ThePlayboy
- 30 Sep 2003 07:12
- 2 of 4
Updated 9/29 for Tuesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 9/30
UP Above 9,400
DN Below 9,300
Upmove
Dow breaks consolidation to upside, trends slowly higher.
From prior commentary, "...The consolidation is "rectangular", so an upside break from the consolidation is also possible and could be just as powerful as a downside break. Also, an upside break from the consolidation will cause a break of the upper trend line that has formed across the highs of the current downmove..."
The Dow v-bottomed early in the session and pushed higher to get an upside break through the top of the tight consolidation, which paved the way for a 67 point gain for the day.
Looking at the 15 Minute Chart shows that the Dow also got the break through the upper trend line and has now formed a tight consolidation at the highs of the session, which points to further upside movement to come.
An upside break from the consolidation at 9,400 will likely extend today's upmove into tomorrow's trading. Likewise, a downside break below major support at 9,300 will result in another push lower within the current downtrend. These two fulcrums, at 9,300 and 9,400 are both fairly strong.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a downward-sloping consolidation at the highs of the 5 Minute Chart. This is typically a bullish consolidation that results in an upside break. Watch 9,390 up, and 9,345 down.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we covered Shorts today at 9,375, giving us a 135 point gain for the prior trade. We then entered the market Long at 9,375, but stopped out with a 10 point loss. We will watch 9,400 up, and 9,300 down for tomorrow's market; using 10 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P each mirrored the Dow today, as each index pushed higher off the day's lows to end the day in positive territory. Watch the tight consolidations that have formed at the highs for tomorrow's trading. *
Summary
The Dow got the upside break through the top of the consolidation and the upper trend line today, which sparked a modest move higher. We will now watch the tight consolidation that has formed at the highs of the session for a break tomorrow. Watch 9,400 up, and 9,300 down.