European Factors to Watch-Shares seen edging lower, focus on data
Thu Aug 15, 2013 7:32am BST
LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - European shares were expected to fall slightly
from their 2-1/2-month highs on Thursday, tracking losses on Wall Street and in
Asia, on persistent concerns the U.S. Federal Reserve might start cutting its
stimulus from next month.
St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said late on Wednesday the
Fed risked pushing inflation even lower if it tapered bond purchases too
aggressively.
Selling on Wall Street accelerated after his comments as some investors
speculated a decision to trim stimulus could be taken within weeks. A Reuters
poll also showed on Wednesday a majority of economists expect the Fed to reduce
bond purchases at its Sept. 17-18 policy meeting.
At 0622 GMT, futures for Euro STOXX 50, Britain's FTSE 100
, Germany's DAX and France's CAC were 0.1 to 0.3 percent
lower.
Japan's Nikkei fell 2.1 percent on Thursday, while U.S. shares
dropped 0.4 to 0.7 percent in the previous session, when
the FTSEurofirst 300 index managed to end 0.3 percent higher on data
showing the euro zone had emerged from recession.
Investors will keep a close eye on more economic data and earnings for hints
about the market's near-term direction. On Thursday, Holcim, the
world's largest cement maker, reported flat second-quarter profit, while Zurich
Insurance's net profit fell nearly 30 percent.
According to Thomson Reuters StarMine, 86 percent of the STOXX Europe 600
companies have announced second-quarter results so far, of which 56
percent have met or beaten forecasts. However, Europe lags the United States,
where 72 percent of the S&P 500 companies have met or beaten predictions. More
than 90 percent of the U.S. firms have reported results.
"Equities have survived another earnings season intact. Since Alcoa
announced results six weeks ago, the STOXX 600 has risen 5.1 percent and the S&P
500 by 3.3 percent. We suspect the focus on micro issues will now turn into a
focus on macro issues," Graham Bishop, senior equity strategist at Exane BNP
Paribas, said.
He said investors' attention will turn to green shoots and structural reform
in the euro zone, further traction in the UK and the U.S. and economic
stabilisation in China.
The market's focus at 1230 GMT will be on the first-time claims for U.S.
jobless benefits for the week ended Aug. 10, with economists expecting a total
of 335,000 new filings, against 333,000 in the prior week. In the UK, July's
retail sales numbers, due at 0830 GMT, are expected to rise to 0.6 percent from
0.2 percent in the previous month.
"UK GDP has already shown signs of improvement since the start of the year
and another increase in retail sales would be a sign that activity is gaining
momentum," Annalisa Piazza, analyst at Newedge Strategy, said in a note.
In the bonds market, German Bund futures opened flat at 140.95,
keeping close to seven-week lows of 140.56 hit on Wednesday after data showed
the euro zone economy recovered from a lengthy recession in the second quarter.