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Traders Thread - Friday 21st November (BDEV)     

Crocodile - 20 Nov 2003 23:17

Premarket Futures FTSE -3 DAX -33 DOW +10 S&P +1 Nasdaq +6

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

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S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei -12   Hang Seng -53 Asia News

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10 Year Bond

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UK/US charts have 1,2 or 5 day views. and now FT NEWS & Price link to UK, US & Asian markets. The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

U.S. stocks fell back late in the session losing earlier gains. The Nasdaq down 17.73 the S&P down 8.79 and the Dow Jones down 71.0

FTSE 100 index is expected to open slower lower after a weak close on Wall Street with investors remaining unsettled after Thursday's attacks on British targets in Turkey.EMI opted to pursue a sale of its music unit to EMI's rival, sources familiar with the matter said.SAFEWAY UK's competition authority has sent fresh legal documents to groups vying for Safeway for signing, paving the way for a fresh bid for the firm from Morrison to be made within weeks

Legal & General said an arbitration panel had found in its favour in a dispute with German Munich Re MUVGn.DE , the world's largest reinsurer, about a reinsurance treaty.SSL The maker of Durex condoms has entered into exclusive talks with private equity group 3i to sell its medical unit for up to 275 million poundsRIO The world's No. 2 diversified miner said on Thursday its status in the gold sector would diminish as its production declines.REUTERS The global news and information company said it had not seen signs of a repeat of last year's year-end rush of cancellations and that the sales trend was improving.ARM The semiconductor company said fourth quarter sales could be higher than originally forecast and it was happy with analysts' sales and profit estimates for 2004.

Stanley Leisure Britain's biggest casino operator said first half results would be "satisfactory," though an improved win margin at its Crockfords casino would not offset early year losses.CABLE & WIRELESS The telecoms service provider does not expect to conclude a crucial deal to withdraw from the United States by the end of 2003.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

Aggreko (I), Barratt Developments (I) Bovis Homes Group (I), Bunzl (I) Go Ahead Grou (I), Manchester United (I) Redrow (I), SIG (I), BPB (H1)Wolseley (Update)

Erinaceous - IPO trading date.

7:00 Treasury Budget Oct - -$71.0B

 

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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ThePlayboy - 21 Nov 2003 07:14 - 2 of 11

11/20: Very clear corrective advance with a sharp drop to a new low for the move (only by a couple of points, but the fact remains).
Best fit is shown, with an alternate that this is some kind of flat/expanded flat correction here.
Confirmation of the pattern shown will come with a continuation of the decline right from the open tomorrow, at which point today's high can be used for an aggressive short stop.
The daily pattern is looking like this might all be part of a larger 3rd wave down, but nothing conclusive yet.
Near term it doesn't change anything, and we still should decline rapidly to at least 9230, and more likely than not below 8800 before a significant corrective rally at the next larger degree of trend occurs.
Technicals are still on sells, and so far confirm the count shown.
So, early tomorrow, another pop up like today says a more complex pattern is playing out, otherwise expect this to follow-though with a triple digit decline.
A 200+ down day would not be surprising at this juncture...




Updated 11/20 for Friday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 11/21
UP Above 9,750
DN Below 9,600

Trading Range, continued...
Dow continues sideways within wide range.

From prior commentary, "...The Dow has now formed a wide trading range at the lows of the recent downmove, from 9,615 to 9,750...We will likely see continued sideways movement within the range until a solid break of the boundaries occurs..."
The Dow traded sharply lower this morning, but held at the lower boundary of the wide trading range that has formed from 9,610 to 9,750, seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts. The index then made a solid move higher within the range before finally settling back at support, closing the session lower by 71 points.

The fact that the index has formed a wide range at the lows of the recent downmove implies weakness in the medium term. A downside break from the range at 9,600 will likely spark a continuation lower, while an upside break through 9,750 will likely push the index back toward major resistance at 9,900.

As mentioned yesterday, we could see further trading range movement before a break either way is seen. We want to watch the boundaries of the range closely.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow is holding right at clear short term support at 9,610, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. This is the fulcrum level we want to watch tomorrow; a break or bounce will likely lead the next short term move.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we are still out of the market, since none of our entry levels were triggered. We will continue to watch 9,750 up, and 9,600 down, with 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ and S&P each moved higher off support throughout the day, but fell sharply to the close to end the day back at support. Watch the respective trading range boundaries tomorrow. *

Summary

The Dow traded back and forth within the wide trading range boundaries today and now rests right at support. Watch the trading range boundaries closely, as a break either way will likely lead to a solid move. Our range is 9,600 down, and 9,750 up for tomorrow.


FRI FTSE PP

R2 4398
R1 4353
PP 4312
S1 4266
S2 4226

Close was below Thu s1 after gaining 3.6pts in the auction! 2 day ftse chart targeting a brk up out of the 5day dowtrend at 4320, sup at 4280, wide range due to Thu volatility!




DJ FIBS

9784 61.8
9752 50
9720 38

Druid2 - 21 Nov 2003 07:46 - 3 of 11

Morning all. Thanks Croc & TP.

Crocodile - 21 Nov 2003 07:47 - 4 of 11

Morning all

little woman - 21 Nov 2003 08:35 - 5 of 11

Morning all,

It's amazing how just receiving confirmation of something people aready suspected makes them happy!

CybIT Holdings PLC
21 November 2003

Notification of Interim Results

Cybit Holdings PLC will be announcing its interim results for the six months
ended 30 September 2003 on Tuesday 25 November 2003.

Although first thing BT.A is up slightly, I think it could get hammered later!

little woman - 21 Nov 2003 08:48 - 6 of 11

I may have spoken too soon about BT.A the support that wasn't there at 0830 is there now!

Still I'm going to wait & see!

Druid2 - 21 Nov 2003 13:02 - 7 of 11

EZJ looking weak again today.

Melnibone - 21 Nov 2003 15:33 - 8 of 11

Afternoon all,

Just logged. Haven't been trading today, too many things to do.

Don't seem to have missed much.

Will have a look around and see if anything looks
worth starting to build a position in.
Doubt I'll find anything, I'm not expecting a lot
of change today.(Famous last words)

Melnibone

Melnibone - 21 Nov 2003 15:57 - 9 of 11

LGEN looks interesting again.

Trouble is the daily chart looks like a staircase that's
still going down.

I'd prefer to see if it holds the 100p support level.
It dipped below it yesterday and came back up.

If it goes much below 100p I would imagine that there
are some stops there, that if triggered could precipitate
a steep decline.

Think I'll leave it and see what happens. Not happy about
taking new positions prior to the weekend in the current
geo-political situation.

Melnibone.

stockbunny - 21 Nov 2003 16:01 - 10 of 11

At least as the afternoon is progressing the screen is showing a
bit more 'green' and a little less 'red'...I suppose the odd splash
of 'blue' is asking too much!

Melnibone - 21 Nov 2003 16:39 - 11 of 11

Looks like I picked a good day not to trade.

Nothing much really moving.

I still reckon nobody wants to take the risk of a
new position.

People are sitting pretty after the last 7 months,
so why spoil it with a bad call in the current uncertainty?

Logging off now, see you all around.


Melnibone
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