European Factors to Watch - Overbought stocks set for lower start
Wed Oct 23, 2013 6:34am BST
LONDON, Oct 23 (Reuters) - European stocks are seen snapping their nine-day
winning streak on Wednesday as traders book profits on "overbought" indexes,
taking their cue from a sell-off in Asian shares.
Financial spreadbetters expect Britain's FTSE 100 to open 15 to 23
points lower, or as much as 0.3 percent, Germany's DAX to open 13 to 27
points lower, also down as much as 0.3 percent, and France's CAC 40 to
open 12 to 22 points lower, or as much as 0.6 percent.
European equities rose to a fresh five-year high on Tuesday in a broad-based
rally after a weak U.S. jobs report boosted expectations that the Federal
Reserve would keep monetary policy ultra-loose for longer.
The euro zone Euro STOXX 50 index is at its most "overbought"
since 2006 based on its 14-day wilder smoothing Relative Strength Index, which
hit 73 points on Tuesday.
A reading above 70 indicates "overbought" conditions and the Euro STOXX 50
fell each time its RSI came close to 73 over the past seven years.
"Although the bulls got another leg up yesterday on the slow growth/easy
monetary policy story, catalysts for further upside movement look a little thin
on the ground," Jonathan Sudaria, a dealer at Capital Spreads, said in a trading
note.
"With equities having had quite a stellar run over the last two weeks and
looking a little overbought, profit taking could turn into a deeper pull-back."
The broader STOXX Europe 600 index was trading at 5-year highs
after climbing for nine consecutive sessions, leaving the index trading at 13.3
times its expected earnings for the next 12 months, a premium to its 10-year
average at 12, Datastream data showed.
China shares surrendered early gains on Wednesday as profit taking
accelerated on the year's outperformers and fresh concerns about liquidity sent
money rates higher.
Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, also cited a media
report that Chinese banks have tripled debt write-offs in the first half of this
year as a reason fuelling the sell-off.