0.46 to 0.59p since late January - a not dissimilar relative increase.

Digital Look shows DAN have a March 05 PE of 12 and a March 06 PE of 13 with a PEG of 0.2. Compare this with my suggested 12.5 for DGT Dec 06 with a PEG of 0.26. For the same PEG value DGT's PE should be nearer 10 (as sugegsted above by Eric) than my 12.5. Perhaps taht was what I was allowing for when I suggested a 20% discount for market sentiment from my idealised SP of 1.05 to nearer 0.85.

sd

EWRobson - 08 Feb 2006 13:48 - 1993 of 2787

sd

I would discount your market sediment, sorry sentiment. Why a discount? I would suggest a premium on account of growth from a smaller base. Not out of the question for a doubling of revenues and profits from such a small base. The key could well be with the average size of transaction as the larger job requires no more work for increased fees. This is a matter of burgeoning reputation and being able to pick and choose clients. Last year DGT were getting introductions from the bigger boys but, as they become more established, a path will be beaten straight to their door. I am all for not less than 1p on the results. It might not last for long as there will be profit takers and those who invested higher up getting impatient. The danger is that the share is then OOSOOM for some time. The key will be the nature of the statement with the prelims and then the AGM.

Eric

deadfred - 08 Feb 2006 15:38 - 1994 of 2787

butaneeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

srtsssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss

im still cryingggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg

butane - 08 Feb 2006 16:26 - 1995 of 2787

DF......Saw ur post (below) on the 'other' board........lol lol lol

I really am laughing out loud....you seen sym's price today?....down again..but then you must know that 'cos that's why u cryin ....... lol lol

Panicking now are we?...

ps...I wouldnt have posted this but u asked for it!



From ADVFN (sym)........

deadfred2 - 7 Feb'06 - 21:01 - 1694 of 1698

whats the thought on the share movement in next say threeweeks

any idead

i emailed them to ask why we could not sue for lose of trade and received a nice little reply

saying it would cost to much and it would be hard to prove that the case

i also asked about news and was basicaly told you will get it when we have it

so thats the reason im askin how ppl think it might go

rawsthornebj001 - 08 Feb 2006 16:34 - 1996 of 2787

Deadfred I dont know who you are or why your here but do us all a favour and go away please.

deadfred - 08 Feb 2006 16:45 - 1997 of 2787

im here to help me best m8 butane

get over his inferiority complex

maybe u can help him to

he takes life way to serious

you keep posting for sym butane i told u before srts then sym watunoreed

lol

as an old vulcan said to me once

live long and prosper butane

and if u knew me butane u would know i dont panic

reason im dead

lol

stevieweebie - 08 Feb 2006 16:45 - 1998 of 2787

LOL LOL DF
That post has made my week Butane, poor DF let mummy kiss it better for you, now where did I put that Abbey apllication form for the 90 day 'softy Walter account'.
ROFLMAO

stockdog - 08 Feb 2006 17:04 - 1999 of 2787

Eric
I mention a discount for market sentiment, because that is what we have now - SP should be near 0.70 on H1 and anticipated H2 2005 - I see no reason that changes this overnight to a premium - but then at least I can only be pleasantly surprised by future events.

sd

deadfred - 08 Feb 2006 17:05 - 2000 of 2787

roflmao

stevie is butane still got his hand working u
lol

i use to like this thread for banter on cfa now i like it cause there is a double act of great mire

lol

i was always taught to think and ask questions so if im wrong to ask other ppl thoughts about how they see things then im wrong

lol
but lets see who laughs last

your still trying to get your losses back im not

lol

deadfred - 08 Feb 2006 17:10 - 2001 of 2787

opps i forgot to ask

butane were did u get that quote from m8

what thread

lol


freud hes great aint he

that post told me somit about you butane lol

i might even start posting on bb just to get you to look
roflmao

i dont know why i go fishing this is easier

lol

EWRobson - 08 Feb 2006 18:28 - 2002 of 2787

sd I admire you for being able to make a senible post surrounded by s**t. I know you dogs like it, even our chickens love scratching in the compost heap, then produce superb eggs. Can't see any useful function for df and his mates.

Eric

Global Nomad - 08 Feb 2006 18:46 - 2003 of 2787

my sentiments exactly Eric, was just about to write the same thing and then reached your post.

GN

stockdog - 08 Feb 2006 19:06 - 2004 of 2787

Well, df has the great advantage of making even me look wise. Maybe I'm just old!

sd

deadfred - 08 Feb 2006 19:31 - 2005 of 2787

lol
right lads ill leave you in peace ewr soz m8 was bored

sd its a wise man that admits he might not be

as for me old mucker butane i only started winding him up cause imho i thought he was winding me up

my posts were not ment as wisdom just to bemuse

in this it seems to have worked

but i will decease from this forth with if my old m8 butane and his shadow stevie has no objections of course

as ive said before i wish this share and all in it good profit but this should not mean that otheir ppl cant have an opinion on it

Global Nomad - 09 Feb 2006 08:26 - 2006 of 2787

opinions on the SHARE greatfuly received.

EWRobson - 09 Feb 2006 08:45 - 2007 of 2787

GlonNod: I reckon DGT to be the best buy around at the moment. They clearl have had a good year (sd and og have been able to track the transactions as they are very visible), earnings of around 0.05p a share likely. Good start to new year with a new appointment. Possible initial dividend or may hold funds for development of company. Picture should be much clearer and better than interims when price spiked to 0.8p. Looking to 1p and then continued progression for those who lock away. Only downside is narrowness of market as little trading risk with evident quality of management and staff, with burgeoning reputation. Advise you join the million club!

Eric

nevgroom - 09 Feb 2006 10:25 - 2008 of 2787

Can't see dividend now or in the near/medium term.

One statement TR made last year (which I can't find now) alluded to growth targets not being attainable through organic alone. This would suggest acquisitions or mergers are in the offing. This may lead to some short-term dilution (stalling any growth in SP) but is more good news for the longer term.

All IMHO as usual
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